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Disease outbreaks, such as those of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome in 2003 and the 2009 pandemic A(H1N1) influenza, have highlighted the potential for airborne transmission in indoor environments. Respirable pathogen-carrying droplets…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-01-10 M. Robinson , N. I. Stilianakis , Y. Drossinos

Understanding the spread of infectious diseases requires integrating movement, physical constraints, and spatial configurations into epidemiological models. In this study, we investigate how particle diffusivity, hardcore interactions, and…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-06-17 Kaito Takahashi , Makiko Sasada , Takuma Akimoto

We study equilibrium distancing during epidemics. Distancing reduces the individual's probability of getting infected but comes at a cost. It creates a single-peaked epidemic, flattens the curve and decreases the size of the epidemic. We…

General Economics · Economics 2021-03-02 Satoshi Fukuda , Nenad Kos , Christoph Wolf

Epidemic spreading phenomena are ubiquitous in nature and society. Examples include the spreading of diseases, information, and computer viruses. Epidemics can spread by local spreading, where infected nodes can only infect a limited set of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-02 Changwang Zhang , Shi Zhou , Joel C. Miller , Ingemar J. Cox , Benjamin M. Chain

Infectious diseases outbreaks are often characterized by a spatial component induced by hosts' distribution, mobility, and interactions. Spatial models that incorporate hosts' movements are being used to describe these processes, to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-20 Chiara Poletto , Michele Tizzoni , Vittoria Colizza

Interactions between commuting individuals can lead to large-scale spreading of rumors, ideas, or disease, even though the commuters have no net displacement. The emergent dynamics depend crucially on the commuting distribution of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-30 Aaron Winn , Adam Konkol , Eleni Katifori

We consider a model for an epidemic in a population that occupies geographically distinct locations. The disease is spread within subpopulations by contacts between infective and susceptible individuals, and is spread between subpopulations…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-15 R. McVinish , P. K. Pollett , A. Shausan

Interactions often require the proximity between particles. The movement of particles, thus, drives the change of the neighbors which are located in their proximity, leading to a sequence of interactions. In pathogenic contagion, infections…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-13 Jorge P. Rodríguez , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Víctor M. Eguíluz

This paper studies an epidemic model with nonlocal dispersals. We focus on the influences of initial data and nonlocal dispersals on its spatial propagation. Here the initial data stand for the spatial concentrations of infectious agent and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-07-31 Wen-Bing Xu , Wan-Tong Li , Shigui Ruan

Human mobility is a key factor in spatial disease dynamics and related phenomena. In computational models host mobility is typically modelled by diffusion in space or on metapolulation networks. Alternatively, an effective force of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

In this paper, we study the interplay between individual behaviors and epidemic spreading in a dynamical network. We distribute agents on a square-shaped region with periodic boundary conditions. Every agent is regarded as a node of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-14 Han-Xin Yang , Ming Tang , Zhen Wang

We investigate the spatial dynamics of two disease epidemics reaching a three-species cyclic model. Regardless of their species, all individuals are susceptible to being infected with two different pathogens, which spread through…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-05 J. Menezes , E. Rangel

In this work, we address the connection between population density centers in urban areas, and the nature of human flows between such centers, in shaping the vulnerability to the onset of contagious diseases. A study of 163 cities, chosen…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-02 Surendra Hazarie , David Soriano-Paños , Alex Arenas , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes , Gourab Ghoshal

Despite extensive work on the interplay between traffic dynamics and epidemic spreading, the control of epidemic spreading by routing strategies has not received adequate attention. In this paper, we study the impact of efficient routing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-23 Han-Xin Yang , Zhi-Xi Wu

We investigate a model for spatial epidemics explicitly taking into account bi-directional movements between base and destination locations on individual mobility networks. We provide a systematic analysis of generic dynamical features of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

Urban areas with larger and more connected populations offer an auspicious environment for contagion processes such as the spread of pathogens. Empirical evidence reveals a systematic increase in the rates of certain sexually transmitted…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-18 Oscar Patterson-Lomba , Andres Gomez-Lievano

The complex interplay between population movements in space and non-homogeneous mixing patterns have so far hindered the fundamental understanding of the conditions for spatial invasion through a general theoretical framework. To address…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-21 Andrea Apolloni , Chiara Poletto , Jose' J. Ramasco , Pablo Jensen , Vittoria Colizza

The dynamics of infectious diseases propagating in populations depends both on human interaction patterns, the contagion process and the pathogenesis within hosts. The immune system follows a circadian rhythm and, consequently, the chance…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Zhanwei Du , Petter Holme

We use a stochastic metapopulation model to study the combined effects of seasonality and spatial heterogeneity on disease persistence. We find a pronounced effect of enhanced persistence associated with strong heterogeneity, intermediate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-23 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes , Alan J. McKane

With the exponential growth in the world population and the constant increase in human mobility, the danger of outbreaks of epidemics is rising. Especially in high density urban areas such as public transport and transfer points, where…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-01-04 Mei Shan , Zhou Xuan , Zhu Yifan , Zu Zhenghu , Zheng Tao , A. V. Boukhanovsky , P. M. A Sloot
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