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Wasserstein distances provide a powerful framework for comparing data distributions. They can be used to analyze processes over time or to detect inhomogeneities within data. However, simply calculating the Wasserstein distance or analyzing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Philip Naumann , Jacob Kauffmann , Grégoire Montavon

Domain generalization aims at learning a universal model that performs well on unseen target domains, incorporating knowledge from multiple source domains. In this research, we consider the scenario where different domain shifts occur among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Jingge Wang , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Shao-Lun Huang , Yang Li

Deep neural networks are often ignorant about what they do not know and overconfident when they make uninformed predictions. Some recent approaches quantify classification uncertainty directly by training the model to output high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Maryam Saleki

We present a novel $Q$-learning algorithm tailored to solve distributionally robust Markov decision problems where the corresponding ambiguity set of transition probabilities for the underlying Markov decision process is a Wasserstein ball…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Estimating the uncertainty in deep neural network predictions is crucial for many real-world applications. A common approach to model uncertainty is to choose a parametric distribution and fit the data to it using maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Ali Harakeh , Jordan Hu , Naiqing Guan , Steven L. Waslander , Liam Paull

Despite the strong predictive performance achieved by machine learning models across many application domains, assessing their trustworthiness through reliable estimates of predictive confidence remains a critical challenge. This issue…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Abolfazl Mohammadi-Seif , Carlos Soares , Rita P. Ribeiro , Ricardo Baeza-Yates

Estimating predictive uncertainty is crucial for many computer vision tasks, from image classification to autonomous driving systems. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is an sampling method for performing Bayesian inference. On the other hand,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Diego Vergara , Sergio Hernández , Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Felipe Jorquera

Uncertainty quantification for deep learning is a challenging open problem. Bayesian statistics offer a mathematically grounded framework to reason about uncertainties; however, approximate posteriors for modern neural networks still…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-23 Nicolas Brosse , Carlos Riquelme , Alice Martin , Sylvain Gelly , Éric Moulines

Wasserstein Discriminant Analysis (WDA) is a new supervised method that can improve classification of high-dimensional data by computing a suitable linear map onto a lower dimensional subspace. Following the blueprint of classical Linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-21 Rémi Flamary , Marco Cuturi , Nicolas Courty , Alain Rakotomamonjy

The application of neural network models to scientific machine learning tasks has proliferated in recent years. In particular, neural network models have proved to be adept at modeling processes with spatial-temporal complexity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Jeremiah Hauth , Cosmin Safta , Xun Huan , Ravi G. Patel , Reese E. Jones

Estimating the expectation of a real-valued function of a random variable from sample data is a critical aspect of statistical analysis, with far-reaching implications in various applications. Current methodologies typically assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Paweł Lorek , Rafał Nowak , Rafał Topolnicki , Tomasz Trzciński , Maciej Zięba , Aleksandra Krystecka

Epistemic uncertainty quantification is a crucial part of drawing credible conclusions from predictive models, whether concerned about the prediction at a given point or any downstream evaluation that uses the model as input. When the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-15 Nathan Kallus , James McInerney

Uncertainty quantification is an important part of many performance critical applications. This paper provides a simple alternative to existing approaches such as ensemble learning and bayesian neural networks. By directly modeling the loss…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Yi Hung Lim

We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification in high dimensional regression and classification for which deep ensemble have proven to be promising methods. Recent observations have shown that deep ensemble often return…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Antoine de Mathelin , Francois Deheeger , Mathilde Mougeot , Nicolas Vayatis

Estimating the uncertainty of a neural network plays a fundamental role in safety-critical settings. In perception for autonomous driving, measuring the uncertainty means providing additional calibrated information to downstream tasks, such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Stefano Gasperini , Jan Haug , Mohammad-Ali Nikouei Mahani , Alvaro Marcos-Ramiro , Nassir Navab , Benjamin Busam , Federico Tombari

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a sequence of independent observations is considered. It is assumed that the pre-change distribution is known (accurately estimated), while the only information about the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-29 Liyan Xie , Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

In many applications in statistics and machine learning, the availability of data samples from multiple possibly heterogeneous sources has become increasingly prevalent. On the other hand, in distributionally robust optimization, we seek…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-31 Tim Tsz-Kit Lau , Han Liu

This paper introduces Wasserstein variational inference, a new form of approximate Bayesian inference based on optimal transport theory. Wasserstein variational inference uses a new family of divergences that includes both f-divergences and…

Precise control under uncertainty requires a good understanding and characterization of the noise affecting the system. This paper studies the problem of steering state distributions of dynamical systems subject to partially known…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-20 Joshua Pilipovsky , Panagiotis Tsiotras
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