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We extend well-known comparative results under expected utility to models of non-expected utility by providing novel conditions on local utility functions. We illustrate how our results parallel, and are distinct from, existing results for…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-16 Collin Raymond , Yangwei Song

We study efficient differentially private algorithms for estimating monotone statistics, i.e., statistics that are monotone under the addition of new observations. The starting point for our investigation is subsample-and-aggregate: a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Gavin Brown , Ephraim Linder , Mahbod Majid , Vikrant Singhal

Nontransitive choices have long been an area of curiosity within economics. However, determining whether nontransitive choices represent an individual's preference is a difficult task since choice data is inherently stochastic. This paper…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-05-01 Mogens Fosgerau , John Rehbeck

We study sub-semigroups of the semigroup of probability measures on $\mathbb{R}$ and monotone additive statistics on them, by which we mean maps to the reals that are monotone with respect to the stochastic order and additive under…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Tobias Fritz , Xiaosheng Mu , Omer Tamuz

We generalize the stochastic revealed preference methodology of McFadden and Richter (1990) for finite choice sets to settings with limited consideration. Our approach is nonparametric and requires partial choice set variation. We impose a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-19 Nail Kashaev , Victor H. Aguiar

Stochastic dominance is a crucial tool for the analysis of choice under risk. It is typically analyzed as a property of two gambles that are taken in isolation. We study how additional independent sources of risk (e.g. uninsurable labor…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Luciano Pomatto , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

Monotone inclusions have a wide range of applications, including minimization, saddle-point, and equilibria problems. We introduce new stochastic algorithms, with or without variance reduction, to estimate a root of the expectation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Abdurakhmon Sadiev , Laurent Condat , Peter Richtárik

Aggregating risks from multiple sources can be complex and demanding, and decision makers usually adopt heuristics to simplify the evaluation process. This paper axiomatizes two closed related and yet different heuristics, narrow bracketing…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-08-30 Mu Zhang

In random expected utility (Gul and Pesendorfer, 2006), the distribution of preferences is uniquely recoverable from random choice. This paper shows through two examples that such uniqueness fails in general if risk preferences are random…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-09-10 Yi-Hsuan Lin

Acquisition of data is a difficult task in many applications of machine learning, and it is only natural that one hopes and expects the population risk to decrease (better performance) monotonically with increasing data points. It turns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Zakaria Mhammedi

Stochastic dominance has been studied extensively, particularly in the finance and economics literature. In this paper, we obtain two results. First, necessary conditions for higher-order inverse stochastic dominance are developed. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-08 Meng Guan , Zhenfeng Zou , Taizhong Hu

Random samples are lossy summaries which allow queries posed over the data to be approximated by applying an appropriate estimator to the sample. The effectiveness of sampling, however, hinges on estimator selection. The choice of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Edith Cohen

This paper investigates the use of risk measures and theories of choice for modeling risk-averse route choice and traffic network equilibrium with random travel times. We interpret the postulates of these theories in the context of routing,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Roberto Cominetti , Alfredo Torrico

We establish a connection between dependence structures and subclasses of distortion riskmetrics under which the latter are additive. A new notion of positive dependence, called partial comonotonicity, is developed, which nests the existing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-16 Muqiao Huang

Evaluating joint probabilities of potential outcomes and observed variables, and their linear combinations, is a fundamental challenge in causal inference. This paper addresses the bounding and identification of these probabilities in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Naoya Hashimoto , Yuta Kawakami , Jin Tian

A dynamic model of collective consumption and saving decisions made by a finite number of agents with constant but different discount rates is developed. Collective utility is a weighted sum of individual utilities with time-varying utility…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-18 Luis A. Alcala

In this paper we focus on the study of the monotonicity properties of the residual and the past extropy as well as on some characterization problems. We then apply the derived results to analyze further stochastic aspects of order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Mohamed Kayid

We define a product of algebraic probability spaces equipped with two states. This product is called a conditionally monotone product. This product is a new example of independence in non-commutative probability theory and unifies the…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2013-12-04 Takahiro Hasebe

By embedding uncertainty into time, we obtain a conjoint axiomatic characterization of both Exponential Discounting and Subjective Expected Utility that accommodates arbitrary state and outcome spaces. In doing so, we provide a novel and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-25 Lorenzo Bastianello , Vassili Vergopoulos

This study proposes a tractable stochastic choice model to identify motivations for prosocial behavior, and to explore alternative motivations of deliberate randomization beyond ex-ante fairness concerns. To represent social preferences, we…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-05-01 Yosuke Hashidate , Keisuke Yoshihara
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