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Athletic performance follows a typical pattern of improvement and decline during a career. This pattern is also often observed within-seasons, as an athlete aims for their performance to peak at key events such as the Olympic Games or World…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-12 M. Spyropoulou , J. G. Hopker , J. E. Griffin

The collection of active agents often exhibits intriguing statistical and dynamical properties, particularly when considering human crowds. In this study, we have developed a computational model to simulate the recent experiment on real…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-07 Pratikshya Jena , Shradha Mishra

Evaluating the overall ability of players in the National Hockey League (NHL) is a difficult task. Existing methods such as the famous "plus/minus" statistic have many shortcomings. Standard linear regression methods work well when player…

Applications · Statistics 2013-03-01 A. C. Thomas , Samuel L. Ventura , Shane Jensen , Stephen Ma

We use multivariate change point analysis methods, to identify not only mean shifts but also changes in variance across a wide array of statistical time series. Our primary objective is to empirically discern distinct eras in the evolution…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-04 Mena CR Whalen , Gregory J Matthews , Brian M Mills

We investigate how price variations of a stock are transformed into profits and losses (P&Ls) of a trend following strategy. In the frame of a Gaussian model, we derive the probability distribution of P&Ls and analyze its moments (mean,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-03 D. S. Grebenkov , J. Serror

From the viewpoint of networks, a ranking system for players or teams in sports is equivalent to a centrality measure for sports networks, whereby a directed link represents the result of a single game. Previously proposed network-based…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-07 Shun Motegi , Naoki Masuda

Cricket is a game played between two teams which consists of eleven players each. Nowadays cricket game is becoming more and more popular in Bangladesh and other South Asian Countries. Before a match people are very enthusiastic about team…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-08 Sadia Tasnim Swarna , Shamim Ehsan , Md. Saiful Islam

We propose a new test statistic based on a score process for determining the statistical significance of a putative signal that may be a small perturbation to a noisy experimental background. We derive the reference distribution for this…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ramani S. Pilla , Catherine Loader , Cyrus Taylor

Shooting location is a core indicator of offensive style in invasion sports. Existing basketball shot-chart analyses often use spatial information for descriptive visualization, location-based efficiency modeling, or clustering players into…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Kazuhiro Yamada , Keisuke Fujii

This paper employs a Bayesian methodology to predict the results of soccer matches in real-time. Using sequential data of various events throughout the match, we utilize a multinomial probit regression in a novel framework to estimate the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Chinmay Divekar , Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy

We establish a general formula for the distribution of the score in table tennis. We use this formula to derive the probability distribution (and hence the expectation and variance) of the number of rallies necessary to achieve any given…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-02 Yves Dominicy , Christophe Ley , Yvik Swan

Advancements in technology have recently allowed us to collect and analyse large-scale fine-grained data about human performance, drastically changing the way we approach sports. Here, we provide the first comprehensive analysis of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-22 Onkar Sadekar , Sandeep Chowdhary , M. S. Santhanam , Federico Battiston

In volleyball games, we define a rally as the succession of events observed since the ball is served until one of the two teams on the court scores the point. In this process, athletes evolve in response to physical and information…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-26 A. Chacoma , O. V. Billoni

Current multimodal sentiment analysis frames sentiment score prediction as a general Machine Learning task. However, what the sentiment score actually represents has often been overlooked. As a measurement of opinions and affective states,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-07-05 Leimin Tian , Catherine Lai , Johanna D. Moore

Analysis of player movements is a crucial subset of sports analysis. Existing player movement analysis methods use recorded videos after the match is over. In this work, we propose an end-to-end framework for player movement analysis for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-24 Nitin Nilesh , Tushar Sharma , Anurag Ghosh , C. V. Jawahar

This paper proposes a model to predict the outcome of the March Madness tournament based on historical NCAA basketball data since 2013. The framework of this project is a simplification of the FiveThrityEight NCAA March Madness prediction…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-31 Christian McIver , Karla Avalos , Nikhil Nayak

Our objective is to find the five best college sports coaches of past century for three different sports. We decided to look at men's basketball, football, and baseball. We wanted to use an approach that could definitively determine team…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-11 Tian-Shun Jiang , Zachary Polizzi , Christopher Yuan

Professional athletes increasingly use automated analysis of meta- and signal data to improve their training and game performance. As in other related human-to-human research fields, signal data, in particular, contain important…

Sound · Computer Science 2022-02-21 Lukas Stappen , Manuel Milling , Valentin Munst , Korakot Hoffmann , Bjorn W. Schuller

Sports are spontaneous generators of stories. Through skill and chance, the script of each game is dynamically written in real time by players acting out possible trajectories allowed by a sport's rules. By properly characterizing a given…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-01 D. P. Kiley , A. J. Reagan , L. Mitchell , C. M. Danforth , P. S. Dodds

Considering the fact that sports and politics interact in a very complex way, this interdisciplinary area remains largely untouched in data science research. Given the fact that huge fan bases exist for the major sports leagues such as NBA…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Shuaidong Pan , Faner Lin , Jiebo Luo
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