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Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have gained significant traction in the forecasting domain, especially for their capacity to simultaneously account for intra-series temporal correlations and inter-series relationships. This paper introduces a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Abishek Sriramulu , Nicolas Fourrier , Christoph Bergmeir

Spatiotemporal time series forecasting plays a key role in a wide range of real-world applications. While significant progress has been made in this area, fully capturing and leveraging spatiotemporal heterogeneity remains a fundamental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Zheng Dong , Renhe Jiang , Haotian Gao , Hangchen Liu , Jinliang Deng , Qingsong Wen , Xuan Song

Multivariate time-series forecasting plays a crucial role in many real-world applications. It is a challenging problem as one needs to consider both intra-series temporal correlations and inter-series correlations simultaneously. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Defu Cao , Yujing Wang , Juanyong Duan , Ce Zhang , Xia Zhu , Conguri Huang , Yunhai Tong , Bixiong Xu , Jing Bai , Jie Tong , Qi Zhang

Multivariate time series forecasting, which analyzes historical time series to predict future trends, can effectively help decision-making. Complex relations among variables in MTS, including static, dynamic, predictable, and latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Yueyang Wang , Ziheng Duan , Yida Huang , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren

Multivariate time series forecasting poses an ongoing challenge across various disciplines. Time series data often exhibit diverse intra-series and inter-series correlations, contributing to intricate and interwoven dependencies that have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Wanlin Cai , Yuxuan Liang , Xianggen Liu , Jianshuai Feng , Yuankai Wu

We introduce a framework to dynamically combine heterogeneous models called \texttt{DYCHEM}, which forecasts a set of time series that are related through an aggregation hierarchy. Different types of forecasting models can be employed as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Xing Han , Jing Hu , Joydeep Ghosh

Time series prediction has been studied in a variety of domains. However, it is still challenging to predict future series given historical observations and past exogenous data. Existing methods either fail to consider the interactions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-05 Yunzhe Tao , Lin Ma , Weizhong Zhang , Jian Liu , Wei Liu , Qiang Du

In this paper, we consider the problem of event classification with multi-variate time series data consisting of heterogeneous (continuous and categorical) variables. The complex temporal dependencies between the variables combined with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Shengdong Zhang , Soheil Bahrampour , Naveen Ramakrishnan , Mohak Shah

We propose Variational Heteroscedastic Volatility Model (VHVM) -- an end-to-end neural network architecture capable of modelling heteroscedastic behaviour in multivariate financial time series. VHVM leverages recent advances in several…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-13 Zexuan Yin , Paolo Barucca

The prediction of wind in terms of both wind speed and direction, which has a crucial impact on many real-world applications like aviation and wind power generation, is extremely challenging due to the high stochasticity and complicated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Fanling Huang , Yangdong Deng

Time series forecasting is a significant problem in many applications, e.g., financial predictions and business optimization. Modern datasets can have multiple correlated time series, which are often generated with global (shared)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Ling Chen , Weiqi Chen , Binqing Wu , Youdong Zhang , Bo Wen , Chenghu Yang

Hierarchical forecasting problems arise when time series have a natural group structure, and predictions at multiple levels of aggregation and disaggregation across the groups are needed. In such problems, it is often desired to satisfy the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Kin G. Olivares , O. Nganba Meetei , Ruijun Ma , Rohan Reddy , Mengfei Cao , Lee Dicker

In this paper, we propose a machine learning approach for forecasting hierarchical time series. When dealing with hierarchical time series, apart from generating accurate forecasts, one needs to select a suitable method for producing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Paolo Mancuso , Veronica Piccialli , Antonio M. Sudoso

Multivariate time series is prevalent in many scientific and industrial domains. Modeling multivariate signals is challenging due to their long-range temporal dependencies and intricate interactions--both direct and indirect. To confront…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Juhyeon Kim , Hyungeun Lee , Seungwon Yu , Ung Hwang , Wooyul Jung , Miseon Park , Kijung Yoon

Deep dynamic generative models are developed to learn sequential dependencies in time-series data. The multi-layered model is designed by constructing a hierarchy of temporal sigmoid belief networks (TSBNs), defined as a sequential stack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-24 Zhe Gan , Chunyuan Li , Ricardo Henao , David Carlson , Lawrence Carin

Long-term time series forecasting plays an important role in various real-world scenarios. Recent deep learning methods for long-term series forecasting tend to capture the intricate patterns of time series by decomposition-based or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Xing Wang , Zhendong Wang , Kexin Yang , Junlan Feng , Zhiyan Song , Chao Deng , Lin zhu

Air quality forecasting has been regarded as the key problem of air pollution early warning and control management. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning model for air quality (mainly PM2.5) forecasting, which learns the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Shengdong Du , Tianrui Li , Yan Yang , Shi-Jinn Horng

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is crucial in many real-world applications. To achieve accurate MTS forecasting, it is essential to simultaneously consider both intra- and inter-series relationships among time series data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Kun Yi , Qi Zhang , Hui He , Kaize Shi , Liang Hu , Ning An , Zhendong Niu

Telecommunication networks play a critical role in modern society. With the arrival of 5G networks, these systems are becoming even more diversified, integrated, and intelligent. Traffic forecasting is one of the key components in such a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Marcus Kalander , Min Zhou , Chengzhi Zhang , Hanling Yi , Lujia Pan

Multivariate time series forecasting enables the prediction of future states by leveraging historical data, thereby facilitating decision-making processes. Each data node in a multivariate time series encompasses a sequence of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Xinlong Zhao , Liying Zhang , Tianbo Zou , Yan Zhang
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