Related papers: A variational formula for large deviations in Firs…

We establish precise upper-tail asymptotics and large deviation principles for the rightmost eigenvalue $\lambda_1$ of Wigner matrices with sub-Gaussian entries. In contrast to the case of heavier tails, where deviations of $\lambda_1$ are…

Let $0<a<b<\infty$, and for each edge $e$ of $Z^d$ let $\omega_e=a$ or $\omega_e=b$, each with probability 1/2, independently. This induces a random metric $\dist_\omega$ on the vertices of $Z^d$, called first passage percolation. We prove…

Let $X_k$ denote the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions in a random subset of $\mathbb{Z}/N\mathbb{Z}$ or $\{1, \dots, N\}$ where every element is included independently with probability $p$. We determine the asymptotics of $\log…

We establish sharp tail asymptotics for component-wise extreme values of bivariate Gaussian random vectors with arbitrary correlation between the components. We consider two scaling regimes for the tail event in which we demonstrate the…

The task for a general and useful classification of the tail behaviors of probability distributions still has no satisfactory solution. Due to lack of information outside the range of the data the tails of the distribution should be…

We consider first-passage percolation on the $d$ dimensional cubic lattice for $d \geq 2$; that is, we assign independently to each edge $e$ a nonnegative random weight $t_e$ with a common distribution and consider the induced random graph…

It is shown phenomenologically that the fractional derivative $\xi=D^\alpha u$ of order $\alpha$ of a multifractal function has a power-law tail $\propto |\xi| ^{-p_\star}$ in its cumulative probability, for a suitable range of $\alpha$'s.…

We present an analytical technique to compute the probability of rare events in which the largest eigenvalue of a random matrix is atypically large (i.e.\ the right tail of its large deviations). The results also transfer to the left tail…

In this paper, we study lower tail probabilities of the height function $\mathfrak{h}(M,N)$ of the stochastic six-vertex model. We introduce a novel combinatorial approach to demonstrate that the tail probabilities…

We study the distribution of first-passage functionals ${\cal A}= \int_0^{t_f} x^n(t)\, dt$, where $x(t)$ is a Brownian motion (with or without drift) with diffusion constant $D$, starting at $x_0>0$, and $t_f$ is the first-passage time to…

Consider the upper tail probability that the homomorphism count of a fixed graph $H$ within a large sparse random graph $G_n$ exceeds its expected value by a fixed factor $1+\delta$. Going beyond the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi model, we establish…

Using martingale methods, we obtain some upper bounds for large and moderate deviations of products of independent and identically distributed elements of GL d (R). We investigate all the possible moment conditions, from super-exponential…

We study the site version of (independent) first-passage percolation on the triangular lattice $\mathbb{T}$. Denote the passage time of the site $v$ in $\mathbb{T}$ by $t(v)$, and assume that $P(t(v)=0)=P(t(v)=1)=1/2$. Denote by $a_{0,n}$…

We study the random geometry of first passage percolation on the complete graph equipped with independent and identically distributed edge weights, continuing the program initiated by Bhamidi and van der Hofstad [6]. We describe our results…

We study the short-time behavior of the probability distribution $\mathcal{P}(H,t)$ of the surface height $h(x=0,t)=H$ in the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ) equation in $1+1$ dimension. The process starts from a stationary interface: $h(x,t=0)$…

We study local modifications of the graph distance in large random triangulations. Our main results show that, in large scales, the modified distance behaves like a deterministic constant $\mathbf{c}~\in~(0,\infty)$ times the usual graph…

Consider $\Xi$ a homogeneous Poisson point process on $\mathbb{R}^d$ ($d\geq 2$) with unit intensity with respect to the Lebesgue measure. For $\varepsilon\geq 0$, we define the Boolean model $\Sigma_{p, \varepsilon}$ as the union of the…

Empirical distributions have their in-sample maxima as natural censoring. We look at the "hidden tail", that is, the part of the distribution in excess of the maximum for a sample size of $n$. Using extreme value theory, we examine the…

Let $N$ be the number of triangles in an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph $\mathcal{G}(n,p)$ on $n$ vertices with edge density $p=d/n,$ where $d>0$ is a fixed constant. It is well known that $N$ weakly converges to the Poisson distribution with mean…

We identify the upper large deviation probability for the number of edges in scale-free geometric random graph models as the space volume goes to infinity. Our result covers the models of scale-free percolation, the Boolean model with…