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Related papers: Testing for concept shift online

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We continue study of conformal testing in binary model situations. In this note we consider Markov alternatives to the null hypothesis of exchangeability. We propose two new classes of conformal test martingales; one class is statistically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-04 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

Concept drift is formally defined as the change in joint distribution of a set of input variables X and a target variable y. The two types of drift that are extensively studied are real drift and virtual drift where the former is the change…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Chang How Tan , Vincent CS Lee , Mahsa Salehi

We develop a method to generate prediction sets with a guaranteed coverage rate that is robust to corruptions in the training data, such as missing or noisy variables. Our approach builds on conformal prediction, a powerful framework to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Shai Feldman , Yaniv Romano

This paper focuses on the problem of detecting and reacting to changes in the distribution of a sensorimotor controller's observables. The key idea is the design of switching policies that can take conformal quantiles as input, which we…

Machine learning systems deployed in the real world must operate under dynamic and often unpredictable distribution shifts. This challenges the validity of statistical safety assurances on the system's risk established beforehand. Common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-23 Alexander Timans , Rajeev Verma , Eric Nalisnick , Christian A. Naesseth

Concept-based machine learning methods have increasingly gained importance due to the growing interest in making neural networks interpretable. However, concept annotations are generally challenging to obtain, making it crucial to leverage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Alba Carballo-Castro , Sonia Laguna , Moritz Vandenhirtz , Julia E. Vogt

This paper addresses the problem of set-to-set matching, which involves matching two different sets of items based on some criteria, especially in the case of high-dimensional items like images. Although neural networks have been applied to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-09 Masanari Kimura , Takuma Nakamura , Yuki Saito

Data stream mining problem has caused widely concerns in the area of machine learning and data mining. In some recent studies, ensemble classification has been widely used in concept drift detection, however, most of them regard…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-08-14 Junhong Wang , Shuliang Xu , Bingqian Duan , Caifeng Liu , Jiye Liang

Given well-shuffled data, can we determine whether the data items are statistically (in)dependent? Formally, we consider the problem of testing whether a set of exchangeable random variables are independent. We will show that this is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Marcus Hutter

Machine learning brings the hope of finding new biomarkers extracted from cohorts with rich biomedical measurements. A good biomarker is one that gives reliable detection of the corresponding condition. However, biomarkers are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Jéroôme Dockès , Gaël Varoquaux , Jean-Baptiste Poline

The capacity to transfer knowledge across scientific domains relies on shared organizational principles. However, existing transfer-learning methodologies often fail to bridge radically heterogeneous systems, particularly under severe data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Daniele Caligiore

We review the application of Statistical Mechanics methods to the study of online learning of a drifting concept in the limit of large systems. The model where a feed-forward network learns from examples generated by a time dependent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Renato Vicente , Osame Kinouchi , Nestor Caticha

Detecting drifts in data is essential for machine learning applications, as changes in the statistics of processed data typically has a profound influence on the performance of trained models. Most of the available drift detection methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Andrea Castellani , Sebastian Schmitt , Barbara Hammer

There is a growing awareness of the harmful effects of distribution shift on the performance of deployed machine learning models. Consequently, there is a growing interest in detecting these shifts before associated costs have time to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Oliver Cobb , Arnaud Van Looveren

The i.i.d. assumption is a useful idealization that underpins many successful approaches to supervised machine learning. However, its violation can lead to models that learn to exploit spurious correlations in the training data, rendering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Daniel Pace , Alessandra Russo , Murray Shanahan

We consider the problem of using expert data with unobserved confounders for imitation and reinforcement learning. We begin by defining the problem of learning from confounded expert data in a contextual MDP setup. We analyze the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Guy Tennenholtz , Assaf Hallak , Gal Dalal , Shie Mannor , Gal Chechik , Uri Shalit

Machine learning models that first learn a representation of a domain in terms of human-understandable concepts, then use it to make predictions, have been proposed to facilitate interpretation and interaction with models trained on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Isaac Lage , Finale Doshi-Velez

One important assumption underlying common classification models is the stationarity of the data. However, in real-world streaming applications, the data concept indicated by the joint distribution of feature and label is not stationary but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-10 Shujian Yu , Xiaoyang Wang , Jose C. Principe

Explaining the behavior of black box machine learning models through human interpretable rules is an important research area. Recent work has focused on explaining model behavior locally i.e. for specific predictions as well as globally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-17 Sukriti Verma , Nikaash Puri , Piyush Gupta , Balaji Krishnamurthy

Randomness (in the sense of being generated in an IID fashion) and exchangeability are standard assumptions in nonparametric statistics and machine learning, and relations between them have been a popular topic of research. This short paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Vladimir Vovk
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