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Many astrophysical phenomena are time-varying, in the sense that their intensity, energy spectrum, and/or the spatial distribution of the emission suddenly change. This paper develops a method for modeling a time series of images. Under the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-24 Cong Xu , Hans Moritz Günther , Vinay L. Kashyap , Thomas C. M. Lee , Andreas Zezas

It is becoming routine to obtain datasets on DNA sequence variation across several thousands of chromosomes, providing unprecedented opportunity to infer the underlying biological and demographic forces. Such data make it vital to study…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-24 Paul A. Jenkins , Jonas W. Mueller , Yun S. Song

Consider a branching Markov process with values in some general type space. Conditional on survival up to generation $N$, the genealogy of the extant population defines a random marked metric measure space, where individuals are marked by…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

It is now well understood that convex programming can be used to estimate the frequency components of a spectrally sparse signal from $2m+1$ uniform temporal measurements. It is conjectured that a phase transition on the success of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-18 Maxime Ferreira Da Costa , Wei Dai

We develop a new methodology for the fitting of nonstationary time series that exhibit nonlinearity, asymmetry, local persistence and changes in location scale and shape of the underlying distribution. In order to achieve this goal, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Alexander Aue , Rex C. Y. Cheung , Thomas C. M. Lee , Ming Zhong

Branching processes are widely used to model phenomena from networks to neuronal avalanching. In a large class of continuous-time branching processes, we study the temporal scaling of the moments of the instant population size, the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-18 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Johannes Pausch , Benjamin Walter , Gunnar Pruessner

In a coalescing random walk, a set of particles make independent random walks on a graph. Whenever one or more particles meet at a vertex, they unite to form a single particle, which then continues the random walk through the graph.…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-12-28 Colin Cooper , Robert Elsasser , Hirotaka Ono , Tomasz Radzik

We consider an infinite-dimensional stochastic clustering model on $\mathbb{R}$. In discrete time, each point of a unit-intensity simple point process moves halfway toward either of its left or right neighbors, chosen uniformly at random.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Partha S. Dey , S. Rasoul Etesami , Aditya S. Gopalan

Multivariate time series may be subject to partial structural changes over certain frequency band, for instance, in neuroscience. We study the change point detection problem with high dimensional time series, within the framework of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-31 Xinyu Zhang , Kung-Sik Chan

The coalescent revolutionised theoretical population genetics, simplifying, or making possible for the first time, many analyses, proofs, and derivations, and offering crucial insights about the way in which the structure of data in samples…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-09 Peter Donnelly , Stephen Leslie

We study the minimal sample size N=N(n) that suffices to estimate the covariance matrix of an n-dimensional distribution by the sample covariance matrix in the operator norm, with an arbitrary fixed accuracy. We establish the optimal bound…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-04 Nikhil Srivastava , Roman Vershynin

We study the fixed design segmented regression problem: Given noisy samples from a piecewise linear function $f$, we want to recover $f$ up to a desired accuracy in mean-squared error. Previous rigorous approaches for this problem rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-15 Jayadev Acharya , Ilias Diakonikolas , Jerry Li , Ludwig Schmidt

We review and extend results for mutation, selection, genetic drift, and migration in a one-dimensional continuous population. The population is described by a continuous limit of the stepping stone model, which leads to the stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-04-14 K. S. Korolev , Mikkel Avlund , Oskar Hallatschek , David R. Nelson

We study the multivariate nonparametric change point detection problem, where the data are a sequence of independent $p$-dimensional random vectors whose distributions are piecewise-constant with Lipschitz densities changing at unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

A time-varying empirical spectral process indexed by classes of functions is defined for locally stationary time series. We derive weak convergence in a function space, and prove a maximal exponential inequality and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

In this work we describe a new model for the evolution of a diploid structured population backwards in time that allows for large migrations and uneven offspring distributions. The model generalizes both the mean-field model of Birkner et…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Maximillian Newman

A smooth test to simultaneously compare $K$ copulas, where $K \geq 2$ is proposed. The $K$ observed populations can be paired, and the test statistic is constructed based on the differences between moment sequences, called copula…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Yves Ismaël Ngounou Bakam , Denys Pommeret

In this work, an inverse problem in the fractional diffusion equation with random source is considered. Statistical moments are used of the realizations of single point observation $u(x_0,t,\omega).$ We build the representation of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-11-04 Chan Liu , Jin Wen , Zhidong Zhang

We study numerically and analytically the spectrum of incidence matrices of random labeled graphs on N vertices : any pair of vertices is connected by an edge with probability p. We give two algorithms to compute the moments of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 M. Bauer , O. Golinelli

We introduce a new estimator SMUCE (simultaneous multiscale change-point estimator) for the change-point problem in exponential family regression. An unknown step function is estimated by minimizing the number of change-points over the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-13 Klaus Frick , Axel Munk , Hannes Sieling