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Gaussian process (GP) priors are non-parametric generative models with appealing modelling properties for Bayesian inference: they can model non-linear relationships through noisy observations, have closed-form expressions for training and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-31 Gonzalo Rios

Understanding which concepts models can and cannot represent has been fundamental to many tasks: from effective and responsible use of models to detecting out of distribution data. We introduce Gaussian process probes (GPP), a unified and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Zi Wang , Alexander Ku , Jason Baldridge , Thomas L. Griffiths , Been Kim

We are interested in building low-dimensional surrogate models to reduce optimization costs, while having theoretical guarantees that the optimum will satisfy the constraints of the full-size model, by making conservative approximations.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Philippe-André Luneau

Mechanistic simulation models are inverted against observations in order to gain inference on modeled processes. However, with the increasing ability to collect high resolution observations, these observations represent more patterns of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-20 Thomas Wutzler

Learning the inverse dynamics of robots directly from data, adopting a black-box approach, is interesting for several real-world scenarios where limited knowledge about the system is available. In this paper, we propose a black-box model…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Giulio Giacomuzzos , Ruggero Carli , Diego Romeres , Alberto Dalla Libera

In the field of machine learning (ML) for materials optimization, active learning algorithms, such as Bayesian Optimization (BO), have been leveraged for guiding autonomous and high-throughput experimentation systems. However, very few…

The need to rapidly solve PDEs in engineering design workflows has spurred the rise of neural surrogate models. In particular, neural operator models provide a discretization-invariant surrogate by retaining the infinite-dimensional,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Yash Patel , Ambuj Tewari

Optimization problems with uncertain black-box constraints, modeled by warped Gaussian processes, have recently been considered in the Bayesian optimization setting. This work introduces a new class of constraints in which the same…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Johannes Wiebe , Inês Cecílio , Jonathan Dunlop , Ruth Misener

Gaussian process (GP) surrogate modeling for large computer experiments is limited by cubic runtimes, especially with data from stochastic simulations with input-dependent noise. A popular workaround to reduce computational complexity…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 D Austin Cole , Robert B Gramacy , Mike Ludkovski

Excessive loads near wounds produce pathological scarring and other complications. Presently, stress cannot easily be measured by surgeons in the operating room. Instead, surgeons rely on intuition and experience. Predictive computational…

Medical Physics · Physics 2020-10-07 Casey Stowers , Taeksang Lee , Ilias Bilionis , Arun Gosain , Adrian Buganza Tepole

We investigate the merits of replication, and provide methods for optimal design (including replicates), with the goal of obtaining globally accurate emulation of noisy computer simulation experiments. We first show that replication can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-28 Mickael Binois , Jiangeng Huang , Robert B Gramacy , Mike Ludkovski

Not being able to understand and predict the behavior of deep learning systems makes it hard to decide what architecture and algorithm to use for a given problem. In science and engineering, modeling is a methodology used to understand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Michael Y. Li , Erin Grant , Thomas L. Griffiths

The ability of Gaussian processes (GPs) to predict the behavior of dynamical systems as a more sample-efficient alternative to parametric models seems promising for real-world robotics research. However, the computational complexity of GPs…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Abdolreza Taheri , Joni Pajarinen , Reza Ghabcheloo

As we aim to control complex systems, use of a simulator in model-based reinforcement learning is becoming more common. However, it has been challenging to overcome the Reality Gap, which comes from nonlinear model bias and susceptibility…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Gilwoo Lee , Siddhartha S. Srinivasa , Matthew T. Mason

Stiff ordinary differential equations (ODEs) play an important role in many scientific and engineering applications. Often, the dependence of the solution of the ODE on additional parameters is of interest, e.g.\ when dealing with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Idoia Cortes Garcia , P. Förster , W. Schilders , S. Schöps

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a popular surrogate modeling tool for computer simulations in engineering and scientific domains. However, it often struggles with high computational costs and low prediction accuracy when the simulation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Lulu Kang , Minshen Xu

Numerous engineering problems of interest to the industry are often characterized by expensive black-box objective experiments or computer simulations. Obtaining insight into the problem or performing subsequent optimizations requires…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-29 Piyush Pandita , Jesper Kristensen , Liping Wang

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

A high-ranking goal of interdisciplinary modeling approaches in the natural sciences are quantitative prediction of system dynamics and model based optimization. For this purpose, mathematical modeling, numerical simulation and scientific…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Dominik Skanda , Dirk Lebiedz

We present a Gaussian Process - Latent Class Choice Model (GP-LCCM) to integrate a non-parametric class of probabilistic machine learning within discrete choice models (DCMs). Gaussian Processes (GPs) are kernel-based algorithms that…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-02 Georges Sfeir , Filipe Rodrigues , Maya Abou-Zeid