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Related papers: Extremal statistics for stochastic resetting syste…

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We study how stochastic resetting affects first-passage processes in systems of many interacting particles. While resetting is well understood for single-particle dynamics, its consequences for collective behavior remain less clear. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-28 Juhee Lee , Seong-Gyu Yang , Ludvig Lizana

We give conditions to prove the existence of an Extremal Index for general stationary stochastic processes by detecting the presence of one or more underlying periodic phenomena. This theory, besides giving general useful tools to identify…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

For non-uniformly hyperbolic dynamical systems we consider the time series of maxima along typical orbits. Using ideas based upon quantitative recurrence time statistics we prove convergence of the maxima (under suitable normalization) to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Mark Holland , Pau Rabassa , Alef Sterk

We investigate stochastic averaging theory for locally Lipschitz discrete-time nonlinear systems with stochastic perturbation and its applications to convergence analysis of discrete-time stochastic extremum seeking algorithms. Firstly, by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-02-18 Shu-Jun Liu , Miroslav Krstic

To describe the nonequilibrium states of a system we introduce a new thermodynamic parameter - the lifetime of a system. The statistical distributions which can be obtained out of the mesoscopic description characterizing the behaviour of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. V. Ryazanov

We consider diffusion in arbitrary spatial dimension d with the addition of a resetting process wherein the diffusive particle stochastically resets to a fixed position at a constant rate $r$. We compute the non-equilibrium stationary state…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 Martin R. Evans , Satya N. Majumdar

Extreme events are an important theme in various areas of science because of their typically devastating effects on society and their scientific complexities. The latter is particularly true if the underlying dynamics does not lead to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-30 Aicko Yves Schumann , Nicholas R. Moloney , Jörn Davidsen

We study the stochastic thermodynamics of resetting systems. Violation of microreversibility means that the well known derivations of fluctuations theorems break down for dynamics with resetting. Despite that we show that stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-27 Arnab Pal , Saar Rahav

In this paper we discuss the problem of the estimation of extreme event occurrence probability for data drawn from some multifractal process. We also study the heavy (power-law) tail behavior of probability density function associated with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jean-Francois Muzy , Emmanuel Bacry , Alexey Kozhemyak

Extreme value theory for chaotic dynamical systems is a rapidly expanding area of research. Given a system and a real function (observable) defined on its phase space, extreme value theory studies the limit probabilistic laws obeyed by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Mark P. Holland , Renato Vitolo , Pau Rabassa , Alef E. Sterk , Henk W. Broer

We compare experiments and direct numerical simulations to evaluate the accuracy of the Stokes-drag model, which is used widely in studies of inertial particles in turbulence. We focus on statistics at the dissipation scale and on extreme…

Predictions of the uncertainty associated with extreme events are a vital component of any prediction system for such events. Consequently, the prediction system ought to be probabilistic in nature, with the predictions taking the form of…

Applications · Statistics 2012-10-26 Petra Friederichs , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir

Extreme environmental phenomena such as major precipitation events manifestly exhibit spatial dependence. Max-stable processes are a class of asymptotically-justified models that are capable of representing spatial dependence among extreme…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-09 Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

The distribution of spatially aggregated data from a stochastic process $X$ may exhibit a different tail behavior than its marginal distributions. For a large class of aggregating functionals $\ell$ we introduce the $\ell$-extremal…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-29 Sebastian Engelke , Raphael de Fondeville , Marco Oesting

We examine the question of whether the formal expressions of equilibrium statistical mechanics can be applied to time independent non-dissipative systems that are not in true thermodynamic equilibrium and are nonergodic. By assuming the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-11-09 Stephen R. Williams , Denis J. Evans

A common and effective method for calculating the steady-state distribution of a process under stochastic resetting is the renewal approach that requires only the knowledge of the reset-free propagator of the underlying process and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-15 Ron Vatash , Amy Altshuler , Yael Roichman

We study distributional robustness in the context of Extreme Value Theory (EVT). We provide a data-driven method for estimating extreme quantiles in a manner that is robust against incorrect model assumptions underlying the application of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Jose Blanchet , Fei He , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

We study the effect of long range algebraic correlations on extreme value statistics and demonstrate that correlations can produce a limit distribution which is indistinguishable from the ubiquitous Bramwell-Holdsworth-Pinton distribution.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Kajsa Dahlstedt , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

The exponential random graph model (ERGM) is a central object in the study of clustering properties in social networks as well as canonical ensembles in statistical physics. Despite some breakthrough works in the mathematical understanding…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Shirshendu Ganguly , Kyeongsik Nam

Various events in the nature, economics and in other areas force us to combine the study of extremes with regression and other methods. A useful tool for reducing the role of nuisance regression, while we are interested in the shape or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-07 Jana Jureckova