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In high-risk environments, traditional indemnity insurance is often unaffordable or ineffective, despite its well-known optimality under expected utility. We compare excess-of-loss indemnity insurance with parametric insurance within a…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-10 Benjamin Avanzi , Debbie Kusch Falden , Mogens Steffensen

The Health and Retirement Study is a longitudinal study of US adults enrolled at age 50 and older. We were interested in investigating the effect of a sudden large decline in wealth on the cognitive score of subjects. Our analysis was…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-16 Yaoyuan Vincent Tan , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Lindsay R. Pool , Michael R. Elliott

The new era of large-scale data collection and analysis presents an opportunity for diagnosing and understanding the causes of health inequities. In this study, we describe a framework for systematically analyzing health disparities using…

Deep learning (DL) can aid doctors in detecting worsening patient states early, affording them time to react and prevent bad outcomes. While DL-based early warning models usually work well in the hospitals they were trained for, they tend…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Patrick Rockenschaub , Adam Hilbert , Tabea Kossen , Falk von Dincklage , Vince Istvan Madai , Dietmar Frey

South Africa's disability grants program is tied to its HIV/AIDS recovery program, such that individuals who are ill enough may qualify. Qualification is historically tied to a CD4 count of 200 cells/mm3, which improve when a person adheres…

General Economics · Economics 2018-10-05 Noah Haber , Till Bärnighausen , Jacob Bor , Jessica Cohen , Frank Tanser , Deenan Pillay , Günther Fink

This paper proposes a new method for analysis of adverse event data in clinical trials. The method is illustrated by application to data on 4 phase III clinical trials, two on breast cancer and two on diabetes mellitus.

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-04 Sharayu Paranjpe , Anil Gore

Augmenting the control arm in clinical trials with external data can improve statistical power for demonstrating treatment effects. In many time-to-event outcome trials, participants are subject to truncation by death. Direct application of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Zehao Su , Helene C. W. Rytgaard , Henrik Ravn , Frank Eriksson

As large language models (LLMs) become increasingly integrated into hiring processes, concerns about fairness have gained prominence. When applying for jobs, companies often request/require demographic information, including gender, race,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Mahammed Kamruzzaman , Gene Louis Kim

We conduct a randomized experiment that varies one-time health insurance subsidy amounts (partial and full) in Ghana to study the impacts of subsidies on insurance enrollment and health care utilization. We find that both partial and full…

General Economics · Economics 2021-05-04 Patrick Opoku Asuming , Hyuncheol Bryant Kim , Armand Sim

This paper combines causal mediation analysis with double machine learning to control for observed confounders in a data-driven way under a selection-on-observables assumption in a high-dimensional setting. We consider the average indirect…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-17 Helmut Farbmacher , Martin Huber , Lukáš Lafférs , Henrika Langen , Martin Spindler

Differences-in-differences (DiD) is a causal inference method for observational longitudinal data that assumes parallel expected potential outcome trajectories between treatment groups under the counterfactual scenario where all units…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Michael Jetsupphasuk , Didong Li , Michael G. Hudgens

Using unique research data, we investigate disability retirement risk under the statutory public sector pension scheme in Finland. The statistical analysis yields two indicators: risk for upcoming permanent disability pension and critical…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-29 Petra Sohlman , Risto Louhi , Janne Salonen

In a pilot program during the 2016-17 admissions cycle, the University of California, Berkeley invited many applicants for freshman admission to submit letters of recommendation. We use this pilot as the basis for an observational study of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Eli Ben-Michael , Avi Feller , Jesse Rothstein

No one doubts the utility of insurance for its ability to spread risk or streamline claims management; much debated is when and how insurance uptake can improve welfare by reducing harm, despite moral hazard. Proponents and dissenters of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Cristian Trout

In mobile health, tailoring interventions for real-time delivery is of paramount importance. Micro-randomized trials have emerged as the "gold-standard" methodology for developing such interventions. Analyzing data from these trials…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-31 Xueqing Liu , Tianchen Qian , Lauren Bell , Bibhas Chakraborty

Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) describes the adverse effects of drugs that damage liver. Life-threatening results including liver failure or death were also reported in severe DILI cases. Therefore, DILI-related events are strictly…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Xianghao Zhan , Fanjin Wang , Olivier Gevaert

Difference-in-differences (DiD) is a popular approach to evaluate treatment effects in settings where both pre- and post-treatment measurements of the outcome are available. Despite its popularity, existing methods face important…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Chan Park , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Interference bias is a major impediment to identifying causal effects in real-world settings. For example, vaccination reduces the transmission of a virus in a population such that everyone benefits -- even those who are not treated. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Michael O'Riordan , Ciarán M. Gilligan-Lee

I examine the impacts of extending residency training programs on the supply and quality of physicians practicing primary care. I leverage mandated extended residency lengths for primary care practitioners that were rolled out over 20 years…

General Economics · Economics 2023-07-11 Stephenson Strobel

In situations where it is difficult to enroll patients in randomized controlled trials, external data can improve efficiency and feasibility. In such cases, adaptive trial designs could be used to decrease enrollment in the control arm of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-02 Brian D. Segal , W. Katherine Tan