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Given a set of empirical observations, conditional density estimation aims to capture the statistical relationship between a conditional variable $\mathbf{x}$ and a dependent variable $\mathbf{y}$ by modeling their conditional probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-16 Jonas Rothfuss , Fabio Ferreira , Simon Walther , Maxim Ulrich

Sobolev quantities (norms, inner products, and distances) of probability density functions are important in the theory of nonparametric statistics, but have rarely been used in practice, partly due to a lack of practical estimators. They…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Shashank Singh , Simon S. Du , Barnabás Póczos

We compute the signed distribution of the eigenvalues/vectors of the complex order-three random tensor by computing a partition function of a four-fermi theory, where signs are from a Hessian determinant associated to each eigenvector. The…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2024-04-23 Naoki Sasakura

This invited paper proposes and discusses several Bayesian attempts at nonparametric and semiparametric density estimation. The main categories of these ideas are as follows: 1) Build a nonparametric prior around a given parametric model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Nils Lid Hjort

We show that the cumulative distribution function corresponding to a kernel density estimator with optimal bandwidth lies outside any confidence interval, around the empirical distribution function, with probability tending to 1 as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Nils Lid Hjort , Stephen G. Walker

Discrete kernel smoothing is now gaining importance in nonparametric statistics. In this paper, we investigate some asymptotic properties of the normalized discrete associated-kernel estimator of a probability mass function. We show, under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Youssef Esstafa , Célestin C. Kokonendji , Sobom M. Somé

Many regularization schemes for high-dimensional regression have been put forward. Most require the choice of a tuning parameter, using model selection criteria or cross-validation schemes. We show that a simple non-negative or…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-07 Nicolai Meinshausen

A nonparametric family of conditional distributions is introduced, which generalizes conditional exponential families using functional parameters in a suitable RKHS. An algorithm is provided for learning the generalized natural parameter,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-10 Michael Arbel , Arthur Gretton

Parametric density estimation, for example as Gaussian distribution, is the base of the field of statistics. Machine learning requires inexpensive estimation of much more complex densities, and the basic approach is relatively costly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-21 Jarek Duda

An optimal bound on the quantiles of a certain kind of distributions is given. Such a bound is used in applications to Berry--Esseen-type bounds for nonlinear statistics.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-03 Iosif Pinelis

Sup-norm curve estimation is a fundamental statistical problem and, in principle, a premise for the construction of confidence bands for infinite-dimensional parameters. In a Bayesian framework, the issue of whether the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-22 Catia Scricciolo

The mean shift (MS) algorithm seeks a mode of the kernel density estimate (KDE). This study presents a convergence guarantee of the mode estimate sequence generated by the MS algorithm and an evaluation of the convergence rate, under fairly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-08 Ryoya Yamasaki , Toshiyuki Tanaka

Many scientific problems involve data exhibiting both temporal and cross-sectional dependencies. While linear dependencies have been extensively studied, the theoretical analysis of regression estimators under nonlinear dependencies remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Marie-Christine Düker , Adam Waterbury

The binary signed-digit representation of integers is used for efficient computation in various settings. The Stern polynomial is a polynomial extension of the well-studied Stern diatomic sequence, and has itself has been investigated in…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Laura Monroe

We propose a way of transforming the problem of conditional density estimation into a single nonparametric regression task via the introduction of auxiliary samples. This allows leveraging regression methods that work well in high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Alexander G. Reisach , Olivier Collier , Alex Luedtke , Antoine Chambaz

We introduce an alternative method for the calculation of sky maps from data taken with gamma-ray telescopes. In contrast to the established method of smoothing the 2D histogram of reconstructed event directions with a static kernel, we…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2024-01-30 M. Holler , T. Mitterdorfer , S. Panny

The ratio of two probability densities can be used for solving various machine learning tasks such as covariate shift adaptation (importance sampling), outlier detection (likelihood-ratio test), and feature selection (mutual information).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-12-16 Takafumi Kanamori , Taiji Suzuki , Masashi Sugiyama

We propose a nonparametric statistical test for goodness-of-fit: given a set of samples, the test determines how likely it is that these were generated from a target density function. The measure of goodness-of-fit is a divergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-28 Kacper Chwialkowski , Heiko Strathmann , Arthur Gretton

Conformal prediction is a simple and powerful tool that can quantify uncertainty without any distributional assumptions. Many existing methods only address the average coverage guarantee, which is not ideal compared to the stronger…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-21 Xing Han , Ziyang Tang , Joydeep Ghosh , Qiang Liu

Semicontinuous outcomes occur frequently in health services, insurance, and cost studies. Standard nonparametric density estimators are not well suited to such data because they do not naturally accommodate the mixed structure, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Guanjie Lyu , Frédéric Ouimet , Cindy Feng
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