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In recent studies of political decision-making, apparently anomalous behavior has been observed on the part of voters, in which negative information about a candidate strengthens, rather than weakens, a prior positive opinion about the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-06-12 William W. Cohen , David P. Redlawsk , Douglas Pierce

US Presidential Election 2012 has been a very tight race between the two key candidates. There were intense battle between the two key candidates. The election reflects the sentiment of the electorate towards the achievements of the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-13 Murphy Choy , Michelle Cheong , Ma Nang Laik , Koo Ping Shung

We propose a modeling procedure for estimating immediate responses to TV ads and evaluating the factors influencing their size. First, we capture diurnal and seasonal patterns of website visits using the kernel smoothing method. Second, we…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-09 Lukáš Veverka , Vladimír Holý

Social media have substantially altered the way brands and businesses advertise: Online Social Networks provide brands with more versatile and dynamic channels for advertisement than traditional media (e.g., TV and radio). Levels of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-12-24 Shana Dacres , Hamed Haddadi , Matthew Purver

Opinion dynamics have attracted the interest of researchers from different fields. Local interactions among individuals create interesting dynamics for the system as a whole. Such dynamics are important from a variety of perspectives. Group…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-10 Hossein Noorazar

With historic misses in the 2016 and 2020 US Presidential elections, interest in measuring polling errors has increased. The most common method for measuring directional errors and non-sampling excess variability during a postmortem for an…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-21 Graham Tierney , Alexander Volfovsky

Online advertising is the major source of income for a large portion of Internet Services. There exists a body of literature aiming at optimizing ads engagement, understanding the privacy and ethical implications of online advertising, etc.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Aritz Arrate , José González Cabañas , Ángel Cuevas , María Calderón , Rubén Cuevas

In this paper, the influence of the social media on the opinion formation process is modeled during an election campaign. In the proposed model, peer- to-peer interactions and targeted online propaganda messages are assumed to be the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-16 Semra Gunduc

We investigate how crises alter societies by analyzing the timing and channels of change using a longitudinal multi-wave survey of a representative sample of Americans throughout 2020. This methodology allows us to overcome some of the…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-16 Guglielmo Briscese , Maddalena Grignani , Stephen Stapleton

Social media platforms are popular venues for fashion brand marketing and advertising. With the introduction of native advertising, users don't have to endure banner ads that hold very little saliency and are unattractive. Using images and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-03-10 Lydia Manikonda , Ragav Venkatesan , Subbarao Kambhampati , Baoxin Li

Approximately 50% of tweets in X's user timelines are personalized recommendations from accounts they do not follow. This raises a critical question: What political content are users exposed to beyond their established networks, and what…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Jinyi Ye , Luca Luceri , Emilio Ferrara

Social Media have been extensively used for commercial and political communication, besides their initial scope of providing an easy-to-use outlet to produce and consume user-generated content. Besides being a popular medium, Social Media…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Kostas Karpouzis , Stavros Kaperonis , Yannis Skarpelos

As advertisers increasingly shift their budgets toward digital advertising, accurately forecasting advertising costs becomes essential for optimizing marketing campaign returns. This paper presents a comprehensive study that employs various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Fynn Oldenburg , Qiwei Han , Maximilian Kaiser

Changes in political geography and electoral district boundaries shape representation in the United States Congress. To disentangle the effects of geography and gerrymandering, we generate a large ensemble of alternative redistricting plans…

With the significant increase in users on social media platforms, a new means of political campaigning has appeared. Twitter and Facebook are now notable campaigning tools during elections. Indeed, the candidates and their parties now take…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-04-18 Hadi Abdine , Yanzhu Guo , Virgile Rennard , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Online advertising has typically been more personalized than offline advertising, through the use of machine learning models and real-time auctions for ad targeting. One specific task, predicting the likelihood of conversion (i.e.\ the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Conor O'Brien , Arvind Thiagarajan , Sourav Das , Rafael Barreto , Chetan Verma , Tim Hsu , James Neufield , Jonathan J Hunt

Digital commerce thrives on advertising, with many of the largest technology companies relying on it as a significant source of revenue. However, in the context of information-seeking behavior, such as search, advertising may degrade the…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Jacob Erickson

Consumer behavior under social influence is a well-known phenomenon and computer scientists and economists are prevalently trying to analyze the dynamics behind decision making during the consumption process through agent-based modeling…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Eren Arkangil

The 2020 US elections news coverage was extensive, with new pieces of information generated rapidly. This evolving scenario presented an opportunity to study the performance of search engines in a context in which they had to quickly…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-04-06 Roberto Ulloa , Mykola Makhortykh , Aleksandra Urman , Juhi Kulshrestha

As political parties around the world experiment with Artificial Intelligence (AI) in election campaigns, concerns about deception and manipulation are rising. This article examines how the public reacts to different uses of AI in elections…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Andreas Jungherr , Adrian Rauchfleisch , Alexander Wuttke
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