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Extracting relevant properties of empirical signals generated by nonlinear, stochastic, and high-dimensional systems is a challenge of complex systems research. Open questions are how to differentiate chaotic signals from stochastic ones,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-07-08 B. R. R. Boaretto , R. C. Budzinski , K. L. Rossi , T. L. Prado , S. R. Lopes , C. Masoller

In reservoir computing, an input sequence is processed by a recurrent neural network, the reservoir, which transforms it into a spatial pattern that a shallow readout network can then exploit for tasks such as memorization and time-series…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Denis Kleyko , Christopher J. Kymn , E. Paxon Frady , Amy Loutfi , Friedrich T. Sommer

The unique challenges posed by the space environment, characterized by extreme conditions and limited accessibility, raise the need for robust and reliable techniques to identify and prevent satellite faults. Fault detection methods in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Carlo Cena , Umberto Albertin , Mauro Martini , Silvia Bucci , Marcello Chiaberge

In the field of complex dynamics, multistable attractors have been gaining a significant attention due to its unpredictability in occurrence and extreme sensitivity to initial conditions. Co-existing attractors are abundant in diverse…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-06-12 Mousumi Roy , Swarnendu Mandal , Chittaranjan Hens , Awadhesh Prasad , N. V. Kuznetsov , Manish Dev Shrimali

The goal of this paper is to investigate the theoretical properties, the training algorithm, and the predictive control applications of Echo State Networks (ESNs), a particular kind of Recurrent Neural Networks. First, a condition…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-06 Luca Bugliari Armenio , Enrico Terzi , Marcello Farina , Riccardo Scattolini

The prediction of the temporal dynamics of chaotic systems is challenging because infinitesimal perturbations grow exponentially. The analysis of the dynamics of infinitesimal perturbations is the subject of stability analysis. In stability…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-03-31 Georgios Margazoglou , Luca Magri

Echo State Networks (ESNs) are a class of single layer recurrent neural networks that have enjoyed recent attention. In this paper we prove that a suitable ESN, trained on a series of measurements of an invertible dynamical system, induces…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-05-19 Allen G Hart , James L Hook , Jonathan H P Dawes

Echo State Networks (ESN) are a class of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) that has gained substantial popularity due to their effectiveness, ease of use and potential for compact hardware implementation. An ESN contains the three network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Luca Carcano , Emanuele Plebani , Danilo Pietro Pau , Marco Piastra

This paper aims to develop an energy-efficient classifier for time-series data by introducing PatchEchoClassifier, a novel model that leverages a reservoir-based mechanism known as the Echo State Network (ESN). The model is designed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Masaharu Kagiyama , Tsuyoshi Okita

Echo state network (ESN), a kind of recurrent neural networks, consists of a fixed reservoir in which neurons are connected randomly and recursively and obtains the desired output only by training output connection weights. First-order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Yansong Li , Kai Hu , Kohei Nakajima , Yongping Pan

Modern design, control, and optimization often requires simulation of highly nonlinear models, leading to prohibitive computational costs. These costs can be amortized by evaluating a cheap surrogate of the full model. Here we present a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Ranjan Anantharaman , Yingbo Ma , Shashi Gowda , Chris Laughman , Viral Shah , Alan Edelman , Chris Rackauckas

We propose a new class of physics-informed neural networks, called physics-informed Variational Autoencoder (PI-VAE), to solve stochastic differential equations (SDEs) or inverse problems involving SDEs. In these problems the governing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-09 Weiheng Zhong , Hadi Meidani

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are known to be powerful methods for many hard problems (e.g. image classification, speech recognition or time series prediction). However, these models tend to produce black-box results and are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Marco Landt-Hayen , Peer Kröger , Martin Claus , Willi Rath

Spatio-temporal area-level datasets play a critical role in official statistics, providing valuable insights for policy-making and regional planning. Accurate modeling and forecasting of these datasets can be extremely useful for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Zhenhua Wang , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have demonstrated their outstanding ability in sequence tasks and have achieved state-of-the-art in wide range of applications, such as industrial, medical, economic and linguistic. Echo State Network (ESN)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Chenxi Sun , Moxian Song , Shenda Hong , Hongyan Li

Macroeconomic forecasting has recently started embracing techniques that can deal with large-scale datasets and series with unequal release periods. MIxed-DAta Sampling (MIDAS) and Dynamic Factor Models (DFM) are the two main…

In this paper, we propose a novel data-driven approach for removing trends (detrending) from nonstationary, fractal and multifractal time series. We consider real-valued time series relative to measurements of an underlying dynamical system…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-15 Enrico Maiorino , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Lorenzo Livi , Antonello Rizzi , Alireza Sadeghian

We propose automatic speech recognition (ASR) models inspired by echo state network (ESN), in which a subset of recurrent neural networks (RNN) layers in the models are randomly initialized and untrained. Our study focuses on RNN-T and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Harsh Shrivastava , Ankush Garg , Yuan Cao , Yu Zhang , Tara Sainath

Echo-state networks are simple models of discrete dynamical systems driven by a time series. By selecting network parameters such that the dynamics of the network is contractive, characterized by a negative maximal Lyapunov exponent, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 L. Storm , K. Gustavsson , B. Mehlig

Background/introduction: Cross-Validation (CV) is still uncommon in time series modeling. Echo State Networks (ESNs), as a prime example of Reservoir Computing (RC) models, are known for their fast and precise one-shot learning, that often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Mantas Lukoševičius , Arnas Uselis