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The objective of this study is to propose and test an adaptive reinforcement learning model that can learn the patterns of human mobility in a normal context and simulate the mobility during perturbations caused by crises, such as flooding,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-04 Chao Fan , Xiangqi Jiang , Ali Mostafavi

More than half of the world's population now lives in urban environments, which concentrate services and infrastructure to satisfy the material needs of a growing number of inhabitants. The interdependencies between physical infrastructure…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-02-11 Ariel Favier , Christine Hedde-von Westernhagen , Meghan Krieg , Bhaskar Kumawat

This research explores the potential to analyze bank card payments and ATM cash withdrawals in order to map and quantify how people are impacted by and recover from natural disasters. Our approach defines a disaster-affected community's…

The dynamics of collaboration networks of firms follow a life-cycle of growth and decline. That does not imply they also become less resilient. Instead, declining collaboration networks may still have the ability to mitigate shocks from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-24 Frank Schweitzer , Giona Casiraghi , Mario V. Tomasello , David Garcia

In recent decades, the weather around the world has become more irregular and extreme, often causing large-scale extended power outages. Resilience -- the capability of withstanding, adapting to, and recovering from a large-scale disruption…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-06 Shixiang Zhu , Rui Yao , Yao Xie , Feng Qiu , Yueming Qiu , Xuan Wu

The electric distribution system is a cornerstone of modern life, playing a critical role in the daily activities and well-being of individuals. As the world transitions toward a decarbonized future, where even mobility relies on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-24 Shikhar Pandey , Gowtham Kandaperumal , Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

During disasters, cascading failures across power grids, communication networks, and social behavior amplify community fear and undermine cooperation. Existing cyber-physical-social (CPS) models simulate these coupled dynamics but lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Yashodhan D. Hakke , Almuatazbellah M. Boker , Lamine Mili , Michael von Spakovsky , Hoda Eldardiry

In this paper, in an attempt to improve power grid resilience, a machine learning model is proposed to predictively estimate the component states in response to extreme events. The proposed model is based on a multi-dimensional Support…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-19 Rozhin Eskandarpour , Amin Khodaei , Ali Arab

We propose an adaption of the multiple imputation random lasso procedure tailored to longitudinal data with unobserved fixed effects which provides robust variable selection in the presence of complex missingness, high dimensionality and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-04 Lotta Rüter , Melanie Schienle

We demonstrate the use of Adaptive Stress Testing to detect and address potential vulnerabilities in a financial environment. We develop a simplified model for credit card fraud detection that utilizes a linear regression classifier based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Khalid El-Awady

Post-disaster aid allocation in developing nations often suffers from systematic biases that disadvantage vulnerable regions, perpetuating historical inequities. This paper presents a fairness-aware artificial intelligence framework for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Farjana Yesmin , Romana Akter

New crisis response and management approaches that incorporate the latest information technologies are essential in all phases of emergency preparedness and response, including the planning, response, recovery, and assessment phases.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-01 Ben Ortiz , Laura Kahn , Marc Bosch , Philip Bogden , Viveca Pavon-Harr , Onur Savas , Ian McCulloh

Resilience denotes the capacity of a system to withstand shocks and its ability to recover from them. We develop a framework to quantify the resilience of highly volatile, non-equilibrium social organizations, such as collectives or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Frank Schweitzer , Georges Andres , Giona Casiraghi , Christoph Gote , Ramona Roller , Ingo Scholtes , Giacomo Vaccario , Christian Zingg

Buildings represent a promising flexibility source to support the integration of renewable energy sources, as they may shift their heating energy consumption over time without impacting users' comfort. However, a building's predicted…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-02 Julie Rousseau , Hanmin Cai , Philipp Heer , Kristina Orehounig , Gabriela Hug

Inspired by recent ideas on how the analysis of complex financial risks can benefit from analogies with independent research areas, we propose an unorthodox framework for mapping microfinance credit risk---a major obstacle to the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-21 Joung-Hun Lee , Marko Jusup , Boris Podobnik , Yoh Iwasa

Significant negative impacts are observed in productivity, economy, and social wellbeing because of the reduced human activity due to extreme events. Community resilience is an important and widely used concept to understand the impacts of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Tasnuba Binte Jamal , Samiul Hasan

Resilience refers to the ability of systems to withstand, adapt to, and recover from disruptive events. While studies on resilience have attracted significant attention across various research domains, the precise definition of this concept…

Supply chain resilience analysis aims to identify the critical elements in the supply chain, measure its reliability, and analyze solutions for improving vulnerabilities. While extensive methods like stochastic approaches have been…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-22 Yaxin Pang , Shenle Pan , Eric Ballot

Recently, mobile operators in many developing economies have launched "Mobile Money" platforms that deliver basic financial services over the mobile phone network. While many believe that these services can improve the lives of the poor, a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-17 Muhammad Raza Khan , Joshua E. Blumenstock

Recent developments in machine-learning algorithms have led to impressive performance increases in many traditional application scenarios of artificial intelligence research. In the area of deep reinforcement learning, deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-16 Malte Schilling , Helge Ritter , Frank W. Ohl