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Causal effect estimation seeks to determine the impact of an intervention from observational data. However, the existing causal inference literature primarily addresses treatment effects on frequently occurring events. But what if we are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-18 Jiyuan Tan , Jose Blanchet , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Our recently developed "unbiased" extremum seeking (uES) algorithms ensure perfect convergence to the optimum at a user-assigned exponential rate or, more powerfully, within a user-prescribed time. Unlike classical approach, these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-01 Cemal Tugrul Yilmaz , Mamadou Diagne , Miroslav Krstic

We start by reviewing recent probabilistic results on ergodic sums in a large class of (non-uniformly) hyperbolic dynamical systems. Namely, we describe the central limit theorem, the almost-sure convergence to the gaussian and other stable…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-05-09 J. -R. Chazottes

Projections of extreme sea levels (ESLs) are critical for managing coastal risks, but are made complicated by deep uncertainties. One key uncertainty is the choice of model structure used to estimate coastal hazards. Differences in model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-15 Tony E. Wong , Travis Torline , Mingxuan Zhang

The atmosphere gains available potential energy by solar radiation and dissipates kinetic energy mainly in the atmospheric boundary layer. We analyze the fluctuations of the global mean energy cycle defined by Lorenz (1955) in a simulation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-08-08 Richard Blender , Denny Gohlke , Frank Lunkeit

The fluctuations in nonequilibrium systems are under intense theoretical and experimental investigation. Topical ``fluctuation relations'' describe symmetries of the statistical properties of certain observables, in a variety of models and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-08 Lamberto Rondoni , Carlos Mejia-Monasterio

Inspired by the importance of inhibitory and excitatory couplings in the brain, we analyze the largest eigenvalue statistics of random networks incorporating such features. We find that the largest real part of eigenvalues of a network,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-04-30 Sanjiv Kumar Dwivedi , Sarika Jalan

Returning a system to a desired state under a force field involves a thermodynamic cost, i.e., {\it work}. This cost fluctuates for a small-scale system from one experimental realization to another. We introduce a general framework to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-07 Deepak Gupta , Carlos A. Plata

We study stochastic resetting of a probe particle in a viscoelastic environment where only the probe is reset while the medium retains memory of its past dynamics. Using a minimal model with finite correlation time, we analyze the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-19 Ion Santra , Debankur Das

Similar to the generalized extreme value (GEV) family, the generalized extreme value distributions under power normalization are introduced by Roudsari (1999) and Barakat et al. (2013). In this article, we study the asymptotic behavior of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-01 Ali Saeb

The Stochastic Extragradient (SEG) method is one of the most popular algorithms for solving min-max optimization and variational inequalities problems (VIP) appearing in various machine learning tasks. However, several important questions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-23 Eduard Gorbunov , Hugo Berard , Gauthier Gidel , Nicolas Loizou

A coagulation process is studied in a set of random masses, in which two randomly chosen masses and the smallest mass of the set multiplied by some fixed parameter $\omega\in [-1,1]$ are iteratively added. Besides masses (or primary…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Róbert Juhász

Stochastic resetting can be naturally understood as a renewal process governing the evolution of an underlying stochastic process. In this work, we formally derive well-known results of diffusion with resets from a renewal theory…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-05 Axel Masó-Puigdellosas , Daniel Campos , Vicenç Méndez

This paper is concerned with classes of models of stochastic reaction dynamics with time-scales separation. We demonstrate that the existence of the time-scale separation naturally leads to the application of the averaging principle and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Sergey Plyasunov

We study the extreme value distribution of stochastic processes modeled by superstatistics. Classical extreme value theory asserts that (under mild asymptotic independence assumptions) only three possible limit distributions are possible,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Pau Rabassa , Christian Beck

To describe the nonequilibrium states of a system we introduce a new thermodynamic parameter - the lifetime (the first passage time) of a system. The statistical distributions that can be obtained out of the mesoscopic description…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. V. Ryazanov

Stochastic restart may drastically reduce the expected run time of a computer algorithm, expedite the completion of a complex search process, or increase the turnover rate of an enzymatic reaction. These diverse first-passage-time (FPT)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-30 Shlomi Reuveni

Extremal graphical models encode the conditional independence structure of multivariate extremes. Key statistics for learning extremal graphical structures are empirical extremal variograms, for which we prove non-asymptotic concentration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Sebastian Engelke , Michaël Lalancette , Stanislav Volgushev

Markov processes with stochastic resetting towards the origin generically converge towards non-equilibrium steady-states. Long dynamical trajectories can be thus analyzed via the large deviations at Level 2.5 for the joint probability of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-07 Cecile Monthus

What happens when a continuously evolving stochastic process is interrupted with large changes at random intervals $\tau$ distributed as a power-law $\sim \tau^{-(1+\alpha)};\alpha>0$? Modeling the stochastic process by diffusion and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-22 Apoorva Nagar , Shamik Gupta