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We present a field theoretic renormalization group study for the critical behaviour of a uniformly driven diffusive system with quenched disorder, which is modelled by different kinds of potential barriers between sites. Due to their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 V. Becker , H. K. Janssen

We study the spatio-temporal prediction problem, which has attracted the attention of many researchers due to its critical real-life applications. In particular, we introduce a novel approach to this problem. Our approach is based on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-07 Oguzhan Karaahmetoglu , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Diffusion with stochastic resetting, instantaneous returns of a diffusing particle to a reference point, creates a stationary probability distribution. The paradigm is extended here to a doubly stochastic protocol in which the resetting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-01 Maxence Arutkin , Shlomi Reuveni

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

Biochemical reactions can happen on different time scales and also the abundance of species in these reactions can be very different from each other. Classical approaches, such as deterministic or stochastic approach, fail to account for or…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-16 Arnab Ganguly , Derya Altintan , Heinz Koeppl

We introduce and show the existence of a Hawkes self-exciting point process with exponentially-decreasing kernel and where parameters are time-varying. The quantity of interest is defined as the integrated parameter…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-28 Simon Clinet , Yoann Potiron

In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of nearly unstable Hawkes processes whose regression kernel has $L^1$ norm strictly greater than one and close to one as time goes to infinity. We find that,the scaling size determines…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Chenguang Liu , Liping Xu , An Zhang

The dynamics of populations is frequently subject to intrinsic noise. At the same time unknown interaction networks or rate constants can present quenched uncertainty. Existing approaches often involve repeated sampling of the quenched…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-14 Tobias Galla

We consider a two-species simple exclusion process on a periodic lattice. We use the method of matched asymptotics to derive evolution equations for the two population densities in the dilute regime, namely a cross-diffusion system of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-01-25 James Mason , Robert L Jack , Maria Bruna

We analyse how the sampling dynamics of distributions evolve in score-based diffusion models using cross-fluctuations, a centered-moment statistic from statistical physics. Specifically, we show that starting from an unbiased isotropic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Sai Niranjan Ramachandran , Manish Krishan Lal , Suvrit Sra

We introduce, and formally establish, a variant of the Hawkes-fed birth-death process -- the delayed Hawkes birth-death process -- in which the conditional intensity does not increase at arrivals but at departures from the system. In a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Justin Baars , Roger J. A. Laeven , Michel Mandjes

A density-dependent branching process is a particle system in which individuals reproduce independently, but in a way that depends on the current population size. This feature can model a wide range of ecological interactions at the cost of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Mathilde André , Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

Self-activation coupled to a transport mechanism results in traveling waves that describe polymerization reactions, forest fires, tumor growth, and even the spread of epidemics. Diffusion is a simple and commonly used model of particle…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-06 Keisuke Ishihara , Ashish B. George , Ryan Cornelius , Kirill S. Korolev

In this paper, we consider time-inhomogeneous branching processes and time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes, in which the offspring distribution and birth and death rates (respectively) vary in time. A classical result of branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Nicholas Bhattacharya , Mark Perlman

Multivariate Hawkes process provides a powerful framework for modeling temporal dependencies and event-driven interactions in complex systems. While existing methods primarily focus on uncovering causal structures among observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Songyao Jin , Biwei Huang

This study considers a new multi-term urn process that has a correlation in the same term and temporal correlation. The objective is to clarify the relationship between the urn model and the Hawkes process. Correlation in the same term is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-14 Masato Hisakado , Kodai Hattori , Shintaro Mori

We study the convergence of the $M/G/1$ processor-sharing, queue length process in the heavy traffic regime, in the finite variance case. To do so, we combine results pertaining to L\'{e}vy processes, branching processes and queuing theory.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-04 Amaury Lambert , Florian Simatos , Bert Zwart

Scaling limits for continuous-time branching processes with discrete state space are provided as the initial state tends to infinity. Depending on the finiteness or non-finiteness of the mean and/or the variance of the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Martin Möhle , Benedict Vetter

We consider a system of $N$ interacting particles, described by SDEs driven by Poisson random measures, where the coefficients depend on the empirical measure of the system. Every particle jumps with a jump rate depending on its position.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Eva Löcherbach , Dasha Loukianova , Elisa Marini

We prove that the long-run behavior of Hawkes processes is fully determined by the average number and the dispersion of child events. For subcritical processes we provide FLLNs and FCLTs under minimal conditions on the kernel of the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Ulrich Horst , Wei Xu
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