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We develop new econometric methods for the comparison of nonparametric time trends. In many applications, practitioners are interested in whether the observed time series all have the same time trend. Moreover, they would often like to know…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-23 Marina Khismatullina , Michael Vogt

We develop a Hilbert--Schmidt independence criterion (HSIC)-based framework for testing serial independence in strictly stationary time series. The proposed auto Hilbert--Schmidt independence criterion (AutoHSIC) measures dependence between…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Muyi Li , Yuqing Xu , Zhou Zhou

In this work, the distributional properties of the goodness-of-fit term in likelihood-based information criteria are explored. These properties are then leveraged to construct a novel goodness-of-fit test for normal linear regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-20 Scott H. Koeneman , Joseph E. Cavanaugh

We propose a nonlinear elasto-plastic model, for which a specific class of hyperbolic elasticity arises as a straight consequence of the yield criterion invariance on the plasticity level. We superimpose this nonlinear elastic (or…

Applied Physics · Physics 2025-07-22 Ilaria Fontana , Goustan Bacquaert , Daniele A. Di Pietro , Kyrylo Kazymyrenko

Many macroeconomic time series are characterised by nonlinearity both in the conditional mean and in the conditional variance and, in practice, it is important to investigate separately these two aspects. Here we address the issue of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-02 Francesco Angelini , Massimiliano Castellani , Simone Giannerini , Greta Goracci

We consider the problem of testing the parametric form of the volatility for high frequency data. It is demonstrated that in the presence of microstructure noise commonly used tests do not keep the preassigned level and are inconsistent.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Mathias Vetter , Holger Dette

This paper provides asymptotically valid tests for the null hypothesis of no treatment effect heterogeneity. Importantly, I consider the presence of heterogeneity that is not explained by observed characteristics, or so-called idiosyncratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-04 Jaime Ramirez-Cuellar

We propose a nonparametric procedure to test for changes in correlation matrices at an unknown point in time. The new test requires only mild assumptions on the serial dependence structure and has considerable power in finite samples. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Dominik Wied

We set up a formal framework to characterize encompassing of nonparametric models through the L2 distance. We contrast it to previous literature on the comparison of nonparametric regression models. We then develop testing procedures for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-07 Elia Lapenta , Pascal Lavergne

This paper introduces diagnostic tests for the nature of lack of fit in ordinary differential equation models (ODEs) proposed for data. We present a hierarchy of three possible sources of lack of fit: unaccounted-for stochastic variation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-18 Giles Hooker , Stephen P. Ellner

In this paper, we provide non-parametric statistical tools to test stationarity of microstructure noise in general hidden Ito semimartingales, and discuss how to measure liquidity risk using high frequency financial data. In particular, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-07 Richard Y. Chen , Per A. Mykland

The problem of testing the equality of the generating processes of two categorical time series is addressed in this work. To this aim, we propose three tests relying on a dissimilarity measure between categorical processes. Particular…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-02 Ángel López-Oriona , José Antonio Vilar Fernández , Pierpaolo D'Urso

We consider infinite-dimensional Hilbert space-valued random variables that are assumed to be temporal dependent in a broad sense. We prove a central limit theorem for the moving block bootstrap and for the tapered block bootstrap, and show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-24 Dimitrios Pilavakis , Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

This paper uses model symmetries in the instrumental variable (IV) regression to derive an invariant test for the causal structural parameter. Contrary to popular belief, we show that there exist model symmetries when equation errors are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-02 Marcelo J. Moreira , Mahrad Sharifvaghefi , Geert Ridder

The paper considers nonparametric specification tests of quantile curves for a general class of nonstationary processes. Using Bahadur representation and Gaussian approximation results for nonstationary time series, simultaneous confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Zhou Zhou

In this paper the nonparametric quantile regression model is considered in a location-scale context. The asymptotic properties of the empirical independence process based on covariates and estimated residuals are investigated. In particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-27 Melanie Birke , Natalie Neumeyer , Stanislav Volgushev

A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, p(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF(t-t1)/LF(t-t1)+ A2, where A0, A1, and A2 are empirical country-specific coefficients, was found for developed economies. The…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Ivan O. Kitov , Oleg I. Kitov , Svetlana A. Dolinskaya

We propose a computationally straightforward test for the linearity of a spatial interaction function. Such functions arise commonly, either as practitioner imposed specifications or due to optimizing behaviour by agents. Our conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-30 Abhimanyu Gupta , Jungyoon Lee , Francesca Rossi

This paper develops a consistent heteroskedasticity robust Lagrange Multiplier (LM) type specification test for semiparametric conditional mean models. Consistency is achieved by turning a conditional moment restriction into a growing…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-11-12 Ivan Korolev

In modern experimental science, there is a common problem of estimating the coefficients of a linear regression in a context where the variables of interest cannot be observed simultaneously. When there is a categorical variable that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot