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We address the problem of the achievable regret rates with online logistic regression. We derive lower bounds with logarithmic regret under $L_1$, $L_2$, and $L_\infty$ constraints on the parameter values. The bounds are dominated by $d/2…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-20 Gil I. Shamir

Single-agent dynamic discrete choice models are typically estimated using heavily parametrized econometric frameworks, making them susceptible to model misspecification. This paper investigates how misspecification affects the results of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-08 Federico A. Bugni , Takuya Ura

We address the problem of sequential prediction with expert advice in a non-stationary environment with long-term memory guarantees in the sense of Bousquet and Warmuth [4]. We give a linear-time algorithm that improves on the best known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 James Robinson , Mark Herbster

This paper investigates the regret associated with the Distributionally Robust Control (DRC) strategies used to address multistage optimization problems where the involved probability distributions are not known exactly, but rather are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-02 Venkatraman Renganathan , Dongjun Wu

In this paper, we study gap-dependent regret guarantees for risk-sensitive reinforcement learning based on the entropic risk measure. We propose a novel definition of sub-optimality gaps, which we call cascaded gaps, and we discuss their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Yingjie Fei , Ruitu Xu

Generalized linear models are a popular tool in applied statistics, with their maximum likelihood estimators enjoying asymptotic Gaussianity and efficiency. As all models are wrong, it is desirable to understand these estimators' behaviours…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Elliot H. Young , Rajen D. Shah

We develop new approaches in multi-class settings for constructing proper scoring rules and hinge-like losses and establishing corresponding regret bounds with respect to the zero-one or cost-weighted classification loss. Our construction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Zhiqiang Tan , Xinwei Zhang

We study the problem of stochastic contextual bandits in the agnostic setting, where the goal is to compete with the best policy in a given class without assuming realizability or imposing model restrictions on losses or rewards. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-06 Samuel Girard , Aurelien Bibaut , Arthur Gretton , Nathan Kallus , Houssam Zenati

We study two practically important cases of model based clustering using Gaussian Mixture Models: (1) when there is misspecification and (2) on high dimensional data, in the light of recent advances in Gradient Descent (GD) based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-28 Siva Rajesh Kasa , Vaibhav Rajan

We study the problem of expert advice under partial bandit feedback setting and create a sequential minimax optimal algorithm. Our algorithm works with a more general partial monitoring setting, where, in contrast to the classical bandit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

Generalized Bayes posterior distributions are formed by putting a fractional power on the likelihood before combining with the prior via Bayes's formula. This fractional power, which is often viewed as a remedy for potential model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-12 Pei-Shien Wu , Ryan Martin

Clustering is considered a non-supervised learning setting, in which the goal is to partition a collection of data points into disjoint clusters. Often a bound $k$ on the number of clusters is given or assumed by the practitioner. Many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-01 Nir Ailon , Ron Begleiter

We design differentially private algorithms for the problem of prediction with expert advice under dynamic regret, also known as tracking the best expert. Our work addresses three natural types of adversaries, stochastic with shifting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Aadirupa Saha , Vinod Raman , Hilal Asi

We study batch learning with log-loss in the individual setting, where the outcome sequence is deterministic. Because empirical statistics are not directly applicable in this regime, obtaining regret guarantees for batch learning has long…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Yaniv Fogel , Meir Feder

We study the Thompson sampling algorithm in an adversarial setting, specifically, for adversarial bit prediction. We characterize the bit sequences with the smallest and largest expected regret. Among sequences of length $T$ with $k <…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Yuval Lewi , Haim Kaplan , Yishay Mansour

We demonstrate that, in the classical non-stochastic regret minimization problem with $d$ decisions, gains and losses to be respectively maximized or minimized are fundamentally different. Indeed, by considering the additional sparsity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-30 Joon Kwon , Vianney Perchet

We study a dynamic and stochastic knapsack problem in which a decision maker is sequentially presented with items arriving according to a Bernoulli process over $n$ discrete time periods. Items have equal rewards and independent weights…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Alessandro Arlotto , Xinchang Xie

We consider a PAC-Bayes type learning rule for binary classification, balancing the training error of a randomized ''posterior'' predictor with its KL divergence to a pre-specified ''prior''. This can be seen as an extension of a modified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Xiaohan Zhu , Mesrob I. Ohannessian , Nathan Srebro

We argue that for analysis of Positive Unlabeled (PU) data under Selected Completely At Random (SCAR) assumption it is fruitful to view the problem as fitting of misspecified model to the data. Namely, we show that the results on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-06 Mateusz Płatek , Jan Mielniczuk

For the misspecified linear Markov decision process (MLMDP) model of Jin et al. [2020], we propose an algorithm with three desirable properties. (P1) Its regret after $K$ episodes scales as $K \max \{ \varepsilon_{\text{mis}},…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Daniel Vial , Advait Parulekar , Sanjay Shakkottai , R. Srikant
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