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The lack of long and reliable time series of solar spectral irradiance (SSI) measurements makes an accurate quantification of solar contributions to recent climate change difficult. Whereas earlier SSI observations and models provided a…

Obtaining observational constraints on the role of turbulent effects for the solar dynamo is a difficult, yet crucial, task. Without such knowledge, the full picture of the operation mechanism of the solar dynamo cannot be formed. The…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-10-04 A. P. Prabhu , N. K. Singh , M. J. Käpylä , A. Lagg

Over the past decade, it has become clear that the radiative response to surface temperature change depends on the spatially varying structure in the temperature field, a phenomenon known as the "pattern effect''. The pattern effect is…

Regional climate change in the $21^{st}$ century will result from the interplay between human-induced changes and internal climate variability. Competing effects from greenhouse gas warming and aerosol cooling have historically caused…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-02 Raphaël Hébert , Thomas Laepple

We consider the problem of short- and medium-term electricity load forecasting by using past loads and daily weather forecast information. Conventionally, many researchers have directly applied regression analysis. However, interpreting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-03 Kei Hirose

This paper describes some of the astronomical effects that could be important for understanding the ice ages, historic climate changes and the recent temperature increase. These include changes in the sun's luminosity, periodic changes in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-02-03 Donald C. Morton

Quantitative thermodynamical, dynamical and magnetic properties of the solar and stellar plasmas are obtained by interpreting their emergent non-polarized and polarized spectrum. This inference requires the selection of a set of spectral…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-05-25 A. Asensio Ramos , J. de la Cruz Rodriguez , M. J. Martinez Gonzalez , A. Pastor Yabar

Technological advances in high performance computing and maturing physical models allow scientists to simulate weather and climate evolutions with an increasing accuracy. While this improved accuracy allows us to explore complex dynamical…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Simon Schneegans , Lori Neary , Markus Flatken , Andreas Gerndt

We introduce a method for decomposition of trend, cycle and seasonal components in spatio-temporal models and apply it to investigate the existence of climate changes in temperature and rainfall series. The method incorporates critical…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-21 Marcio Poletti Laurini

Meaningful climate predictions must be accompanied by their corresponding range of uncertainty. Quantifying the uncertainties is non-trivial, and different methods have been suggested and used in the past. Here, we propose a method that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-03-14 Ehud Strobach , Golan Bel

For the time being, Earth remains the best and only example of a habitable (and inhabited) world. Therefore, it is important to explore and understand the full range of spectral signatures and variability of Earth in order to inform the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-11 Jean-Noël Mettler , Sascha P. Quanz , Ravit Helled

The state of earth's climate is constrained by well-known physical principles such as energy balance and the conservation of energy. Increased greenhouse gas concentrations affect the atmospheric optical depth, and physical consistency…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-06-27 Rasmus E. Benestad

In this paper, we interpret disentanglement as the discovery of local charts of the data manifold and trace how this definition naturally leads to an equivalent condition for disentanglement: commutativity between factors of variation. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-19 Frank Qiu

Stochastic methods are a crucial area in contemporary climate research and are increasingly being used in comprehensive weather and climate prediction models as well as reduced order climate models. Stochastic methods are used as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Christian L. E. Franzke , Terence J. O'Kane , Judith Berner , Paul D. Williams , Valerio Lucarini

Venus and Earth are similar in bulk properties yet followed dramatically different climatic trajectories. Reconstructing Venus's climate evolution requires understanding how rotation, obliquity, eccentricity, and solar luminosity shaped…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-13 Stephen R. Kane

Clouds cast shadows on the surface and locally enhance solar irradiance by absorbing and scattering sunlight, resulting in fast and large solar irradiance fluctuations on the surface. Typical spatiotemporal scales and driving mechanisms of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-09 Wouter Mol , Bart van Stratum , Wouter Knap , Chiel van Heerwaarden

The variable Sun is the most likely candidate for natural forcing of past climate change on time scales of 50 to 1000 years. Evidence for this understanding is that the terrestrial climate correlates positively with solar activity. During…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 A. I. Shapiro , W. Schmutz , E. Rozanov , M. Schoell , M. Haberreiter , A. V. Shapiro , S. Nyeki

The usage of a spot volatility estimate based on a volatility decomposition in a time-changed price-model according to the trading times is investigated. In this model clock-time volatility splits up into the product of tick-time volatility…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Sophon Tunyavetchakit

In this lengthy letter, we wanted to discuss the concept of climate based on definitions established for over a century and direct observations that we have been collecting for more than a century as well. To do this, we present and discuss…

Wetlands constitute critical ecosystems that support both biodiversity and human well-being; however, they have experienced a significant decline since the 20th century. Back in the 1970s, researchers began to employ remote sensing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Shuai Yuan , Xiangan Liang , Tianwu Lin , Shuang Chen , Rui Liu , Jie Wang , Hongsheng Zhang , Peng Gong
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