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Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are well-established tools for probabilistic exploration of dependence structures using precision matrices. We develop a Bayesian method to incorporate covariate information in this GGMs setup in a nonlinear…

Estimating hidden processes from non-linear noisy observations is particularly difficult when the parameters of these processes are not known. This paper adopts a machine learning approach to devise variational Bayesian inference for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Komlan Atitey , Pavel Loskot , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Extending spatio-temporal scale limitations of models for complex atomistic systems considered in biochemistry and materials science necessitates the development of enhanced sampling methods. The potential acceleration in exploring the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-18 Markus Schöberl , Nicholas Zabaras , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

A method for sequential Bayesian inference of the static parameters of a dynamic state space model is proposed. The method is based on the observation that many dynamic state space models have a relatively small number of static parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-28 Arnab Bhattacharya , Simon Wilson

For real-life nonlinear systems, the exact form of nonlinearity is often not known and the known governing equations are often based on certain assumptions and approximations. Such representation introduced model-form error into the system.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-20 Shailesh Garg , Souvik Chakraborty , Budhaditya Hazra

Mechanistic growth models play a major role in bioprocess engineering, design, and control. Their reasonable predictive power and their high level of interpretability make them an essential tool for computer aided engineering methods.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-07 Judit Aizpuru , Maxim Borisyak , Peter Neubauer , M. Nicolas Cruz Bournazou

In this paper we propose a wavelet-based methodology for estimation and variable selection in partially linear models. The inference is conducted in the wavelet domain, which provides a sparse and localized decomposition appropriate for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-26 Norbert Remenyi

A constructive proof of identification of multilinear decompositions of multiway arrays is presented. It can be applied to show identification in a variety of multivariate latent structures. Examples are finite-mixture models and hidden…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-06 Stéphane Bonhomme , Koen Jochmans , Jean-Marc Robin

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

A novel information-theoretic approach is proposed to assess the global practical identifiability of Bayesian statistical models. Based on the concept of conditional mutual information, an estimate of information gained for each model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Sahil Bhola , Karthik Duraisamy

Experience in the physical sciences suggests that the only realistic means of understanding complex systems is through the use of mathematical models. Typically, this has come to mean the identification of quantitative models expressed as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-11-02 George M. Coghill , Ross D. King , Ashwin Srinivasan

Non-stationary systems are found throughout the world, from climate patterns under the influence of variation in carbon dioxide concentration, to brain dynamics driven by ascending neuromodulation. Accordingly, there is a need for methods…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-15 Kieran S. Owens , Ben D. Fulcher

Many collective systems exist in nature far from equilibrium, ranging from cellular sheets up to flocks of birds. These systems reflect a form of active matter, whereby individual material components have internal energy. Under specific…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-04-17 Namid R. Stillman , Silke Henkes , Roberto Mayor , Gilles Louppe

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

Inferring causal relationships from observed data is an important task, yet it becomes challenging when the data is subject to various external interferences. Most of these interferences are the additional effects of external factors on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Ruichu Cai , Xiaokai Huang , Wei Chen , Zijian Li , Zhifeng Hao

Structural global parameter identifiability indicates whether one can determine a parameter's value from given inputs and outputs in the absence of noise. If a given model has parameters for which there may be infinitely many values, such…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Ilia Ilmer , Alexey Ovchinnikov , Gleb Pogudin , Pedro Soto

Although coarse-grained models have been widely used to explain exotic phenomena in complex fluids, such as droplet formation in living cells, these conventional approaches often fail to capture the intricate microscopic degrees of freedom…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-06-13 Masanari Shimada , Tetsuya J. Kobayashi

Model uncertainty quantification is an essential component of effective data assimilation. Model errors associated with sub-grid scale processes are often represented through stochastic parameterizations of the unresolved process. Many…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Sahani Pathiraja , Peter Jan van Leeuwen

In this work we propose a new kind of parameterized outer estimate of the united solution set to an interval parametric linear system. The new method has several advantages compared to the methods obtaining parameterized solutions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-02 Evgenija D. Popova

Observed associations in a database may be due in whole or part to variations in unrecorded (latent) variables. Identifying such variables and their causal relationships with one another is a principal goal in many scientific and practical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Ricardo Silva , Richard Scheines , Clark Glymour , Peter L. Spirtes
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