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A dynamic mean field theory is developed for finite state and action Bayesian reinforcement learning in the large state space limit. In an analogy with statistical physics, the Bellman equation is studied as a disordered dynamical system;…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-13 George Stamatescu

We consider the mean--variance portfolio optimization problem under the game theoretic framework and without risk-free assets. The problem is solved semi-explicitly by applying the extended Hamilton--Jacobi--Bellman equation. Although the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-17 Chi Kin Lam , Yuhong Xu , Guosheng Yin

In this paper, we propose an equilibrium pricing model in a dynamic multi-period stochastic framework with uncertain income streams. In an incomplete market, there exist two traded risky assets (e.g. stock/commodity and weather derivative)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-05-29 Traian A. Pirvu , Huayue Zhang

The accurate prediction of time-changing covariances is an important problem in the modeling of multivariate financial data. However, some of the most popular models suffer from a) overfitting problems and multiple local optima, b) failure…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-04 Yue Wu , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

The analysis of Temporal Difference (TD) learning in the average-reward setting faces notable theoretical difficulties because the Bellman operator is not contractive with respect to any norm. This complicates standard analyses of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Haoxing Tian , Zaiwei Chen , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis , Alex Olshevsky

We consider an investor, whose portfolio consists of a single risky asset and a risk free asset, who wants to maximize his expected utility of the portfolio subject to the Value at Risk assuming a heavy tail distribution of the stock prices…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-02 Subhojit Biswas , Diganta Mukherjee

We study the policy evaluation problem in multi-agent reinforcement learning where a group of agents, with jointly observed states and private local actions and rewards, collaborate to learn the value function of a given policy via local…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-08 Dongsheng Ding , Xiaohan Wei , Zhuoran Yang , Zhaoran Wang , Mihailo R. Jovanović

The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-12 Duy Khanh Lam

Optimal B-robust estimate is constructed for multidimensional parameter in drift coefficient of diffusion type process with small noise. Optimal mean-variance robust (optimal V -robust) trading strategy is find to hedge in mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 N. Lazrieva , T. Toronjadze

Under mean-variance-utility framework, we propose a new portfolio selection model, which allows wealth and time both have influences on risk aversion in the process of investment. We solved the model under a game theoretic framework and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-11 Ben-Zhang Yang , Xin-Jiang He , Song-Ping Zhu

This paper studies the properties of discrete time stochastic optimal control problems associated with portfolio selection. We investigate if optimal continuous time strategies can be used effectively for a discrete time market after a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-26 Alexandra Rodkina , Nikolai Dokuchaev

We introduce a model-free approach for analyzing the risk and return for a broad class of dynamic trading strategies, including pairs trading, mean-reversion trading and other statistical arbitrage strategies, in terms of excursions of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-18 Anna Ananova , Rama Cont , Renyuan Xu

We consider a dynamic portfolio optimization problem that incorporates predictable returns, instantaneous transaction costs, price impact, and stochastic volatility, extending the classical results of Garleanu and Pedersen (2013), which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-24 Patrick Chan , Ronnie Sircar , Iosif Zimbidis

We study Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio selection problem in a continuous-time Black-Scholes market with different borrowing and saving rates. The associated Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation is fully nonlinear. Using a delicate partial…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-31 Chonghu Guan , Xiaomin Shi , Zuo Quan Xu

In this paper we study the robust invariant sets generation problem for discrete-time switched polynomial systems subject to disturbance inputs within the optimal control framework. A robust invariant set of interest is a set of states such…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2021-03-22 Bai Xue , Naijun Zhan

In this paper, which is a continuation of the previously published discrete time paper we develop a theory for continuous time stochastic control problems which, in various ways, are time inconsistent in the sense that they do not admit a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Tomas Björk , Mariana Khapko , Agatha Murgoci

We consider portfolio selection when decisions based on a dynamic risk measure are affected by the use of a moving horizon, and the possible inconsistencies that this creates. By giving a formal treatment of time consistency which is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-12 Samuel N. Cohen , Robert J. Elliott

In this paper, we study the optimal control of a discrete-time stochastic differential equation (SDE) of mean-field type, where the coefficients can depend on both a function of the law and the state of the process. We establish a new…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Arzu Ahmadova , Nazim I. Mahmudov

In this paper we solve the discrete time mean-variance hedging problem when asset returns follow a multivariate autoregressive hidden Markov model. Time dependent volatility and serial dependence are well established properties of financial…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-13 Massimo Caccia , Bruno Rémillard

We propose a novel distributionally robust $Q$-learning algorithm for the non-tabular case accounting for continuous state spaces where the state transition of the underlying Markov decision process is subject to model uncertainty. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Chung I Lu , Julian Sester , Aijia Zhang