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The progression of a single point in volleyball starts with a serve and then alternates between teams, each team allowed up to three contacts with the ball. Using charted data from the 2022 NCAA Division I women's volleyball season (4,147…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-09 Scott Powers , Luke Stancil , Naomi Consiglio

Score matching is a recently developed parameter learning method that is particularly effective to complicated high dimensional density models with intractable partition functions. In this paper, we study two issues that have not been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Siwei Lyu

We consider the task of determining the number of chances a soccer team creates, along with the composite nature of each chance-the players involved and the locations on the pitch of the assist and the chance. We propose an interpretable…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-26 Gavin A. Whitaker , Ricardo Silva , Daniel Edwards

In recent years, data-driven approaches have become a popular tool in a variety of sports to gain an advantage by, e.g., analysing potential strategies of opponents. Whereas the availability of play-by-play or player tracking data in sports…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-25 Marius Ötting

The massive growth of sports videos has resulted in a need for automatic generation of sports highlights that are comparable in quality to the hand-edited highlights produced by broadcasters such as ESPN. Unlike previous works that mostly…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2016-06-30 Vinay Bettadapura , Caroline Pantofaru , Irfan Essa

This paper presents CourtMotion, a spatiotemporal modeling framework for analyzing and predicting game events and plays as they develop in professional basketball. Anticipating basketball events requires understanding both physical motion…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Omer Sela , Michael Chertok , Lior Wolf

A myriad of different data are generated to characterize a soccer match. Here we discuss which performance indicators are particularly helpful to forecast the future results of a team via an estimation of the underlying team strengths with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-10 Andreas Heuer

Fantasy Premier League (FPL) performance predictors tend to base their algorithms purely on historical statistical data. The main problems with this approach is that external factors such as injuries, managerial decisions and other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Nicholas Bonello , Joeran Beel , Seamus Lawless , Jeremy Debattista

Basketball players' performance measurement is of critical importance for a broad spectrum of decisions related to training and game strategy. Despite this recognized central role, the main part of the studies on this topic focus on…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-24 Paola Zuccolotto , Marco Sandri , Marica Manisera , Rodolfo Metulini

In this study we focus on the prediction of basketball games in the Euroleague competition using machine learning modelling. The prediction is a binary classification problem, predicting whether a match finishes 1 (home win) or 2 (away…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-21 Georgios Giasemidis

Existing approaches for estimating home-field advantage (HFA) include modeling the difference between home and away scores as a function of the difference between home and away team ratings that are treated either as fixed or random…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-23 Andrew T. Karl

In this paper we present a novel approach to optimise tactical and strategic decision making in football (soccer). We model the game of football as a multi-stage game which is made up from a Bayesian game to model the pre-match decisions…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Ryan Beal , Georgios Chalkiadakis , Timothy J. Norman , Sarvapali D. Ramchurn

Predicting the stock market trend has always been challenging since its movement is affected by many factors. Here, we approach the future trend prediction problem as a machine learning classification problem by creating tomorrow_trend…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-31 Taylan Kabbani , Fatih Enes Usta

This paper considers the use of observed and predicted match statistics as inputs to forecasts of the outcomes of football matches. It is shown that, were it possible to know the match statistics in advance, highly informative forecasts of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-27 Edward Wheatcroft

Predicting outcomes in sports is important for teams, leagues, bettors, media, and fans. Given the growing amount of player tracking data, sports analytics models are increasingly utilizing spatially-derived features built upon player…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Peter Xenopoulos , Claudio Silva

In most professional sports, the structure of the environment is kept neutral so that scoring imbalances may be attributed to differences in team skill. It thus remains unknown what impact structural heterogeneities can have on scoring…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-11-04 Sears Merritt , Aaron Clauset

In the four major North American professional sports (baseball, basketball, football, and hockey), the primary purpose of the regular season is to determine which teams most deserve to advance to the playoffs. Interestingly, while the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-29 Julian Wolfson , Joseph S. Koopmeiners

We present here a simple mathematical model that provides a successful strategy, quantitatively, to ending the continued championship futility experienced by Canadian Hockey Teams. Competitive Intransitivity is used here as a simple…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2021-06-18 C. J. Barrett , S. Koumarianos , O. Mermut

The hot streak, loosely defined as winning begets more winnings, highlights a specific period during which an individual's performance is substantially higher than her typical performance. While widely debated in sports, gambling, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-05 Lu Liu , Yang Wang , Roberta Sinatra , C. Lee Giles , Chaoming Song , Dashun Wang

The ability to estimate the current affective statuses of web users has considerable potential for the realization of user-centric services in the society. However, in real-world web services, it is difficult to determine the type of data…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-11-12 Wataru Sasaki , Hiroshi Kawane , Satoko Miyahara , Kota Tsubouchi , Tadashi Okoshi