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Confirmed cases during the early stage of the 2009 H1N1 pdm in various countries showed an age shift between importations and local transmission cases, with adults mainly responsible for seeding unaffected regions and children most…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-04-18 Andrea Apolloni , Chiara Poletto , Vittoria Colizza

We investigate the spread of an infection or other malfunction of cascading nature when a system component can recover only if it remains reachable from a functioning central component. We consider the susceptible-infected-susceptible…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-27 L. Böttcher , O. Woolley-Meza , E. Goles , D. Helbing , H. J. Herrmann

Although suppressing the spread of a disease is usually achieved by investing in public resources, in the real world only a small percentage of the population have access to government assistance when there is an outbreak, and most must…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-14 Xiaolong Chen , Ruijie Wang , Ming Tang , Shimin Cai , H. Eugene Stanley , Lidia A. Braunstein

Infectious pathogens often propagate by superspreading, which focusses onward transmission on disproportionately few infected individuals. At the same time, infector-infectee pairs tend to have more similar transmission potentials than…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-22 Noah Silva de Leonardi , Benjamin D. Dalziel

Wind-wave interaction involves wind forcing on wave surface and wave effects on the turbulent wind structures, which essentially influences the wind and wave loading on structures. Existing research on wind-wave interaction modeling ignores…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-06-07 Tianqi Ma , Chao Sun

We formulate a compartmental model for the propagation of a respiratory disease in a patchy environment. The patches are connected through the mobility of individuals, and we assume that disease transmission and recovery are possible during…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-11 Indrajit Ghosh , Sk Shahid Nadim , Soumyendu Raha , Debnath Pal

In the absence of any proper clinical solution, human civilization is only left with sophisticated intervention measures to contain the spread of COVID-19. However, the existing models to estimate the intervention does not take into account…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-28 Suman Dutta

Many real networks are embedded in a metric space: the interactions among individuals depend on their spatial distances and usually take place among their nearest neighbors. In this paper, we introduce a modified…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-26 Xin-Jian Xu , Wen-Xu Wang , Tao Zhou , Guanrong Chen

Deterministic models are developed for the spatial spread of epidemic diseases in geographical settings. The models are focused on outbreaks that arise from a small number of infected hosts imported into sub-regions of the geographical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-08 Pierre Magal , Glenn F. Webb , Yixiang Wu

Human diseases spread over networks of contacts between individuals and a substantial body of recent research has focused on the dynamics of the spreading process. Here we examine a model of two competing diseases spreading over the same…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-19 Brian Karrer , M. E. J. Newman

A compartment epidemic model for infectious disease spreading is investigated, where movement of individuals is governed by spatial diffusion. The model includes infection age of the infected individuals and assumes a logistic growth of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Christoph Walker

Epidemic spreading often occurs in spatially heterogeneous environments, yet how quenched heterogeneity reshapes its onset and critical dynamics remains poorly understood. The diffusive epidemic process, a minimal reaction-diffusion model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-24 Valentin Anfray , Hong-Yan Shih

The spread of infectious diseases, rumors, fashions, innovations are complex contagion processes, embedded both in networked and spatial contexts. Here we investigate the pattern dynamics of a complex contagion, where two agents, say $A$…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-18 Li Chen

Recently, some studies have revealed that non-Poissonian statistics of human behaviors stem from the hierarchical geographical network structure. On this view, we focus on epidemic spreading in the hierarchical geographical networks, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-04 Zhi-Dan Zhao , Ying Liu , Ming Tang

Sexual partnerships that overlap in time (concurrent relationships) may play a significant role in the HIV epidemic, but the precise effect is unclear. We derive edge-based compartmental models of disease spread in idealized dynamic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-07 Joel C. Miller , Anja C. Slim

We consider the spread of epidemics in technological and social networks. How do people react? Does awareness and cautious behavior help? We analyze these questions and present a dynamic model to describe the movement of individuals and/or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Robert Elsässer , Adrian Ogierman

Dispersal is an important strategy that allows organisms to locate and exploit favorable habitats. The question arises: given competition in a spatially heterogeneous landscape, what is the optimal rate of dispersal? Continuous population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-02-05 Jack N. Waddell , Leonard M. Sander , Charles R. Doering

We develop a spatially dependent generalisation to the Wells-Riley model and its extensions applied to COVID-19, that determines the infection risk due to airborne transmission of viruses. We assume that the concentration of infectious…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Zechariah Lau , Ian M. Griffiths , Aaron English , Katerina Kaouri

During an epidemic, infectious individuals might not be detectable until some time after becoming infected. The studies show that carriers with mild or no symptoms are the main contributors to the transmission of a virus within the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-17 Atefe Darabi , Milad Siami

This study employs computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations to evaluate the risk of airborne transmission of COVID-19 in low-ceiling rooms, such as elevator cabins, under mechanical displacement ventilation. The simulations take into…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-01-18 Changchang Wang , Jiarong Hong