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While Robust Model Predictive Control considers the worst-case system uncertainty, Stochastic Model Predictive Control, using chance constraints, provides less conservative solutions by allowing a certain constraint violation probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-17 Tim Brüdigam , Victor Gaßmann , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

We present two data-driven methods for estimating reachable sets with probabilistic guarantees. Both methods make use of a probabilistic formulation allowing for a formal definition of a data-driven reachable set approximation that is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-08 Alex Devonport , Murat Arcak

In this paper, we address the probabilistic error quantification of a general class of prediction methods. We consider a given prediction model and show how to obtain, through a sample-based approach, a probabilistic upper bound on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Victor Mirasierra , Martina Mammarella , Fabrizio Dabbene , Teodoro Alamo

Chance-constrained programming (CCP) is one of the most difficult classes of optimization problems that has attracted the attention of researchers since the 1950s. In this survey, we focus on cases when only a limited information on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-15 Simge Küçükyavuz , Ruiwei Jiang

Chance constrained programming (CCP) refers to a type of optimization problem with uncertain constraints that are satisfied with at least a prescribed probability level. In this work, we study the sample average approximation (SAA) of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-30 Peng Wang , Rujun Jiang , Qingyuan Kong , Laura Balzano

The "scenario approach" provides an intuitive method to address chance constrained problems arising in control design for uncertain systems. It addresses these problems by replacing the chance constraint with a finite number of sampled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-05 Xiaojing Zhang , Sergio Grammatico , Georg Schildbach , Paul Goulart , John Lygeros

We present new algorithms and fast implementations to find efficient approximations for modelling stochastic processes. For many numerical computations it is essential to develop finite approximations for stochastic processes. While the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Kipngeno Benard Kirui , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

When expert systems based on causal probabilistic networks (CPNs) reach a certain size and complexity, the "combinatorial explosion monster" tends to be present. We propose an approximation scheme that identifies rarely occurring cases and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Frank Jensen , S. K. Anderson

In this paper, we introduce a method for approximating the solution to inference and optimization tasks in uncertain and deterministic reasoning. Such tasks are in general intractable for exact algorithms because of the large number of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 David Ephraim Larkin

We consider chance-constrained problems with discrete random distribution. We aim for problems with a large number of scenarios. We propose a novel method based on the stochastic gradient descent method which performs updates of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Lukáš Adam , Martin Branda

We first review existing sequential methods for estimating a binomial proportion. Afterward, we propose a new family of group sequential sampling schemes for estimating a binomial proportion with prescribed margin of error and confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Zhengjia Chen , Xinjia Chen

There has been an increasing demand for formal methods in the design process of safety-critical synthetic genetic circuits. Probabilistic model checking techniques have demonstrated significant potential in analyzing the intrinsic…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2019-01-24 Thakur Neupane , Zhen Zhang , Curtis Madsen , Hao Zheng , Chris J. Myers

In this paper, "chance optimization" problems are introduced, where one aims at maximizing the probability of a set defined by polynomial inequalities. These problems are, in general, nonconvex and computationally hard. With the objective…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-05-12 Ashkan Jasour , Necdet Serhat Aybat , Constantino Lagoa

The problem of achieving a good trade-off in Stochastic Model Predictive Control between the competing goals of improving the average performance and reducing conservativeness, while still guaranteeing recursive feasibility and low…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Matthias Lorenzen , Frank Allgöwer , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo

We present here a simple probabilistic approach for determining an optimal progressive censoring scheme by defining a probability structure on the set of feasible solutions. Given an initial solution, the new updated solution is computed…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-09 Ritwik Bhattacharya , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

Given an arbitrary long but finite sequence of observations from a finite set, we construct a simple process that approximates the sequence, in the sense that with high probability the empirical frequency, as well as the empirical one-step…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Dinah Rosenberg , Eilon Solan , Nicolas Vieille

System modeling is a classical approach to ensure their reliability since it is suitable both for a formal verification and for software testing techniques. In the context of model-based testing an approach combining random testing and…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-06-14 Julien Bernard , Pierre-Cyrille Héam , Olga Kouchnarenko

Constrained counting is important in domains ranging from artificial intelligence to software analysis. There are already a few approaches for counting models over various types of constraints. Recently, hashing-based approaches achieve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-06-14 Cunjing Ge , Feifei Ma , Tian Liu , Jian Zhang

We investigate a class of chance-constrained combinatorial optimization problems. Given a pre-specified risk level $\epsilon \in [0,1]$, the chance-constrained program aims to find the minimum cost selection of a vector of binary decisions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Hao-Hsiang Wu , Simge Kucukyavuz

This paper describes a class of probabilistic approximation algorithms based on bucket elimination which offer adjustable levels of accuracy and efficiency. We analyze the approximation for several tasks: finding the most probable…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Rina Dechter , Irina Rish