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We propose a physics-informed machine learning method to predict the time average of a chaotic attractor. The method is based on the hybrid echo state network (hESN). We assume that the system is ergodic, so the time average is equal to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Francisco Huhn , Luca Magri

An approach to the time-accurate prediction of chaotic solutions is by learning temporal patterns from data. Echo State Networks (ESNs), which are a class of Reservoir Computing, can accurately predict the chaotic dynamics well beyond the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Alberto Racca , Luca Magri

Systems with time-delayed chaotic dynamics are common in nature, from control theory to aeronautical propulsion. The overarching objective of this paper is to compute the stability properties of a chaotic dynamical system, which is…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-03-07 Georgios Margazoglou , Luca Magri

Echo state networks (ESN), a type of reservoir computing (RC) architecture, are efficient and accurate artificial neural systems for time series processing and learning. An ESN consists of a core of recurrent neural networks, called a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-04-28 Alireza Goudarzi , Alireza Shabani , Darko Stefanovic

Long-lead forecasting for spatio-temporal systems can often entail complex nonlinear dynamics that are difficult to specify it a priori. Current statistical methodologies for modeling these processes are often highly parameterized and thus,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-05 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

We propose an approximation of Echo State Networks (ESN) that can be efficiently implemented on digital hardware based on the mathematics of hyperdimensional computing. The reservoir of the proposed integer Echo State Network (intESN) is a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Denis Kleyko , E. Paxon Frady , Mansour Kheffache , Evgeny Osipov

A reservoir computer is a special type of neural network, where most of the weights are randomly fixed and only a subset are trained. In this thesis we prove results about reservoir computers trained on deterministic dynamical systems, and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-12-28 Allen G Hart

In real-world applications such as emotion recognition from recorded brain activity, data are captured from electrodes over time. These signals constitute a multidimensional time series. In this paper, Echo State Network (ESN), a recurrent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Rahma Fourati , Boudour Ammar , Javier Sanchez-Medina , Adel M. Alimi

Aero-engine fault prediction aims to accurately predict the development trend of the future state of aero-engines, so as to diagnose faults in advance. Traditional aero-engine parameter prediction methods mainly use the nonlinear mapping…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Mo-Ran Liu , Tao Sun , Xi-Ming Sun

Reservoir Computing has found many potential applications in the field of complex dynamics. In this article, we exploit the exceptional capability of the echo-state network (ESN) model to make it learn a unidirectional coupling scheme from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Swarnendu Mandal , Manish Dev Shrimali

Echo State Networks (ESNs) are a reservoir computing framework widely used for nonlinear time-series prediction. However, despite their effectiveness, randomly initialized reservoirs often contain redundant nodes, leading to unnecessary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Sudip Laudari

At the heart of time-series forecasting (TSF) lies a fundamental challenge: how can models efficiently and effectively capture long-range temporal dependencies across ever-growing sequences? While deep learning has brought notable progress,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Hongbo Liu , Jia Xu

This paper considers the problem of data-driven prediction of partially observed systems using a recurrent neural network. While neural network based dynamic predictors perform well with full-state training data, prediction with partial…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-07 Debdipta Goswami

We propose an innovative design for an optical Echo State Network (ESN), an advanced type of reservoir computer known for its universal computational capabilities. Our design enables an optical implementation of arbitrary ESNs, featuring…

Optics · Physics 2025-11-17 Ishwar S Kaushik , Peter J Ehlers , Daniel Soh

This work builds an automated anomaly detection method for chaotic time series, and more concretely for turbulent, high-dimensional, ocean simulations. We solve this task by extending the Echo State Network by spatially aware input maps,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Niklas Heim , James E. Avery

Echo State Networks (ESNs) are recurrent neural networks that only train their output layer, thereby precluding the need to backpropagate gradients through time, which leads to significant computational gains. Nevertheless, a common issue…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-03-13 Jacob Reinier Maat , Nikos Gianniotis , Pavlos Protopapas

Spatio-temporal data and processes are prevalent across a wide variety of scientific disciplines. These processes are often characterized by nonlinear time dynamics that include interactions across multiple scales of spatial and temporal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-18 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Study of dynamical systems using partial state observation is an important problem due to its applicability to many real-world systems. We address the problem by studying an echo state network (ESN) framework with partial state input with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-06 Ajit Mahata , Reetish Padhi , Amit Apte

Machine learning (ML) is widely used to model chaotic systems. Among ML approaches, echo state networks (ESNs) have received considerable attention due to their simple construction and fast training. However, ESN performance is highly…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-09 Francesco Martinuzzi

In the framework of physical reservoir computing (RC), machine learning algorithms designed for digital computers are executed using analog computer-like nonlinear physical systems that can provide energy-efficient computational power for…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-04-27 Ivan S. Maksymov , Andrey Pototsky , Sergey A. Suslov