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We study continuous-time mean--variance portfolio selection in markets where stock prices are diffusion processes driven by observable factors that are also diffusion processes, yet the coefficients of these processes are unknown. Based on…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-31 Yilie Huang , Yanwei Jia , Xun Yu Zhou

We consider an incomplete market with a nontradable stochastic factor and a continuous time investment problem with an optimality criterion based on monotone mean-variance preferences. We formulate it as a stochastic differential game…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-25 Jakub Trybuła , Dariusz Zawisza

This paper studies a continuous-time market where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a targeted terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return. The optimal portfolio of such a problem is called…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Xun Li , Xun Yu Zhou

A variety of problems in econometrics and machine learning, including instrumental variable regression and Bellman residual minimization, can be formulated as satisfying a set of conditional moment restrictions (CMR). We derive a general,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Gokul Swamy , Sanjiban Choudhury , J. Andrew Bagnell , Zhiwei Steven Wu

This article studies a portfolio optimization problem, where the market consisting of several stocks is modeled by a multi-dimensional jump-diffusion process with age-dependent semi-Markov modulated coefficients. We study risk sensitive…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Milan Kumar Das , Anindya Goswami , Nimit Rana

Designing model-free algorithms for distributionally robust reinforcement learning (DRRL) poses fundamental challenges. The robust Bellman operator is nonlinear in the transition kernel, which makes one-sample Bellman updates biased, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Shengbo Wang , Zexi Zhang

Classical portfolio optimization methods typically determine an optimal capital allocation through the implicit, yet critical, assumption of statistical time-invariance. Such models are inadequate for real-world markets as they employ…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-02 Bruno Scalzo , Alvaro Arroyo , Ljubisa Stankovic , Danilo P. Mandic

We consider the problem of learning a set of probability distributions from the empirical Bellman dynamics in distributional reinforcement learning (RL), a class of state-of-the-art methods that estimate the distribution, as opposed to only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Thanh Tang Nguyen , Sunil Gupta , Svetha Venkatesh

We develop a discrete analogue of Hamilton-Jacobi theory in the framework of discrete Hamiltonian mechanics. The resulting discrete Hamilton-Jacobi equation is discrete only in time. We describe a discrete analogue of Jacobi's solution and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-08-15 Tomoki Ohsawa , Anthony M. Bloch , Melvin Leok

In this paper we introduce a deep learning method for pricing and hedging American-style options. It first computes a candidate optimal stopping policy. From there it derives a lower bound for the price. Then it calculates an upper bound, a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-23 Sebastian Becker , Patrick Cheridito , Arnulf Jentzen

Motivated by recent advances in the spectral theory of auto-covariance matrices, we are led to revisit a reformulation of Markowitz' mean-variance portfolio optimization approach in the time domain. In its simplest incarnation it applies to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-22 Peter A. Bebbington , Reimer Kuehn

Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning involves agents that learn together in a shared environment, leading to emergent dynamics sensitive to initial conditions and parameter variations. A Dynamical Systems approach, which studies the evolution…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-01-03 David Goll , Jobst Heitzig , Wolfram Barfuss

This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

The present paper addresses the issue of the stochastic control of the optimal dynamic reinsurance policy and dynamic dividend strategy, which are state-dependent, for an insurance company that operates under multiple insurance lines of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Khaled Masoumifard , Mohammad Zokaei

We consider the problem of learning time-varying functions in a distributed fashion, where agents collect local information to collaboratively achieve a shared estimate. This task is particularly relevant in control applications, whenever…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-22 Nicola Taddei , Riccardo Maggioni , Jaap Eising , Giulia De Pasquale , Florian Dorfler

We study portfolio selection in a complete continuous-time market where the preference is dictated by the rank-dependent utility. As such a model is inherently time inconsistent due to the underlying probability weighting, we study the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-04 Ying Hu , Hanqing Jin , Xun Yu Zhou

We consider the non-linear optimal multiple stopping problem under general conditions on the non-linear evaluation operators, which might depend on two time indices: the time of evaluation/assessment and the horizon (when the reward or loss…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-21 Miryana Grigorova , Marie-Claire Quenez , Peng Yuan

In this paper we continue investigating the optimal dividend and investment problems under the Sparre Andersen model. More precisely, we assume that the claim frequency is a renewal process instead of a standard compound Poisson process,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-02 Lihua Bai , Jin Ma

This paper presents a new filter for state-space models based on Bellman's dynamic-programming principle, allowing for nonlinearity, non-Gaussianity and degeneracy in the observation and/or state-transition equations. The resulting Bellman…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Rutger-Jan Lange

We demonstrate the application of an algorithmic trading strategy based upon the recently developed dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) on portfolios of financial data. The method is capable of characterizing complex dynamical systems, in this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-20 Jordan Mann , J. Nathan Kutz
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