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Let $\alpha_n(\cdot)=P\bigl(X_{n+1}\in\cdot\mid X_1,\ldots,X_n\bigr)$ be the predictive distributions of a sequence $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$ of $p$-dimensional random vectors. Suppose $$\alpha_n= \mathcal{N} _p (M_n,Q_n)$$ where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Samuele Garelli , Fabrizio Leisen , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

We consider the problem of hypotheses testing with the basic simple hypothesis: observed sequence of points corresponds to stationary Poisson process with known intensity. The alternatives are stationary self-exciting point processes. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Serguei Dachian , Yury A. Kutoyants

We introduce fully nonparametric two-sample tests for testing the null hypothesis that the samples come from the same distribution if the values are only indirectly given via current status censoring. The tests are based on the likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-12 Piet Groeneboom

We consider a nonlinear polynomial regression model in which we wish to test the null hypothesis of structural stability in the regression parameters against the alternative of a break at an unknown time. We derive the extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-23 Alexander Aue , Lajos Horváth , Marie Hušková , Piotr Kokoszka

We describe some recent approaches to likelihood based inference in the presence of nuisance parameters. Our approach is based on plotting the likelihood function and the $p$-value function, using recently developed third order…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 N. Reid , D. A. S. Fraser

A pervasive issue in statistical hypothesis testing is that the reported $p$-values are biased downward by data "peeking" -- the practice of reporting only progressively extreme values of the test statistic as more data samples are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Akshay Balsubramani

Two-sided statistical tests and p-values are well defined only when the test statistic in question has a symmetric distribution. A new two-sided p-value called conditional p-value $P_C$ is introduced here. It is closely related to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-14 Elena Kulinskaya

The American Statistical Association (ASA) statement on statistical significance and P-values \cite{wasserstein2016asa} cautioned statisticians against making scientific decisions solely on the basis of traditional P-values. The statement…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-22 Abhisek Chakraborty , Megan H. Murray , Ilya Lipkovich , Yu Du

Consider a binary statistical hypothesis testing problem, where $n$ independent and identically distributed random variables $Z^n$ are either distributed according to the null hypothesis $P$ or the alternative hypothesis $Q$, and only $P$…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-15 K. V. Harsha , Jithin Ravi , Tobias Koch

Given observations from a stationary time series, permutation tests allow one to construct exactly level $\alpha$ tests under the null hypothesis of an i.i.d. (or, more generally, exchangeable) distribution. On the other hand, when the null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Joseph P. Romano , Marius A. Tirlea

It is quite common in modern research, for a researcher to test many hypotheses. The statistical (frequentist) hypothesis testing framework, does not scale with the number of hypotheses in the sense that naively performing many hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-26 Jonathan Rosenblatt

Evaluating the joint significance of covariates is of fundamental importance in a wide range of applications. To this end, p-values are frequently employed and produced by algorithms that are powered by classical large-sample asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-11 Yingying Fan , Emre Demirkaya , Jinchi Lv

We review approaches to statistical inference based on randomization. Permutation tests are treated as an important special case. Under a certain group invariance property, referred to as the ``randomization hypothesis,'' randomization…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-05 David M. Ritzwoller , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

The determination of the fundamental parameters of the Standard Model (and its extensions) is often limited by the presence of statistical and theoretical uncertainties. We present several models for the latter uncertainties (random,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-04-26 Jérôme Charles , Sébastien Descotes-Genon , Valentin Niess , Luiz Vale Silva

We examine hypothesis testing within a principal-agent framework, where a strategic agent, holding private beliefs about the effectiveness of a product, submits data to a principal who decides on approval. The principal employs a hypothesis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Safwan Hossain , Yatong Chen , Yiling Chen

The large-sample behavior of non-degenerate multivariate $U$-statistics of arbitrary degree is investigated under the assumption that their kernel depends on parameters that can be estimated consistently. Mild regularity conditions are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Alain Desgagné , Christian Genest , Frédéric Ouimet

The issue addressed in this paper is that of testing for common breaks across or within equations of a multivariate system. Our framework is very general and allows integrated regressors and trends as well as stationary regressors. The null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Tatsushi Oka , Pierre Perron

In this paper, in order to test whether changes have occurred in a nonlinear parametric regression, we propose a nonparametric method based on the empirical likelihood. Firstly, we test the null hypothesis of no-change against the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-22 Gabriela Ciuperca , Zahraa Salloum

As increasingly complex hypothesis-testing scenarios are considered in many scientific fields, analytic derivation of null distributions is often out of reach. To the rescue comes Monte Carlo testing, which may appear deceptively simple: as…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-13 Egil Ferkingstad , Lars Holden , Geir Kjetil Sandve

Practical problems with missing data are common, and statistical methods have been developed concerning the validity and/or efficiency of statistical procedures. On a central focus, there have been longstanding interests on the mechanism…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-26 Rui Duan , C. Jason Liang , Pamela Shaw , Cheng Yong Tang , Yong Chen
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