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Graphical models with bi-directed edges (<->) represent marginal independence: the absence of an edge between two vertices indicates that the corresponding variables are marginally independent. In this paper, we consider maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-12 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

A maximum likelihood type estimation of the drift and volatility coefficient parameters in the CIR type model driven by $\alpha$-stable noises is studied when the dispersion parameter $\varepsilon\to0$ and the discrete observations…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-10 Xu Yang

We study the problem of maximizing information divergence from a new perspective using logarithmic Voronoi polytopes. We show that for linear models, the maximum is always achieved at the boundary of the probability simplex. For toric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Yulia Alexandr , Serkan Hoşten

The restricted maximum likelihood method enhances popularity of maximum likelihood methods for variance component analysis on large scale unbalanced data. As the high throughput biological data sets and the emerged science on uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-15 Shengxin Zhu , Andrew J Wathen

We describe new arithmetic invariants for pairs of torus orbits on groups isogenous to an inner form of $\mathbf{PGL}_n$ over a number field. These invariants are constructed by studying the double quotient of a linear algebraic group by a…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-18 Ilya Khayutin

Elliptically symmetric distributions are widely used in portfolio modeling, as well as in signal processing applications for modeling impulsive background noises. Of particular interest are algorithms for covariance estimation and subspace…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Christophe Culan , Claude Adnet

Maximum likelihood estimation is a fundamental computational problem in statistics. In this note, we give a bound for the maximum likelihood degree of algebraic statistical models for discrete data. As usual, such models are identified with…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2015-04-20 Nero Budur , Botong Wang

Maximum likelihood estimation is an important statistical technique for estimating missing data, for example in climate and environmental applications, which are usually large and feature data points that are irregularly spaced. In…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2019-07-25 Sameh Abdulah , Hatem Ltaief , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton , David E. Keyes

We present a streamlined proof of the foundational result in the theory of exponential random graph models (ERGMs) that the maximum likelihood estimate exists if and only if the target statistic lies in the relative interior of the convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Henry Bayly , Aditya Khanna , Kathryn Lindsey

A weighted likelihood technique for robust estimation of a multivariate Wrapped Normal distribution for data points scattered on a p-dimensional torus is proposed. The occurrence of outliers in the sample at hand can badly compromise…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-01 Giovanni Saraceno , Claudio Agostinelli , Luca Greco

We generalize various notions of stability of invariant sets of dynamical systems to invariant measures, by defining a topology on the set of measures. The defined topology is similar, but not topologically equivalent to weak* topology, and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-04 Sinisa Slijepcevic

We research adaptive maximum likelihood-type estimation for an ergodic diffusion process where the observation is contaminated by noise. This methodology leads to the asymptotic independence of the estimators for the variance of observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Shogo H. Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

Since its introduction, the skew-$t$ distribution has received much attention in the literature both for the study of theoretical properties and as a model for data fitting in empirical work. A major motivation for this interest is the high…

Computation · Statistics 2019-07-25 Adelchi Azzalini , Mahdi Salehi

We consider the asymptotic consistency of maximum likelihood parameter estimation for dynamical systems observed with noise. Under suitable conditions on the dynamical systems and the observations, we show that maximum likelihood parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Kevin McGoff , Sayan Mukherjee , Andrew Nobel , Natesh Pillai

Numerical nonlinear algebra is applied to maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian models defined by linear constraints on the covariance matrix. We examine the generic case as well as special models (e.g. Toeplitz, sparse, trees) that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-07 Bernd Sturmfels , Sascha Timme , Piotr Zwiernik

We consider the classical estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter within classes of nondegenerate diffusion processes. Using rough path theory (in the sense of T. Lyons), we analyze the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Joscha Diehl , Peter Friz , Hilmar Mai

Maximum likelihood is the most widely used statistical estimation technique. Recent work by the authors introduced a general methodology for the construction of estimators for functionals in parametric models, and demonstrated improvements…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-29 Jiantao Jiao , Kartik Venkat , Yanjun Han , Tsachy Weissman

One of the most common anticipated difficulties in applying mainstream maximum likelihood inference upon extreme values is articulated on the scarcity of extreme observations for bringing the extreme value theorem to hold across a series of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-28 Christopher Jeffree , Cláudia Neves

We introduce Invariant Risk Minimization (IRM), a learning paradigm to estimate invariant correlations across multiple training distributions. To achieve this goal, IRM learns a data representation such that the optimal classifier, on top…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-31 Martin Arjovsky , Léon Bottou , Ishaan Gulrajani , David Lopez-Paz

We consider robust estimation of wrapped models to multivariate circular data that are points on the surface of a $p$-torus based on the weighted likelihood methodology.Robust model fitting is achieved by a set of weighted likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Claudio Agostinelli , Luca Greco , Giovanni Saraceno