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Simultaneous concurrence of extreme values across multiple climate variables can result in large societal and environmental impacts. Therefore, there is growing interest in understanding these concurrent extremes. In many applications, not…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-16 Whitney K. Huang , Adam H. Monahan , Francis W. Zwiers

Understanding the interactions between ice sheets and global climate forcings over geological timescales is essential for projecting their future. Previous studies have highlighted the role of ice dynamics and climate interactions in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Pijush Patra , Ludovico T. Giorgini , J. S. Wettlaufer

The global ocean meridional overturning circulation (GMOC) is central for ocean transport and climate variations. However, a comprehensive picture of its historical mean state and variability remains vague due to limitations in modelling…

Environmental and climate processes are often distributed over large space-time domains. Their complexity and the amount of available data make modelling and analysis a challenging task. Statistical modelling of environment and climate data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-02 Behnaz Pirzamanbein

The appropriate weather prediction is a challenging task and it can be feasible with proper wind speed fluctuation analysis. In this current paper daubechies-4 wavelet is used to analyze the winter wind speed fluctuations due to lesser…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Sabyasachi Mukhopadhyay , Prasanta K Panigrahi

The paper presents a construction of a quantitative measure of variability for parameter estimates in the data fitting problem under interval uncertainty. It shows the degree of variability and ambiguity of the estimate, and the need for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Sergey P. Shary

According to a recent investigation, an estimated 33-50% of the world's coral reefs have undergone degradation, believed to be as a result of climate change. A strong driver of climate change and the subsequent environmental impact are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Shubhankar Deshpande , Brian D. Bue , David R. Thompson , Vijay Natraj , Mario Parente

Time variation and persistence are crucial properties of volatility that are often studied separately in energy volatility forecasting models. Here, we propose a novel approach that allows shocks with heterogeneous persistence to vary…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-09 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

Decadal temperature prediction provides crucial information for quantifying the expected effects of future climate changes and thus informs strategic planning and decision-making in various domains. However, such long-term predictions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Jinfu Ren , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

Earthshine observations offer a unique opportunity to study Earth as an exoplanet seen from the Moon. As the Sun-Earth-Moon geometry changes, Earth can be observed as a spatially unresolved exoplanet at different phase angles, providing…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-18 Giulia Roccetti , Michael F. Sterzik , Claudia Emde , Mihail Manev , Stefano Bagnulo , Julia V. Seidel

This article reviews some of the leading results obtained in solar dynamo physics by using temporal oscillator models as a tool to interpret observational data and dynamo model predictions. We discuss how solar observational data such as…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-07-21 Ilídio Lopes , Dário Passos , Melinda Nagy , Kristof Petrovay

We present an analysis of the global-integrated mid-infrared emission flux of the Earth based on data derived from satellite measurements. We have studied the photometric annual, seasonal, and rotational variability of the thermal emission…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 I. Gómez-Leal , E. Pallé , F. Selsis

Severity of warming predicted by climate models depends on their Transient Climate Response (TCR). Inter-model spread of TCR has persisted at ~100% of its mean for decades. Existing observational constraints of TCR are based on observed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-25 King-Fai Li , Ka-Kit Tung

Weather forecasting is crucial for public safety, disaster prevention and mitigation, agricultural production, and energy management, with global relevance. Although deep learning has significantly advanced weather prediction, current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Shixuan Li , Wei Yang , Peiyu Zhang , Xiongye Xiao , Defu Cao , Yuehan Qin , Xiaole Zhang , Yue Zhao , Paul Bogdan

Modeling environmental ecosystems is critical for the sustainability of our planet, but is extremely challenging due to the complex underlying processes driven by interactions amongst a large number of physical variables. As many variables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Shiyuan Luo , Juntong Ni , Shengyu Chen , Runlong Yu , Yiqun Xie , Licheng Liu , Zhenong Jin , Huaxiu Yao , Xiaowei Jia

Here we define natural chaotic systems, like the earths weather and climate system, as chaotic systems which are open to the world so have constantly changing boundary conditions, and measurements of their states are subject to errors. In…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-09-24 Michael LuValle

We propose a data-driven framework to simplify the description of spatiotemporal climate variability into few entities and their causal linkages. Given a high-dimensional climate field, the methodology first reduces its dimensionality into…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-08 Fabrizio Falasca , Pavel Perezhogin , Laure Zanna

The Sun has long been considered a constant star, to the extent that its total irradiance was termed the solar constant. It required radiometers in space to detect the small variations in solar irradiance on timescales of the solar rotation…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Sami K. Solanki , Yvonne C. Unruh

We characterise the long-term variability of European near-surface wind speeds using 142 years of data from the Twentieth Century Reanalysis (20CR), and consider the potential of such long-baseline climate data sets for wind energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-09-08 Philip E. Bett , Hazel E. Thornton , Robin T. Clark

Most of dynamic systems which exhibit chaotic behavior are also known to posses self-similarity and manifest strong fluctuations of all possible scales.The meaning of this terms is not always same. In present note we make an attempt to…

chao-dyn · Physics 2016-08-31 Mikhail V. Altaisky
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