Related papers: Gap probabilities in the bulk of the Airy process

We prove a law of large numbers and functional central limit theorem for a class of multivariate Hawkes processes with time-dependent reproduction rate. We address the difficulties induced by the use of non-convolutive Volterra processes by…

Let $f$ be a zero-mean continuous stationary Gaussian process on ${\mathbb R}$ whose spectral measure vanishes in a $\delta$-neighborhood of the origin. Then the probability that $f$ stays non-negative on an interval of length $L$ is at…

We study the asymptotic behavior of short cycles of random permutations with cycle weights. More specifically, on a specially constructed metric space whose elements encode all possible cycles, we consider a point process containing all…

The paper studies nonstationary high-dimensional vector autoregressions of order $k$, VAR($k$). Additional deterministic terms such as trend or seasonality are allowed. The number of time periods, $T$, and the number of coordinates, $N$,…

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent centered stationary Gaussian processes with unit variance and almost surely continuous sample paths. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of conjunctions $C_{[0,T],u}:=\{t\in…

A large class of problems in sciences and engineering can be formulated as the general problem of constructing random intervals with pre-specified coverage probabilities for the mean. Wee propose a general approach for statistical inference…

We give overcrowding estimates for the Sine_beta process, the bulk point process limit of the Gaussian beta-ensemble. We show that the probability of having at least n points in a fixed interval is given by $e^{-\frac{\beta}{2} n^2…

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

We point out that the non-trivial function obtained by Ferrari and Liu for the persistence probability of the Airy$_1$ process has a strikingly similar form as a large deviation function found earlier by the author for current fluctuations…

For uniform random permutations conditioned to have no long cycles, we prove that the total number of cycles satisfies a central limit theorem. Under additional assumptions on the asymptotic behavior of the set of allowed cycle lengths, we…

Some asymptotic notions for random variables are discussed. In particular, different versions of O and o for sequences of random variables are studied. The results are elementary and more or less well-known, but collected here for future…

In this paper we consider convergence of moments in the small-time limit theorems for L\'evy processes. We provide precise asymptotics for all the absolute moments of positive order. The convergence of moments in limit theorems holds…

Many AI researchers argue that probability theory is only capable of dealing with uncertainty in situations where a full specification of a joint probability distribution is available, and conclude that it is not suitable for application in…

We prove the enveloping property of the known divergent asymptotic expansions of the large real zeros of the cylinder and Airy functions, and thereby answering in the affirmative two conjectures posed by Elbert and Laforgia and by Fabijonas…

Starting from considerations about meaning and subsequent use of asymmetric uncertainty intervals of experimental results, we review the issue of uncertainty propagation. We show that, using a probabilistic approach (the so-called Bayesian…

We study determinantal point processes (DPP) through the lens of algebraic statistics. We count the critical points of the log-likelihood function, and we compute them for small models, thereby disproving a conjecture of Brunel, Moitra,…

We consider the winding number of planar stationary Gaussian processes defined on the line. Under mild conditions, we obtain the asymptotic variance and the Central Limit Theorem for the winding number as the time horizon tends to infinity.…

We study the Macroscopic Hausdorff dimension of the upper and lower level sets of the Airy processes, following the general method developed in Khoshnevisan et al. \cite{KKX17}. For the Airy$_1$ process, the approach to macroscopic…

This work is a continuation of [7]. We consider a continuous-time birth-and-death process in which the transition rates have an asymptotical power-law dependence upon the position of the process. We establish rough exponential asymptotic…

Consider non-intersecting Brownian motions on the line leaving from the origin and forced to two arbitrary points. Letting the number of Brownian particles tend to infinity, and upon rescaling, there is a point of bifurcation, where the…