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In multivariate time series forecasting, the Transformer architecture encounters two significant challenges: effectively mining features from historical sequences and avoiding overfitting during the learning of temporal dependencies. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Han Zhou , Yuntian Chen

Multivariate time series forecasting is an important machine learning problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. Temporal data arise in these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-20 Guokun Lai , Wei-Cheng Chang , Yiming Yang , Hanxiao Liu

Timely accurate traffic forecast is crucial for urban traffic control and guidance. Due to the high nonlinearity and complexity of traffic flow, traditional methods cannot satisfy the requirements of mid-and-long term prediction tasks and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-13 Bing Yu , Haoteng Yin , Zhanxing Zhu

Analyzing both temporal and spatial patterns for an accurate forecasting model for financial time series forecasting is a challenge due to the complex nature of temporal-spatial dynamics: time series from different locations often have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Hu Yang , Yi Huang , Haijun Wang , Yu Chen

Time series forecasting lies at the core of important real-world applications in many fields of science and engineering. The abundance of large time series datasets that consist of complex patterns and long-term dependencies has led to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Nancy Xu , Chrysoula Kosma , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Accurate forecasting of long-term time series has important applications for decision making and planning. However, it remains challenging to capture the long-term dependencies in time series data. To better extract long-term dependencies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-15 Feifei Li , Suhan Guo , Feng Han , Jian Zhao , Furao Shen

Weather Forecasting is an attractive challengeable task due to its influence on human life and complexity in atmospheric motion. Supported by massive historical observed time series data, the task is suitable for data-driven approaches,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Minbo Ma , Peng Xie , Fei Teng , Tianrui Li , Bin Wang , Shenggong Ji , Junbo Zhang

Numerous deep learning architectures have been developed to accommodate the diversity of time series datasets across different domains. In this article, we survey common encoder and decoder designs used in both one-step-ahead and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-28 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

Multivariate time series are routinely encountered in real-world applications, and in many cases, these time series are strongly correlated. In this paper, we present a deep learning structural time series model which can (i) handle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-03 Changwei Hu , Yifan Hu , Sungyong Seo

Multistage stochastic programming provides a modeling framework for sequential decision-making problems that involve uncertainty. One typically overlooked aspect of this methodology is how uncertainty is incorporated into modeling.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik , Merve Bodur

Multivariate time series forecasting focuses on predicting future values based on historical context. State-of-the-art sequence-to-sequence models rely on neural attention between timesteps, which allows for temporal learning but fails to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Jake Grigsby , Zhe Wang , Nam Nguyen , Yanjun Qi

Irregular sampling occurs in many time series modeling applications where it presents a significant challenge to standard deep learning models. This work is motivated by the analysis of physiological time series data in electronic health…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Satya Narayan Shukla , Benjamin M. Marlin

Large collections of time series data are often organized into hierarchies with different levels of aggregation; examples include product and geographical groupings. Probabilistic coherent forecasting is tasked to produce forecasts…

Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series data remains a formidable challenge, particularly due to the growing complexity of temporal dependencies in real-world scenarios. While neural network-based models have achieved notable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Andrey Savchenko , Oleg Kachan

Deep learning has significantly advanced time series forecasting through its powerful capacity to capture sequence relationships. However, training these models with the Mean Square Error (MSE) loss often results in over-smooth predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Dongyue Chen , Emadeldeen Eldele , Qinghua Hu

Real-world time series often exhibit strong non-stationarity, complex nonlinear dynamics, and behavior expressed across multiple temporal scales, from rapid local fluctuations to slow-evolving long-range trends. However, many contemporary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Sumit S Shevtekar , Chandresh K Maurya

Accurate long-horizon prediction of spatiotemporal fields on complex geometries is a fundamental challenge in scientific machine learning, with applications such as additive manufacturing where temperature histories govern defect formation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Lionel Salesses , Larbi Arbaoui , Tariq Benamara , Arnaud Francois , Caroline Sainvitu

Multivariate time series forecasting is extensively studied throughout the years with ubiquitous applications in areas such as finance, traffic, environment, etc. Still, concerns have been raised on traditional methods for incapable of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Yen-Yu Chang , Fan-Yun Sun , Yueh-Hua Wu , Shou-De Lin

The demand of probabilistic time series forecasting has been recently raised in various dynamic system scenarios, for example, system identification and prognostic and health management of machines. To this end, we combine the advances in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Haitao Liu , Changjun Liu , Xiaomo Jiang , Xudong Chen , Shuhua Yang , Xiaofang Wang