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In earlier work the authors obtained integral formulas for probabilities for a single particle in the asymmetric simple exclusion process. Here formulas are obtained for joint probabilities for several particles. In the case of a single…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-16 Craig A. Tracy , Harold Widom

We consider a dynamic version of the Neyman contagious point process that can be used for modelling the spacial dynamics of biological populations, including species invasion scenarios. Starting with an arbitrary finite initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-15 Konstantin Borovkov

In this paper we determine bounds and exact asymptotics of the ruin probability for risk process with arrivals given by a linear marked Hawkes process. We consider the light-tailed and heavy-tailed case of the claim sizes. Main technique is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Zbigniew Palmowski , Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

We prove a conjecture by Shannon Starr regarding the asymptotics for the number of tuples of commuting permutations with given number of joint orbits. These numbers generalize unsigned Stirling numbers of the first kind which count how many…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Abdelmalek Abdesselam

We study a process of generating random positive integer weight sequences $\{ W_n \}$ where the gaps between the weights $\{ X_n = W_n - W_{n-1} \}$ are i.i.d. positive integer-valued random variables. We show that as long as the gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-20 Erin Crossen Brown , Sevak Mkrtchyan , Jonathan Pakianathan

Cointegration is a property of multivariate time series that determines whether its non-stationary, growing components have a stationary linear combination. Largevars R package conducts a cointegration test for high-dimensional vector…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-09 Anna Bykhovskaya , Vadim Gorin , Eszter Kiss

We give an algorithm A which assigns probabilities to logical sentences. For any simple infinite sequence of sentences whose truth-values appear indistinguishable from a biased coin that outputs "true" with probability p, we have that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-13 Scott Garrabrant , Siddharth Bhaskar , Abram Demski , Joanna Garrabrant , George Koleszarik , Evan Lloyd

We consider simple exclusion processes on Z for which the underlying random walk has a finite first moment and a non-zero mean and whose initial distributions are product measures with different densities to the left and to the right of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 E. Andjel , P. A. Ferrari , A. Siqueira

We establish asymptotic formulas for counting rational points near finite type curves on the plane, generalizing Huang's result.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Mingfeng Chen

The aim of this paper is to establish a global asymptotic equivalence between the experiments generated by the discrete (high frequency) or continuous observation of a path of a L{\'e}vy process and a Gaussian white noise experiment…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-13 Ester Mariucci

We study the variance of the number of zeroes of a stationary Gaussian process on a long interval. We give a simple asymptotic description under mild mixing conditions. This allows us to characterise minimal and maximal growth. We show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-25 Eran Assaf , Jeremiah Buckley , Naomi Feldheim

The paper presents a discussion on the asymptotic formula for the number of plane partitions of a large positive integer.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ljuben Mutafchiev , Emil Kamenov

In this paper we investigate the asymptotic distribution of likelihood ratio tests in models with several groups, when the number of groups converges with the dimension and sample size to infinity. We derive central limit theorems for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-17 Holger Dette , Nina Dörnemann

We introduce stochastic variational inference for Gaussian process models. This enables the application of Gaussian process (GP) models to data sets containing millions of data points. We show how GPs can be vari- ationally decomposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 James Hensman , Nicolo Fusi , Neil D. Lawrence

The convergence of a sequence of point processes with dependent points, defined by a symmetric function of iid high-dimensional random vectors, to a Poisson random measure is proved. This also implies the convergence of the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Johannes Heiny , Carolin Kleemann

We consider first passage times $\tau_u = \inf\{n:\; Y_n>u\}$ for the perpetuity sequence $$ Y_n = B_1 + A_1 B_2 + \cdots + (A_1\ldots A_{n-1})B_n, $$ where $(A_n,B_n)$ are i.i.d. random variables with values in ${\mathbb R} ^+\times…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-13 Dariusz Buraczewski , Ewa Damek , Jacek Zienkiewicz

We study asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators of drift parameters for a jump-type Heston model based on continuous time observations, where the jump process can be any purely non-Gaussian L\'evy process of not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

We prove that, under a mild summability condition on the growth of the derivative on critical orbits any piecewise monotone interval map possibly containing discontinuities and singularities with infinite derivative (cusp map) admits an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-08-26 Vitor Araujo , Stefano Luzzatto , Marcelo Viana

A point process is said to be rigid if for any bounded domain in the phase space, the number of particles in the domain is almost surely determined by the restriction of the configuration to the complement of our bounded domain. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Alexander I. Bufetov

Bagging is a useful method for large-scale statistical analysis, especially when the computing resources are very limited. We study here the asymptotic properties of bagging estimators for $M$-estimation problems but with massive datasets.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-14 Yuan Gao , Riquan Zhang , Hansheng Wang
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