English

A Laplace-based perspective on conditional mean risk sharing

Statistics Theory 2026-03-03 v1 Risk Management Statistics Theory

Abstract

The conditional mean risk-sharing (CMRS) rule is an important tool for distributing aggregate losses across individual risks, but its implementation in continuous multivariate models typically requires complicated multidimensional integrals. We develop a framework to compute CMRS allocations from the joint Laplace--Stieltjes transform of the risk vector. The LSTs of the allocation measures νi(B)=E[Xi1{SB}]\nu_i(B)=\mathbb{E}[X_i\boldsymbol{1}_{\{S\in B\}}] are expressed as partial derivatives of the joint LST evaluated on the diagonal t1==tnt_1=\cdots=t_n. When densities exist, this yields one-dimensional Laplace inversions for fSf_S and ξi\xi_i, and hence hi(s)=ξi(s)/fS(s)h_i(s)=\xi_i(s)/f_S(s) on the absolutely continuous part, providing closed-form or semi-analytic solutions for a broad class of distributions. We also develop numerical inversion methods for cases where analytic inversion is unavailable. We introduce an exponential tilting procedure to stabilize numerical inversion in low-probability aggregate events. We provide several examples to illustrate the approach, including in some high-dimensional settings where existing approaches are infeasible.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2603.01434,
  title  = {A Laplace-based perspective on conditional mean risk sharing},
  author = {Christopher Blier-Wong},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.01434},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T10:58:29.886Z