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This paper introduces a copula-based model for independent but non-identically distributed data with heteroscedastic extremes marginal and changing tail dependence structures. We establish a unified framework for inference by proving the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Yifan Hu , Yanxi Hou

Determining the relevant spatial covariates is one of the most important problems in the analysis of point patterns. Parametric methods may lead to incorrect conclusions, especially when the model of interactions between points is wrong.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Jiří Dvořák , Tomáš Mrkvička

Identifying relationships among stochastic processes is a core objective in many fields, such as economics. While the standard toolkit for multivariate time series analysis has many advantages, it can be difficult to capture nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Michael Wieck-Sosa , Michel F. C. Haddad , Aaditya Ramdas

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

This note outlines an approach to stress testing of covariance of financial time series, in the context of financial risk management. It discusses how the geodesic distance between covariance matrices implies a notion of plausibility of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-24 Piotr Chmielowski

In this paper we consider a Lagrange Multiplier-type test (LM) to detect change in the mean of time series with heteroskedasticity of unknown form. We derive the limiting distribution under the null, and prove the consistency of the test…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-02 Mohamed Boutahar

The bootstrap variance estimate is widely used in semiparametric inferences. However, its theoretical validity is a well known open problem. In this paper, we provide a {\em first} theoretical study on the bootstrap moment estimates in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Guang Cheng

This paper proposes the cross-quantilogram to measure the quantile dependence between two time series. We apply it to test the hypothesis that one time series has no directional predictability to another time series. We establish the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Heejoon Han , Oliver Linton , Tatsushi Oka , Yoon-Jae Whang

Nonadiabatic behavior of metastable systems modeled by anharmonic Hamiltonians is reproduced by the Fokker-Planck and imaginary time Schrodinger equation scheme with subsequent symplectic integration. Example solutions capture ergodicity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 E. Klotins

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

Nonparametric two-sample testing is a classical problem in inferential statistics. While modern two-sample tests, such as the edge count test and its variants, can handle multivariate and non-Euclidean data, contemporary gargantuan datasets…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-28 Trambak Banerjee , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Gourab Mukherjee

In this paper, we propose a general method for testing inequality restrictions on nonparametric functions. Our framework includes many nonparametric testing problems in a unified framework, with a number of possible applications in auction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Sokbae Lee , Kyungchul Song , Yoon-Jae Whang

We develop a class of optimal tests for a structural break occurring at an unknown date in infinite and growing-order time series regression models, such as AR($\infty$), linear regression with increasingly many covariates, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-15 Abhimanyu Gupta , Myung Hwan Seo

We study the effect of a logarithmic nonlinearity in the Schr\"odinger equation (SE) on the dynamics of a freely expanding Bose-Einstein condensate (BEC). The logarithmic nonlinearity was one of the first proposed nonlinear extensions to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-04-29 Sascha Vowe , Claus Lämmerzahl , Markus Krutzik

Empirical likelihood enables a nonparametric, likelihood-driven style of inference without restrictive assumptions routinely made in parametric models. We develop a framework for applying empirical likelihood to the analysis of experimental…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Eunseop Kim , Steven N. MacEachern , Mario Peruggia

Large-scale simultaneous hypothesis testing appears in many areas such as microarray studies, genome-wide association studies, brain imaging, disease mapping and astronomical surveys. A well-known inference method is to control the false…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Xiaoqing Niu , Pengfei Li , Yuejiao Fu

In this work, we establish a connection between nonlinear electronic spectroscopy and the protocol for the non-disturbance condition, the non-fullfilment of which is a witness of nonclassicality and can be related to the presence of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-14 Saulo V. Moreira , Fernando L. Semião

Standard methods, such as sequential procedures based on Johansen's (pseudo-)likelihood ratio (PLR) test, for determining the co-integration rank of a vector autoregressive (VAR) system of variables integrated of order one can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-08 H. Peter Boswijk , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Luca De Angelis , A. M. Robert Taylor

A method for testing nonlinearity in time series is described based on information-theoretic functionals -- redundancies, linear and nonlinear forms of which allow either qualitative, or, after incorporating the surrogate data technique,…

comp-gas · Physics 2015-06-24 Milan PALUS

Financial crises are usually associated with increased cross-sectional dependence between asset returns, causing asymmetry between the lower and upper tail of return distribution. The detection of asymmetric dependence is now understood to…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-07 Lorenzo Frattarolo