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Different regional reactions to war in 1894 and 1900 can significantly impact Chinese imports in 2001. As international relationship gets tense and China rises, international conflicts could decrease trade.We analyze impact of historic…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-15 Xuejian Wang

The risk of systemic war seems dependant on the level of criticality and sensitivity of the International System, and the system's conditions. The level of criticality and sensitivity is dependant on the developmental stage of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-09-08 Ingo Piepers

A major impact of globalization has been the information flow across the financial markets rendering them vulnerable to financial contagion. Research has focused on network analysis techniques to understand the extent and nature of such…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-15 Sayantan Banerjee , Kousik Guhathakurta

Economic historians have long studied market integration and contagion dynamics during periods of warfare and global stress, but there is a lack of model-based evidence on these phenomena. This paper uses an econometric contagion model, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-12 Emile Esmaili , Michael J. Puma , Francis Ludlow , Poul Holm , Eva Jobbova

In the first half of 2020, several countries have responded to the challenges posed by the Covid-19 pandemic by restricting their export of medical supplies. Such measures are meant to increase the domestic availability of critical goods,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-28 Marco Grassia , Giuseppe Mangioni , Stefano Schiavo , Silvio Traverso

Analyzing available FAO data from 176 countries over 21 years, we observe an increase of complexity in the international trade of maize, rice, soy, and wheat. A larger number of countries play a role as producers or intermediaries, either…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-08 Rebekka Burkholz , Frank Schweitzer

Global events like wars and pandemics can intensify online discussions, fostering information sharing and connection among individuals. However, the divisive nature of such events may lead to polarization within online communities, shaping…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Francesco Corso , Giuseppe Russo , Francesco Pierri

We study the ever more integrated and ever more unbalanced trade relationships between European countries. To better capture the complexity of economic networks, we propose two global measures that assess the trade integration and the trade…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-05 Gautier M. Krings , Jean-François Carpantier , Jean-Charles Delvenne

Many empirical studies estimate causal effects in environments where economic units interact through spatial or network connections. In such settings, outcomes are jointly determined, and treatment induced shocks propagate across…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-05 Mariluz Mate

In this paper we develop a methodology to analyze and compare multiple global networks. We focus our analysis on the relation between human migration and trade. First, we identify the subset of products for which the presence of a community…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-02-24 Paolo Sgrignoli , Rodolfo Metulini , Stefano Schiavo , Massimo Riccaboni

This study proposes a prototype for locating important individuals and financial exchanges in networks of people trafficking that have grown during the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. It focuses on the role of digital platforms,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Murat Ozer , Goksel Kucukkaya , Yasin Kose , Assel Mukasheva , Kazim Ciris , Bharath V. Penumatcha

The interdependent nature of the global economy has become stronger with increases in international trade and investment. We propose a new model to reconstruct the international trade network and associated cost network by maximizing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-05 Yuichi Ikeda , Hiroshi Iyetomi

What impact does import competition have on firms' production organizational choices? Existing literature has predominantly focused on the relationship between import competition and firms' global production networks, with less attention…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-27 Xin Du , Xiaoxia Shi

In this paper, we investigate the effect of the U.S.--China trade war on stock markets from a financial contagion perspective, based on high-frequency financial data. Specifically, to account for risk contagion between the U.S. and China…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-19 Minseog Oh , Donggyu Kim

Economic and financial networks play a crucial role in various important processes, including economic integration, globalization, and financial crises. Of particular interest is understanding whether the temporal evolution of a real…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-05-08 Tiziano Squartini , Diego Garlaschelli

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has elicited a diverse array of responses from nations around the globe. During a global conflict, polarized narratives are spread on social media to sway public opinion. We examine the dynamics of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Ahana Biswas , Tim Niven , Yu-Ru Lin

When Russia invaded Ukraine on the 24\textsuperscript{th} of February 2022, this led to many acts of solidarity with Ukraine, including support for its electricity system. Just 20 days after the invasion started, the Ukrainian and Moldovan…

Public opinion on international conflicts, such as the concurrent Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Palestine crises, often reflects a society's values, beliefs, and history. These simultaneous conflicts have sparked heated global online…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Yiyao Tao , Hengyu Zhang , Babli Dey , Selenge Tulga , Hanjia Lyu , Jiebo Luo

The relationship between international trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) is one of the main features of globalization. In this paper we investigate the effects of FDI on trade from a network perspective, since FDI takes not only…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-02 Paolo Sgrignoli , Rodolfo Metulini , Zhen Zhu , Massimo Riccaboni

Human conflict, geopolitical crises, terrorist attacks, and natural disasters can turn large parts of energy distribution networks offline. Europe's current gas supply network is largely dependent on deliveries from Russia and North Africa,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-18 Rui Carvalho , Lubos Buzna , Flavio Bono , Marcelo Masera , David K. Arrowsmith , Dirk Helbing
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