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Related papers: Fiducial inference then and now

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In the past two decades, there has been a fast-growing literature on fiducial inference since it was first proposed by R. A. Fisher in the 1930s. However, most of the fiducial inference based methods and related approaches have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Yifan Cui , Jan Hannig

Fiducial inference was introduced in the first half of the 20th century by Fisher (1935) as a means to get a posterior-like distribution for a parameter without having to arbitrarily define a prior. While the method originally fell out of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Alexander C. Murph , Jan Hannig , Jonathan P. Williams

Since the idea of fiducial inference was put forward by Fisher, researchers have been attempting to place it within a rigorous and well motivated framework. It is fair to say that a general definition has remained elusive. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Pier Giovanni Bissiri , Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

The aim of this paper is to firmly establish subjective fiducial inference as a rival to the more conventional schools of statistical inference, and to show that Fisher's intuition concerning the importance of the fiducial argument was…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-08 Russell J. Bowater

In recent years the ultrahigh dimensional linear regression problem has attracted enormous attentions from the research community. Under the sparsity assumption most of the published work is devoted to the selection and estimation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-01 Randy C. S. Lai , Jan Hannig , Thomas C. M. Lee

While fiducial inference was widely considered a big blunder by R.A. Fisher, the goal he initially set --`inferring the uncertainty of model parameters on the basis of observations' -- has been continually pursued by many statisticians. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-01 Faming Liang , Sehwan Kim , Yan Sun

Fisher's fiducial argument is widely viewed as a failed version of Neyman's theory of confidence limits. But Fisher's goal -- Bayesian-like probabilistic uncertainty quantification without priors -- was more ambitious than Neyman's, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Ryan Martin

The majority of the statisticians concluded many decades ago that fiducial inference was nonsensical to them. Hannig et al. (2016) and others have, however, contributed to a renewed interest and focus. Fiducial inference is similar to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-15 G. Taraldsen , B. H. Lindquist

The concept of fiducial inference was introduced by R. A. Fisher in the 1930s to address the perceived limitations of Bayesian inference, particularly the need for subjective prior distributions in cases with limited prior information.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Wei Du , Jan Hannig , Thomas C. M. Lee , Yi Su , Chunzhe Zhang

The fiducial is not unique in general, but we prove that in a restricted class of models it is uniquely determined by the sampling distribution of the data. It depends in particular not on the choice of a data generating model. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-06 Gunnar Taraldsen , Bo H. Lindqvist

Reacting against the limitation of statistics to decision procedures, R. A. Fisher proposed for inductive reasoning the use of the fiducial distribution, a parameter-space distribution of epistemological probability transferred directly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-01 David R. Bickel

The fiducial argument of Fisher (1973) has been described as his biggest blunder, but the recent review of Hannig et al. (2016) demonstrates the current and increasing interest in this brilliant idea. This short note analyses an example…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-06-14 Gunnar Taraldsen , Bo Henry Lindqvist

Bayesian, frequentist and fiducial (BFF) inferences are much more congruous than they have been perceived historically in the scientific community (cf., Reid and Cox 2015; Kass 2011; Efron 1998). Most practitioners are probably more…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-17 Suzanne Thornton , Minge Xie

Statistical inference as a formal scientific method to covert experience to knowledge has proven to be elusively difficult. While frequentist and Bayesian methodologies have been accepted in the contemporary era as two dominant schools of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Chuanhai Liu , Ryan Martin

This paper introduces to readers the new concept and methodology of confidence distribution and the modern-day distributional inference in statistics. This discussion should be of interest to people who would like to go into the depth of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-07 Yifan Cui , Min-ge Xie

R. A. Fisher introduced the fiducial distribution as a potential replacement for the Bayesian posterior distribution in the 1930s. During the past century, fiducial approaches have been explored in various parametric and nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yifan Cui , Jan Hannig , Paul Edlefsen

Fisher's fiducial probability has recently received renewed attention under the name confidence. In this paper, we reformulate it within an extended-likelihood framework, a representation that helps to resolve many long-standing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Youngjo Lee

We propose a way to construct fiducial distributions for a multidimensional parameter using a step-by-step conditional procedure related to the inferential importance of the components of the parameter. For discrete models, in which the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Piero Veronese , Eugenio Melilli

A substantial generalisation is put forward of the theory of subjective fiducial inference as it was outlined in earlier papers. In particular, this theory is extended to deal with cases where the data are discrete or categorical rather…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-04-09 Russell J. Bowater

That science and other domains are now largely data-driven means virtually unlimited opportunities for statisticians. With great power comes responsibility, so it's imperative that statisticians ensure that the methods being developing to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Ryan Martin
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