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Related papers: Persuading a Wishful Thinker

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We study a communication game between an informed sender and an uninformed receiver with repeated interactions and voluntary transfers. Transfers motivate the receiver's decision-making and signal the sender's information. Although full…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-12-11 Anton Kolotilin , Hongyi Li

In recent studies of political decision-making, apparently anomalous behavior has been observed on the part of voters, in which negative information about a candidate strengthens, rather than weakens, a prior positive opinion about the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-06-12 William W. Cohen , David P. Redlawsk , Douglas Pierce

A sender first publicly commits to an experiment and then can privately run additional experiments and selectively disclose their outcomes to a receiver. The sender has private information about the maximal number of additional experiments…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-12 Yifan Dai , Drew Fudenberg , Harry Pei

We study a repeated information design setting in which the receiver, who is also the decision-maker, updates beliefs in a systematically biased way. More specifically, a distorted posterior in our model can be written as a convex…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Yuqi Pan , Sadie Zhao , Milind Tambe , Yiling Chen

We present a model elucidating wishful thinking, which comprehensively incorporates both the costs and benefits associated with biased beliefs. Our findings reveal that wishful thinking behavior can be characterized as equivalent to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-01-29 Jarrod Burgh , Emerson Melo

This paper studies a game in which an informed sender with state-independent preferences uses verifiable messages to convince a receiver to choose an action from a finite set. We characterize the equilibrium outcomes of the game and compare…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-10 Maria Titova , Kun Zhang

Bayesian persuasion and its derived information design problem has been one of the main research agendas in the economics and computation literature over the past decade. However, when attempting to apply its model and theory, one is often…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Bonan Ni , Weiran Shen , Pingzhong Tang

We study the robustness of Bayesian persuasion to uncertainty about the receiver's preferences. We analyze two conceptually distinct notions: continuity, in which only the modeler lacks precise knowledge, but where the model's predictions…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-28 Ronen Gradwohl , Fengming Hu , Rann Smorodinsky

Bayesian persuasion studies how an informed sender should influence beliefs of rational receivers who take decisions through Bayesian updating of a common prior. We focus on the online Bayesian persuasion framework, in which the sender…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-03 Martino Bernasconi , Matteo Castiglioni , Andrea Celli , Alberto Marchesi , Nicola Gatti , Francesco Trovò

We study a communication game between a sender and a receiver. The sender chooses one of her signals about the state of the world (i.e., anecdotes) and communicates to the receiver who takes an action affecting both players. The sender and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-19 Nika Haghtalab , Nicole Immorlica , Brendan Lucier , Markus Mobius , Divyarthi Mohan

In Bayesian persuasion, an informed sender, who observes a state, commits to a randomized signaling scheme that guides a self-interested receiver's actions. Classical models assume the receiver knows the commitment. We, instead, study the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Caleb Probine , Mustafa O. Karabag , Ufuk Topcu

In persuasion problems where the receiver's action is one-dimensional and his utility is single-peaked, optimal signals are characterized by duality, based on a first-order approach to the receiver's problem. A signal is optimal iff the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-08-31 Anton Kolotilin , Roberto Corrao , Alexander Wolitzky

Political and advertising campaigns increasingly exploit social networks to spread information and persuade people. This paper studies a persuasion model to examine whether such a strategy is better than simply sending public signals.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-12 Yifan Zhang

We study computational questions in a game-theoretic model that, in particular, aims to capture advertising/persuasion applications such as viral marketing. Specifically, we consider a multi-agent Bayesian persuasion model where an informed…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-03-07 Yakov Babichenko , Siddharth Barman

A sender with state-independent preferences (i.e., transparent motives) privately observes a signal about the state of the world before sending a message to a receiver, who subsequently takes an action. Regardless of whether the receiver…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-05-03 Mark Whitmeyer

The ability to persuade others is critical to professional and personal success. However, crafting persuasive messages is demanding and poses various challenges. We conducted nine exploratory case studies to identify adaptations that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Sebastian Duerr , Krystian Teodor Lange , Peter A. Gloor

Persuasion, defined as the act of exploiting an informational advantage in order to effect the decisions of others, is ubiquitous. Indeed, persuasive communication has been estimated to account for almost a third of all economic activity in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-16 Shaddin Dughmi , Haifeng Xu

We investigate a two-period Bayesian persuasion game, where the receiver faces a decision, akin to a one-armed bandit problem: to undertake an action, gaining noisy information and a corresponding positive or negative payoff, or to refrain.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-11 Massimo DAntoni , Ehud Lehrer , Avraham Tabbach , Eilon Solan

In this paper, we study axiomatic foundations of Bayesian persuasion, where a principal (i.e., sender) delegates the task of choice making after informing a biased agent (i.e., receiver) about the payoff relevant uncertain state (see, e.g.,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-30 Youichiro Higashi , Kemal Ozbek , Norio Takeoka

In many real-world scenarios, experts must convey complex information with limited message capacity. This paper explores how the availability of messages influences an expert's persuasive ability. We develop a geometric representation of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-09 Yunus C. Aybas , Eray Turkel