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This paper makes the case for using Shapley value to quantify the importance of random input variables to a function. Alternatives based on the ANOVA decomposition can run into conceptual and computational problems when the input variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Art B. Owen , Clémentine Prieur

We discuss the construction of component importance measures for binary coherent reliability systems from known stochastic dependence measures by measuring the dependence between system and component failures. We treat both the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-16 Mario Hellmich

The enormous growth of the complexity of modern computer systems leads to an increasing demand for techniques that support the comprehensibility of systems. This has motivated the very active research field of formal methods that enhance…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Christel Baier , Sascha Klüppelholz , Johannes Lehmann

Game-theoretic formulations of feature importance have become popular as a way to "explain" machine learning models. These methods define a cooperative game between the features of a model and distribute influence among these input elements…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-01 I. Elizabeth Kumar , Suresh Venkatasubramanian , Carlos Scheidegger , Sorelle Friedler

Reliability-oriented sensitivity analysis aims at combining both reliability and sensitivity analyses by quantifying the influence of each input variable of a numerical model on a quantity of interest related to its failure. In particular,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

In view of the growing complexity of modern software architectures, formal models are increasingly used to understand why a system works the way it does, opposed to simply verifying that it behaves as intended. This paper surveys approaches…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Christel Baier , Clemens Dubslaff , Florian Funke , Simon Jantsch , Rupak Majumdar , Jakob Piribauer , Robin Ziemek

Variable importance is defined as a measure of each regressor's contribution to model fit. Using R^2 as the fit criterion in linear models leads to the Shapley value (LMG) and proportionate value (PMVD) as variable importance measures.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-08 Charles D. Coleman

There is much interest lately in explainability in statistics and machine learning. One aspect of explainability is to quantify the importance of various features (or covariates). Two popular methods for defining variable importance are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Isabella Verdinelli , Larry Wasserman

Estimating feature importance is a significant aspect of explaining data-based models. Besides explaining the model itself, an equally relevant question is which features are important in the underlying data generating process. We present a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-21 Pål Vegard Johnsen , Inga Strümke , Signe Riemer-Sørensen , Andrew Thomas DeWan , Mette Langaas

Quantifying the inconsistency of a database is motivated by various goals including reliability estimation for new datasets and progress indication in data cleaning. Another goal is to attribute to individual tuples a level of…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Ester Livshits , Benny Kimelfeld

This paper develops a rigorous argument for why the use of Shapley values in explainable AI (XAI) will necessarily yield provably misleading information about the relative importance of features for predictions. Concretely, this paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Xuanxiang Huang , Joao Marques-Silva

Given a classification model and a prediction for some input, there are heuristic strategies for ranking features according to their importance in regard to the prediction. One common approach to this task is rooted in propositional logic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Tomás Capdevielle , Santiago Cifuentes

Shapley values have seen widespread use in machine learning as a way to explain model predictions and estimate the importance of covariates. Accurately explaining models is critical in real-world models to both aid in decision making and to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 Daniel de Marchi , Michael Kosorok , Scott de Marchi

Models in the supervised learning framework may capture rich and complex representations over the features that are hard for humans to interpret. Existing methods to explain such models are often specific to architectures and data where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-25 Akshay Sood , Mark Craven

The most popular methods for measuring importance of the variables in a black box prediction algorithm make use of synthetic inputs that combine predictor variables from multiple subjects. These inputs can be unlikely, physically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Masayoshi Mase , Art B. Owen , Benjamin B. Seiler

We introduce a variable importance measure to quantify the impact of individual input variables to a black box function. Our measure is based on the Shapley value from cooperative game theory. Many measures of variable importance operate by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Masayoshi Mase , Art B. Owen , Benjamin Seiler

This work develops a measurement-driven and model-based formal verification approach, applicable to systems with partly unknown dynamics. We provide a principled method, grounded on reachability analysis and on Bayesian inference, to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-09-14 Sofie Haesaert , Paul M. J. Van den Hof , Alessandro Abate

Feature importance techniques have enjoyed widespread attention in the explainable AI literature as a means of determining how trained machine learning models make their predictions. We consider Shapley value based approaches to feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-06 Mattia Villani , Joshua Lockhart , Daniele Magazzeni

Recent advances in game informatics have enabled us to find strong strategies across a diverse range of games. However, these strategies are usually difficult for humans to interpret. On the other hand, research in Explainable Artificial…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Satoru Fujii

Researchers in explainable artificial intelligence have developed numerous methods for helping users understand the predictions of complex supervised learning models. By contrast, explaining the $\textit{uncertainty}$ of model outputs has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 David S. Watson , Joshua O'Hara , Niek Tax , Richard Mudd , Ido Guy
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