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In macroscopic systems behavior is usually reproducible and fluctuations, which are deviations from the typically observed mean values, are small. But almost all inverse problems in the physical and biological sciences are ill-posed and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-09 Peter Burgholzer

We present a new approach to response around arbitrary out-of-equilibrium states in the form of a fluctuation-response inequality (FRI). We study the response of an observable to a perturbation of the underlying stochastic dynamics. We find…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-22 Andreas Dechant , Shin-ichi Sasa

Inferring and comparing complex, multivariable probability density functions is fundamental to problems in several fields, including probabilistic learning, network theory, and data analysis. Classification and prediction are the two faces…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-30 David J. Galas , T. Gregory Dewey , James Kunert-Graf , Nikita A. Sakhanenko

Here, we investigate the uncertainty of dynamical observables in classical systems manipulated by repeated measurements and feedback control; the precision should be enhanced in the presence of an external controller but limited by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-23 Tan Van Vu , Yoshihiko Hasegawa

For generic systems exhibiting power law behaviors, and hence multiscale dependencies, we propose a new, and yet simple, tool to analyze multifractality and intermittency, after noticing that these concepts are directly related to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-24 Carlos Granero-Belinchon , Stephane G. Roux , Nicolas B. Garnier

How much one has learned from an experiment is quantifiable by the information gain, also known as the Kullback-Leibler divergence. The narrowing of the posterior parameter distribution $P(\theta|D)$ compared with the prior parameter…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-29 Johannes Buchner

In this paper we re-examine the traditional problem of connecting the internal fluctuations of a system to its response to external forcings and extend the classical theory in order to be able to encompass also nonlinear processes. With…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Valerio Lucarini , Matteo Colangeli

The fluctuation-dissipation-theorem connects equilibrium to mildly (linearly) perturbed situations in a thermodynamic manner: It involves the observable of interest and the entropy production caused by the perturbation. We derive a relation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-03-24 Tristan Holsten , Matthias Krüger

Formalising the confrontation of opinions (models) to observations (data) is the task of Inferential Statistics. Information Theory provides us with a basic functional, the relative entropy (or Kullback-Leibler divergence), an asymmetrical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-13 François Bavaud

Modern machine learning approaches excel in static settings where a large amount of i.i.d. training data are available for a given task. In a dynamic environment, though, an intelligent agent needs to be able to transfer knowledge and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Jonas Wildberger , Siyuan Guo , Arnab Bhattacharyya , Bernhard Schölkopf

In spite of the (correct) common-wisdom statement correlation does not imply causation, a proper employ of time correlations and of fluctuation-response theory allows to understand the causal relations between the variables of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-04 Marco Baldovin , Fabio Cecconi , Angelo Vulpiani

The concept of varentropy has been recently introduced as a dispersion index of the reliability of measure of information. In this paper, we introduce new measures of variability for two measures of uncertainty, the Kerridge inaccuracy…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-16 Francesco Buono , Camilla Calì , Maria Longobardi

We establish the fluctuation theorem in the presence of information exchange between a nonequilibrium system and other degrees of freedom such as an observer and a feedback controller, where the amount of information exchange is added to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-05 Takahiro Sagawa , Masahito Ueda

Fluctuation theorems provide universal constraints on nonequilibrium energy and entropy fluctuations, making them a natural framework to assess how and to what extent quantum resources become thermodynamically relevant. We develop a unified…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-19 Sukrut Mondkar , Sayan Mondal , Ujjwal Sen

The Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is a fundamental equation of information theory that quantifies the proximity of two probability distributions. Although difficult to understand by examining the equation, an intuition and understanding…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-09 Jonathon Shlens

We present a fluctuation theorem for quantum bipartite systems in which the subsystems exchange information with each other. Our information fluctuation theorem includes correlations by introducing a quantum mechanical mutual information…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Jung Jun Park , Sang Wook Kim , Vlatko Vedral

The inference of causal relationships among observed variables is a pivotal, longstanding problem in the scientific community. An intuitive method for quantifying these causal links involves examining the response of one variable to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-27 Gabriele Di Antonio , Gianni Valerio Vinci

A generalized fluctuation-response relation is found for thermal systems driven out of equilibrium. Its derivation is independent of many details of the dynamics, which is only required to be first-order. The result gives a correction to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-07-12 Marco Baiesi , Christian Maes , Bram Wynants

Information spreads in time. For example, correlations dissipate when the correlated system locally couples to a third party, such as the environment. This simple but important fact forms the known quantum data-processing inequality. Here…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-15 Kun Zhang , Jin Wang

Group sequential designs enable interim analyses and potential early stopping for efficacy or futility. While these adaptations improve trial efficiency and ethical considerations, they also introduce bias into the adapted analyses. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 G. Caruso , W. F. Rosenberger , P. Mozgunov , N. Flournoy
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