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Previous research has demonstrated that various properties of infectious diseases can be inferred from online search behaviour. In this work we use time series of online search query frequencies to gain insights about the prevalence of…

Following the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic and pending the establishment of vaccination campaigns, several non pharmaceutical interventions such as partial and full lockdown, quarantine and measures of physical distancing have been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-08 Nicolas Franco

Several epidemiological models have been proposed to study the evolution of COVID-19 pandemic. In this paper, we propose an extension of the SUIHTER model, first introduced in [Parolini et al, Proc R. Soc. A., 2021] to analyse the COVID-19…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-23 Nicola Parolini , Luca Dede' , Giovanni Ardenghi , Alfio Quarteroni

During the COVID-19 pandemic of 2019/2020, authorities have used temporary ad-hoc policy measures, such as lockdowns and mass quarantines, to slow its transmission. However, the consequences of widespread use of these unprecedented measures…

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic continues to have a tremendous impact on patients and healthcare systems around the world. In the fight against this novel disease, there is a pressing need for rapid and effective screening…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-14 Hayden Gunraj , Linda Wang , Alexander Wong

To mitigate the spread of COVID-19 pandemic, decision-makers and public authorities have announced various non-pharmaceutical policies. Analyzing the causal impact of these policies in reducing the spread of COVID-19 is important for future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Jing Ma , Yushun Dong , Zheng Huang , Daniel Mietchen , Jundong Li

While many efforts are currently devoted to vaccines development and administration, social distancing measures, including severe restrictions such as lockdowns, remain fundamental tools to contain the spread of COVID-19. A crucial point…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-03 Mauro Bisiacco , Gianluigi Pillonetto

An urgent problem in controlling COVID-19 spreading is to understand the role of undocumented infection. We develop a five-state model for COVID-19, taking into account the unique features of the novel coronavirus, with key parameters…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-27 Yong-Shang Long , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Li-Lei Han , Jie Kang , Yi-Lin Li , Zhao-Hua Lin , Lang Zeng , Da-Yu Wu , Chang-Qing Hao , Ming Tang , Zonghua Liu , Ying-Cheng Lai

Monitoring of prevalent airborne diseases such as COVID-19 characteristically involves respiratory assessments. While auscultation is a mainstream method for preliminary screening of disease symptoms, its utility is hampered by the need for…

A major strategy to prevent the spread of COVID-19 is the limiting of in-person contacts. However, this is impractical or impossible for the many disabled people who do not live in care facilities, but still require caregivers. We seek to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Thomas E. Valles , Hannah Shoenhard , Joseph Zinski , Sarah Trick , Mason A. Porter , Michael R. Lindstrom

A reasonable prediction of infectious diseases transmission process under different disease control strategies is an important reference point for policy makers. Here we established a dynamic transmission model via Python and realized…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-23 Yuxuan Zhang , Chen Gong , Dawei Li , Zhi-Wei Wang , Shengda D Pu , Alex W Robertson , Hong Yu , John Parrington

The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in more than 14.5 million infections and 6,04,917 deaths in 212 countries over the last few months. Different drug intervention acting at multiple stages of pathogenesis of COVID-19 can substantially…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-01 Bhanu Prakash D , D. K. K. Vamsi , D. Bangaru Rajesh , Carani B Sanjeevi

Pandemic control measures like lock-down, restrictions on restaurants and gatherings, social-distancing have shown to be effective in curtailing the spread of COVID-19. However, their sustained enforcement has negative economic effects. To…

Analysing and understanding the transmission and evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic is mandatory to be able to design the best social and medical policies, foresee their outcomes and deal with all the subsequent socio-economic effects. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-28 Radu D. Stochiţoiu , Marian Petrica , Traian Rebedea , Ionel Popescu , Marius Leordeanu

As COVID-19 transitions into an endemic disease that remains constantly present in the population at a stable level, monitoring its prevalence without invasive measures becomes increasingly important. In this paper, we present a deep neural…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-02 Yifei Chen , Eric Liang

The outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) is unfolding as a major international crisis whose influence extends to every aspect of our daily lives. Effective testing allows infected individuals to be quarantined, thus reducing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Rahul Singh , Fang Liu , Ness B. Shroff

COVID-19 continues to spread across the country and around the world. Current strategies for managing the spread of COVID-19 include social distancing. We present VERA, an interactive AI tool, that first enables users to specify conceptual…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-04-02 William Broniec , Sungeun An , Spencer Rugaber , Ashok K. Goel

The COVID-19 pandemic represents the most significant public health disaster since the 1918 influenza pandemic. During pandemics such as COVID-19, timely and reliable spatio-temporal forecasting of epidemic dynamics is crucial. Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Lijing Wang , Aniruddha Adiga , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Jiangzhuo Chen , Bryan Lewis , Madhav Marathe

The COVID-19 pandemic began over two years ago, yet schools, businesses, and other organizations are still struggling to keep the risk of disease outbreak low while returning to (near) normal functionality. Observations from these past…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-02 Sarah C. Fay , Dalton J. Jones , Munther A. Dahleh , A. E. Hosoi

Recently, the world has witnessed the most severe pandemic (COVID-19) in this century. Studies on epidemic prediction and simulation have received increasing attention. However, the current methods suffer from three issues. First, most of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Haoyu Geng , Guanjie Zheng , Zhengqing Han , Hua Wei , Zhenhui Li