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In this paper, we model dependence between operational risks by allowing risk profiles to evolve stochastically in time and to be dependent. This allows for a flexible correlation structure where the dependence between frequencies of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-31 Gareth W. Peters , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Mario V. Wüthrich

Our paper contributes to the theory of conditional risk measures and conditional certainty equivalents. We adopt a random modular approach which proved to be effective in the study of modular convex analysis and conditional risk measures.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-10 Giulio Principi , Fabio Maccheroni

We develop a block-activated decomposition algorithm for multi-stage stochastic variational inequalities with nonanticipativity constraints, which features two computational novelties: (i) At each iteration, our method activates only a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Minh N. Bùi

The conditional mean risk-sharing (CMRS) rule is an important tool for distributing aggregate losses across individual risks, but its implementation in continuous multivariate models typically requires complicated multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Christopher Blier-Wong

The need to condition distributional properties such as expectation, variance, and entropy arises in algorithmic fairness, model simplification, robustness and many other areas. At face value however, distributional properties are not…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Zenna Tavares , Xin Zhang , Edgar Minaysan , Javier Burroni , Rajesh Ranganath , Armando Solar Lezama

We consider a multiperiod stochastic capacitated facility location problem under uncertain demand and budget in each period. Using a scenario tree representation of the uncertainties, we formulate a multistage stochastic integer program to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Xian Yu , Siqian Shen

We propose a distributionally robust formulation of the traditional risk parity portfolio optimization problem. Distributional robustness is introduced by targeting the discrete probabilities attached to each observation used during…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-14 Giorgio Costa , Roy H. Kwon

The Rational Unified Process a software engineering process is gaining popularity nowadays. RUP delivers best software practices for component software Development life cycle It supports component based software development. Risk is…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2012-02-14 Rashmi Gupta , Shalini Raghav

We propose a numerical recipe for risk evaluation defined by a backward stochastic differential equation. Using dual representation of the risk measure, we convert the risk valuation to a stochastic control problem where the control is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-24 Andrzej Ruszczynski , Jianing Yao

Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RL) is crucial for maintaining reliable performance in high-stakes applications. While traditional RL methods aim to learn a point estimate of the random cumulative cost, distributional RL (DRL) seeks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Minheng Xiao , Xian Yu , Lei Ying

This paper investigates the joint optimization of condition-based maintenance and spare provisioning, incorporating insights obtained from sensor data. Prognostic models estimate components' remaining lifetime distributions (RLDs), which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-14 Heraldo Rozas , Weijun Xie , Nagi Gebraeel , Stephen Robinson

Risk-bounded motion planning is an important yet difficult problem for safety-critical tasks. While existing mathematical programming methods offer theoretical guarantees in the context of constrained Markov decision processes, they either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Xin Huang , Meng Feng , Ashkan Jasour , Guy Rosman , Brian Williams

Despite its prevalence, probabilistic bisimilarity suffers from a lack of robustness under minuscule perturbations of the transition probabilities. This can lead to discontinuities in the probabilistic bisimilarity distance function,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Syyeda Zainab Fatmi , Stefan Kiefer , David Parker , Franck van Breugel

Functional data analysis is a fast evolving branch of statistics. Estimation procedures for the popular functional linear model either suffer from lack of robustness or are computationally burdensome. To address these shortcomings, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-27 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stefan Van Aelst

A composite likelihood is an inference function derived by multiplying a set of likelihood components. This approach provides a flexible framework for drawing inference when the likelihood function of a statistical model is computationally…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Giuseppe Alfonzetti , Ruggero Bellio , Yunxiao Chen , Irini Moustaki

Control architectures and autonomy stacks for complex engineering systems are often divided into layers to decompose a complex problem and solution into distinct, manageable sub-problems. To simplify designs, uncertainties are often ignored…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-30 Tyler Summers , Maryam Kamgarpour

We consider estimation of the structural distribution function of the cell probabilities of a multinomial sample in situations where the number of cells is large. We review the performance of the natural estimator, an estimator based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. van Es , C. A. J. Klaassen , R. M. Mnatsakanov

In reinforcement learning (RL), the consideration of multivariate reward signals has led to fundamental advancements in multi-objective decision-making, transfer learning, and representation learning. This work introduces the first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Harley Wiltzer , Jesse Farebrother , Arthur Gretton , Mark Rowland

We study iterative methods for (two-stage) robust combinatorial optimization problems with discrete uncertainty. We propose a machine-learning-based heuristic to determine starting scenarios that provide strong lower bounds. To this end, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-26 Marc Goerigk , Jannis Kurtz

We extend the classical risk minimization model with scalar risk measures to the general case of set-valued risk measures. The problem we obtain is a set-valued optimization model and we propose a goal programming-based approach with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-20 Davide La Torre , Marco Maggis