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A method for sequential Bayesian inference of the static parameters of a dynamic state space model is proposed. The method is based on the observation that many dynamic state space models have a relatively small number of static parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-28 Arnab Bhattacharya , Simon Wilson

We propose a data-driven method to learn the time-dependent probability density of a multivariate stochastic process from sample paths, assuming that the initial probability density is known and can be evaluated. Our method uses a novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-19 Agnimitra Dasgupta , Javier Murgoitio-Esandi , Ali Fardisi , Assad A Oberai

This paper presents a Bayesian estimation method for the passive localization of an acoustic source in shallow water. Our probabilistic focalization approach estimates the time-varying source location by associating direction of arrival…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-15 Florian Meyer , Kay L. Gemba

We study an optimal transportation approach for recovering parameters in dynamical systems with a single smoothly varying attractor. We assume that the data is not sufficient for estimating time derivatives of state variables but enough to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Yunan Yang , Levon Nurbekyan , Elisa Negrini , Robert Martin , Mirjeta Pasha

Bayesian model selection provides a powerful framework for objectively comparing models directly from observed data, without reference to ground truth data. However, Bayesian model selection requires the computation of the marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Xiaohao Cai , Jason D. McEwen , Marcelo Pereyra

The reconstruction of the unknown acoustic source is studied using the noisy multiple frequency data on a remote closed surface. Assume that the unknown source is coded in a spatial dependent piecewise constant function, whose support set…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Zhiliang Deng , Xiaomei Yang , Jiangfeng Huang

I introduce a general, Bayesian method for modelling univariate time series data assumed to be drawn from a continuous, stochastic process. The method accommodates arbitrary temporal sampling, and takes into account measurement…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-24 C. A. L. Bailer-Jones

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

We consider a random walker whose motion is tethered around a focal point. We use two models that exhibit the same spatial dependence in the steady state but widely different dynamics. In one case, the walker is subject to a deterministic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-01-11 Luca Giuggioli , Shamik Gupta , Matt Chase

We provide new convergence guarantees in Wasserstein distance for diffusion-based generative models, covering both stochastic (DDPM-like) and deterministic (DDIM-like) sampling methods. We introduce a simple framework to analyze…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Eliot Beyler , Francis Bach

We explore various Bayesian approaches to estimate partial Gaussian graphical models. Our hierarchical structures enable to deal with single-output as well as multiple-output linear regressions, in small or high dimension, enforcing either…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Eunice Okome Obiang , Pascal Jézéquel , Frédéric Proïa

This paper studies the numerical solution of traveling singular sources problems. In such problems, a big challenge is the sources move with different speeds, which are described by some ordinary differential equations. A…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-30 Zhicheng Hu , Keiwei Liang

In this paper, we compare the performance of two methods for estimating Bayesian networks from data containing exogenous variables and random effects. The first method is fully Bayesian in which a prior distribution is placed on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-12-02 Jessica Kasza , Patty Solomon

Many scientific and industrial processes produce data that is best analysed as vectors of relative values, often called compositions or proportions. The Dirichlet distribution is a natural distribution to use for composition or proportion…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-15 Sean van der Merwe

In the case of informative sampling the sampling scheme explicitly or implicitly depends on the response variable. As a result, the sample distribution of response variable can- not be used for making inference about the population. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-18 Anna Sikov

Sampling is often a necessary evil to reduce the processing and storage costs of distributed tracing. In this work, we describe a scalable and adaptive sampling approach that can preserve events of interest better than the widely used…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-07-19 Otmar Ertl

We study the inverse problem of recovering the order and the diffusion coefficient of an elliptic fractional partial differential equation from a finite number of noisy observations of the solution. We work in a Bayesian framework and show…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

This paper considers the problem of regression over distributions, which is becoming increasingly important in machine learning. Existing approaches often ignore the geometry of the probability space or are computationally expensive. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Maksim Maslov , Alexander Kugaevskikh , Matthew Ivanov

The inverse acoustic scattering problems using multi-frequency backscattering far field patterns at isolated directions are studied. The underlying object could be point like scatterers, small scatterers, extended inhomogeneities and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Xia Ji , Xiaodong Liu

We propose a Bayesian approach to the problem of multi-reference alignment -- the recovery of signals from noisy, randomly shifted observations. While existing frequentist methods accurately recover the signal at arbitrarily low…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-15 Axel Janson , Joakim Andén
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