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We propose a general method for distributed Bayesian model choice, using the marginal likelihood, where a data set is split in non-overlapping subsets. These subsets are only accessed locally by individual workers and no data is shared…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-18 Alexander Buchholz , Daniel Ahfock , Sylvia Richardson

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

We address the problem of static OD matrix estimation from a formal statistical viewpoint. We adopt a novel Bayesian framework to develop a class of models that explicitly cast trip configurations in the study region as random variables. As…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-17 Luis Carvalho

Seismic traveltime tomography represents a popular and useful tool for unravelling the structure of the subsurface across the scales. In this work we address the case where the forward model is represented by the eikonal equation and derive…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-08-21 Andrea Zunino , Scott Keating , Andreas Fichtner

We consider point sources in hyperbolic equations discretized by finite differences. If the source is stationary, appropriate source discretization has been shown to preserve the accuracy of the finite difference method. Moving point…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-24 Ylva Ljungberg Rydin , Martin Almquist

This thesis describes work on two applications of probabilistic programming: the learning of probabilistic program code given specifications, in particular program code of one-dimensional samplers; and the facilitation of sequential Monte…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-21 Yura N Perov

This paper proposes a novel diffusion-based posterior sampling method within a plug-and-play (PnP) framework. Our approach constructs a probability transport from an easy-to-sample terminal distribution to the target posterior, using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-10 Jinyuan Chang , Chenguang Duan , Yuling Jiao , Ruoxuan Li , Jerry Zhijian Yang , Cheng Yuan

For in vivo research experiments with small sample sizes and available historical data, we propose a sequential Bayesian method for the Behrens-Fisher problem. We consider it as a model choice question with two models in competition: one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Antoine Barbieri , Jean-Michel Marin , Karine Florin

An important task in computational statistics and machine learning is to approximate a posterior distribution $p(x)$ with an empirical measure supported on a set of representative points $\{x_i\}_{i=1}^n$. This paper focuses on methods…

We study the problem of estimating the mode and maximum of an unknown regression function in the presence of noise. We adopt the Bayesian approach by using tensor-product B-splines and endowing the coefficients with Gaussian priors. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-16 William Weimin Yoo , Subhashis Ghosal

In distributed optimization and distributed numerical linear algebra, we often encounter an inversion bias: if we want to compute a quantity that depends on the inverse of a sum of distributed matrices, then the sum of the inverses does not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-29 Michał Dereziński , Michael W. Mahoney

We consider jointly estimating the coefficient matrix and the error precision matrix in high-dimensional multivariate linear regression models. Bayesian methods in this context often face computational challenges, leading to previous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-25 Xuan Cao , Kyoungjae Lee

A probabilistic technique for the joint estimation of background and sources with the aim of detecting faint and extended celestial objects is described. Bayesian probability theory is applied to gain insight into the coexistence of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 F. Guglielmetti , R. Fischer , V. Dose

To analyse a very large data set containing lengthy variables, we adopt a sequential estimation idea and propose a parallel divide-and-conquer method. We conduct several conventional sequential estimation procedures separately, and properly…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-27 Zhanfeng Wang , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

Bayesian inference provides a powerful tool for leveraging observational data to inform model predictions and uncertainties. However, when such data is limited, Bayesian inference may not adequately constrain uncertainty without the use of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-26 Rebekah D. White , John D. Jakeman , Tim Wildey , Troy Butler

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

We propose a Likelihood Matching approach for training diffusion models by first establishing an equivalence between the likelihood of the target data distribution and a likelihood along the sample path of the reverse diffusion. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-23 Lei Qian , Wu Su , Yanqi Huang , Song Xi Chen

We consider the inverse problem of reconstructing an unknown function $u$ from a finite set of measurements, under the assumption that $u$ is the trajectory of a transport-dominated problem with unknown input parameters. We propose an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Olga Mula , Cecilia Pagliantini , Federico Vismara

The objective of this work is to quantify the reconstruction error in sparse inverse problems with measures and stochastic noise, motivated by optimal sensor placement. To be useful in this context, the error quantities must be explicit in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Phuoc-Truong Huynh , Konstantin Pieper , Daniel Walter