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We study the distribution of the maximal jump of continuous-state branching processes. Several exact expressions and explicit asymptotics of both the local maximal jump and the global maximal jump are obtained. We also compare the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-16 Xin He , Zenghu Li

We consider a jump-type Cox--Ingersoll--Ross (CIR) process driven by a standard Wiener process and a subordinator, and we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for its growth rate. We distinguish three cases:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

We study the asymptotic distribution, as the volume parameter goes to 1, of the peak (largest part) of finite- or slowly-growing-width cylindric plane partitions weighted by their trace, seam, and volume. There are two natural asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Dan Betea , Alessandra Occelli

We consider a one-dimensional recurrent random walk in random environment (RWRE) when the environment is i.i.d. with a parametric, finitely supported distribution. Based on a single observation of the path, we provide a maximum likelihood…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Francis Comets , Mikael Falconnet , Oleg Loukianov , Dasha Loukianova

We consider the probability that a weighted sum of $n$ i.i.d. random variables $X_j$, $j = 1, . . ., n$, with stretched exponential tails is larger than its expectation and determine the rate of its decay, under suitable conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Nina Gantert , Kavita Ramanan , Franz Rembart

We derive tail asymptotics for the running maximum of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. The main result is proved by the saddle point method, where the tail estimate uses a new monotonicity property of the Kummer function. This auxiliary…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-23 Stefan Gerhold , Friedrich Hubalek , Richard B. Paris

We evaluate the limit distribution of the maximal excursion of a random walk in any dimension for homogeneous environments and for self-similar supports under the assumption of spherical symmetry. This distribution is obtained in closed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Roger Bidaux , Jerome Chave , Radim Vocka

We study the probability distribution $P(X_N=X,N)$ of the total displacement $X_N$ of an $N$-step run and tumble particle on a line, in presence of a constant nonzero drive $E$. While the central limit theorem predicts a standard Gaussian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-01 Giacomo Gradenigo , Satya N. Majumdar

Let $\{\mm_n, n=0,1,...\}$ be the supercritical branching random walk starting with one initial ancestor located at the origin of the real line. For $n=0,1,...$ let $W_n$ be the moment generating function of $\mm_n$ normalized by its mean.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Aleksander Iksanov , Sergey Polotskiy

We study tail behaviour of the distribution of the area under the positive excursion of a random walk which has negative drift and heavy-tailed increments. We determine the asymptotics for tail probabilities for the area.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-03 Denis Denisov , Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

Let $X(s,t), (s,t)\in E$, with $E\subset \mathbb{R}^2$ a compact set, be a centered two dimensional Gaussian random field with continuous trajectories and variance function $\sigma(s,t)$. Denote by $\mathcal{L}=\{(s,t):…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-23 Peng Liu

We give the distribution function of $M_n$, the maximum of a sequence of $n$ observations from an autoregressive process of order 2. Solutions are first given in terms of repeated integrals and then for the case, where the underlying random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-02 C. S. Withers , S. Nadarajah

In this paper, we deal with the asymptotic distribution of the maximum increment of a random walk with a regularly varying jump size distribution. This problem is motivated by a long-standing problem on change point detection for epidemic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Thomas Mikosch , Alfredas Račkauskas

We study nearest neighbor random walks on fixed environments of $\mathbb{Z}$ composed of two point types : $(1/2,1/2)$ and $(p,1-p)$ for $p>1/2$. We show that for every environment with density of $p$ drifts bounded by $\lambda$ we have…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Eviatar B. Procaccia , Ron Rosenthal

In this paper, the local asymptotic estimation for the supremum of a random walk and its applications are presented. The summands of the random walk have common long-tailed and generalized strong subexponential distribution. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Yuebao Wang , Hui Xu , Dongya Cheng , Changjun Yu

Let $X_{1},\ldots ,X_{n}$ be $n$ real-valued dependent random variables. With motivation from Mitra and Resnick (2009), we derive the tail asymptotic expansion for the weighted sum of order statistics $X_{1:n}\leq \cdots \leq X_{n:n}$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-07 Enkelejd Hashorva , Jinzhi Li

Let $X=(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$ be a vector of i.i.d. random variables where $X_i$'s take values over $\mathbb{N}$. The purpose of this paper is to study the number of weakly increasing subsequences of $X$ of a given length $k$, and the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-15 Ümit Işlak , Alperen Y. Özdemir

A connection is made between the random turns model of vicious walkers and random permutations indexed by their increasing subsequences. Consequently the scaled distribution of the maximum displacements in a particular asymmeteric version…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. J. Forrester

We consider point process convergence for sequences of iid random walks. The objective is to derive asymptotic theory for the largest extremes of these random walks. We show convergence of the maximum random walk to the Gumbel or the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Thomas Mikosch , Jorge Yslas

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the location parameter of the Pearson Type VII distribution with known scale. We rigorously establish precise asymptotic properties such as strong consistency, asymptotic normality, Bahadur…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Kazuki Okamura