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Uncertainty estimates must be calibrated (i.e., accurate) and sharp (i.e., informative) in order to be useful. This has motivated a variety of methods for recalibration, which use held-out data to turn an uncalibrated model into a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Charles Marx , Shengjia Zhao , Willie Neiswanger , Stefano Ermon

This paper focuses on forecasting hierarchical time-series data, where each higher-level observation equals the sum of its corresponding lower-level time series. In such contexts, the forecast values should be coherent, meaning that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Shuhei Aikawa , Aru Suzuki , Kei Yoshitake , Kanata Teshigawara , Akira Iwabuchi , Ken Kobayashi , Kazuhide Nakata

Automated decision systems increasingly rely on human oversight to ensure accuracy in uncertain cases. This paper presents a practical framework for optimizing such human-in-the-loop classification systems using a double-threshold policy.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Goran Muric , Steven Minton

In hierarchical forecasting, the process of forecast reconciliation transforms a set of "base" or "raw" forecasts, which do not satisfy the hierarchical aggregation constraints in the real data, into a set of "coherent" forecasts, which do…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Minh Nguyen , Farshid Vahid , Shanika L Wickramasuriya

We study the connection of two problems within the planning and verification community: Conformant planning and model-checking of hyperproperties. Conformant planning is the task of finding a sequential plan that achieves a given objective…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Raven Beutner , Bernd Finkbeiner

We consider the problem of learning optimal solutions of a partially known linear optimization problem and recovering its underlying cost function where a set of past decisions and the feasible set are known. We develop a new framework,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Farzin Ahmadi , Fardin Ganjkhanloo , Kimia Ghobadi

Contact adaption is an essential capability when manipulating objects. Two key contact modes of non-prehensile manipulation are sticking and sliding. This paper presents a Trajectory Optimization (TO) method formulated as a Mathematical…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-21 João Moura , Theodoros Stouraitis , Sethu Vijayakumar

One goal of applied operations research is to improve decisions in practice. This requires modelers and stakeholders to have a shared understanding of the system and for the developed model to reflect the system's core dynamics. There are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-31 Tyler C. O'Brien , Emily L. Tucker , Steven Foster , Sudeep Hegde

This paper describes a framework for analysing matches in multiple data sets. The framework described is quite general and can be applied to a variety of problems where matches are to be found in data surveyed at a number of locations (or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Richard G. Clegg

Human instance matting aims to estimate an alpha matte for each human instance in an image, which is challenging as it easily fails in complex cases requiring disentangling mingled pixels belonging to multiple instances along hairy and thin…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Siyi Jiao , Wenzheng Zeng , Yerong Li , Huayu Zhang , Changxin Gao , Nong Sang , Mike Zheng Shou

Machine learning is about forecasting. When the forecasts come with an evaluation metric the forecasts become useful. What are reasonable evaluation metrics? How do existing evaluation metrics relate? In this work, we provide a general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Rabanus Derr , Robert C. Williamson

We propose a novel solution framework for inverse mixed-integer optimization based on analytic center concepts from interior point methods. We characterize the optimality gap of a given solution, provide structural results, and propose…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Samir Elhedhli , Göksu Ece Okur

Explainable AI Planning (XAIP) aims to develop AI agents that can effectively explain their decisions and actions to human users, fostering trust and facilitating human-AI collaboration. A key challenge in XAIP is model reconciliation,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Yinxu Tang , Stylianos Loukas Vasileiou , William Yeoh

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

We introduce a dynamic approach to probabilistic forecast reconciliation at scale. Our model differs from the existing literature in this area in several important ways. Firstly we explicitly allow the weights allocated to the base…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-20 Ross Hollyman , Fotios Petropoulos , Michael E. Tipping

Training data reconstruction from KKT conditions has shown striking empirical success, yet it remains unclear when the resulting KKT equations have unique solutions and, even in identifiable regimes, how to reliably recover solutions by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Yujie Shen , Zihan Wang , Jian Qian , Qi Lei

To make good decisions in the real world people need efficient planning strategies because their computational resources are limited. Knowing which planning strategies would work best for people in different situations would be very useful…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Saksham Consul , Lovis Heindrich , Jugoslav Stojcheski , Falk Lieder

Planners using accurate models can be effective for accomplishing manipulation tasks in the real world, but are typically highly specialized and require significant fine-tuning to be reliable. Meanwhile, learning is useful for adaptation,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Alex LaGrassa , Steven Lee , Oliver Kroemer

AI agents are being developed to support high stakes decision-making processes from driving cars to prescribing drugs, making it increasingly important for human users to understand their behavior. Policy summarization methods aim to convey…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Isaac Lage , Daphna Lifschitz , Finale Doshi-Velez , Ofra Amir

In a recent paper, Levy and Goldberg pointed out an interesting connection between prediction-based word embedding models and count models based on pointwise mutual information. Under certain conditions, they showed that both models end up…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-09 S. Sathiya Keerthi , Tobias Schnabel , Rajiv Khanna
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