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In traditional software programs, it is easy to trace program logic from variables back to input, apply assertion statements to block erroneous behavior, and compose programs together. Although deep learning programs have demonstrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Mike Wu , Noah Goodman , Stefano Ermon

Neural networks (NNs) lack measures of "reliability" estimation that would enable reasoning over their predictions. Despite the vital importance, especially in areas of human well-being and health, state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Lorena Qendro , Jagmohan Chauhan , Alberto Gil C. P. Ramos , Cecilia Mascolo

This paper presents an adaptive online learning framework for systems with uncertain parameters to ensure safety-critical control in non-stationary environments. Our approach consists of two phases. The initial phase is centered on a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Yu Zhang , Long Wen , Xiangtong Yao , Zhenshan Bing , Linghuan Kong , Wei He , Alois Knoll

A key challenge in spatial statistics is the analysis for massive spatially-referenced data sets. Such analyses often proceed from Gaussian process specifications that can produce rich and robust inference, but involve dense covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Shinichiro Shirota , Andrew O. Finley , Bruce D. Cook , Sudipto Banerjee

Machine learning models can be improved by adapting them to respect existing background knowledge. In this paper we consider multitask Gaussian processes, with background knowledge in the form of constraints that require a specific sum of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-02 Philipp Pilar , Carl Jidling , Thomas B. Schön , Niklas Wahlström

In Hezaveh et al. 2017 we showed that deep learning can be used for model parameter estimation and trained convolutional neural networks to determine the parameters of strong gravitational lensing systems. Here we demonstrate a method for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-29 Laurence Perreault Levasseur , Yashar D. Hezaveh , Risa H. Wechsler

Deep Ensemble (DE) is an effective alternative to Bayesian neural networks for uncertainty quantification in deep learning. The uncertainty of DE is usually conveyed by the functional inconsistency among the ensemble members, say, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-03 Zhijie Deng , Feng Zhou , Jianfei Chen , Guoqiang Wu , Jun Zhu

In this work, we propose a novel generative model for mapping inputs to structured, high-dimensional outputs using structured conditional normalizing flows and Gaussian process regression. The model is motivated by the need to characterize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Natalie Klein , Nishant Panda , Patrick Gasda , Diane Oyen

Recently, deep generative models have been used for posterior inference in inverse problems, including high-stakes applications in medical imaging and scientific discovery, where the uncertainty of a prediction can matter as much as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Yuxin Guo , Dongrui Deng , Pulkit Grover

This paper introduces an active learning framework for manifold Gaussian Process (GP) regression, combining manifold learning with strategic data selection to improve accuracy in high-dimensional spaces. Our method jointly optimizes a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yuanxing Cheng , Lulu Kang , Yiwei Wang , Chun Liu

In this paper, we investigate Gaussian process modeling with input location error, where the inputs are corrupted by noise. Here, the best linear unbiased predictor for two cases is considered, according to whether there is noise at the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Wenjia Wang , Xiaowei Yue , Benjamin Haaland , C. F. Jeff Wu

We present an adaptive approach to the construction of Gaussian process surrogates for Bayesian inference with expensive-to-evaluate forward models. Our method relies on the fully Bayesian approach to training Gaussian process models and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-01 Timur Takhtaganov , Juliane Müller

An input to a system reveals a non-robust behaviour when, by making a small change in the input, the output of the system changes from acceptable (passing) to unacceptable (failing) or vice versa. Identifying inputs that lead to non-robust…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Baharin Aliashrafi Jodat , Shiva Nejati , Mehrdad Sabetzadeh , Patricio Saavedra

It is a common practice in the machine learning community to assume that the observed data are noise-free in the input attributes. Nevertheless, scenarios with input noise are common in real problems, as measurements are never perfectly…

Computational models support high-stakes decisions across engineering and science, and practitioners increasingly seek probabilistic predictions to quantify uncertainty in such models. Existing approaches generate predictions either by…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Rileigh Bandy , Enrico Camporeale , Andong Hu , Thomas Berger , Rebecca Morrison

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used for regression and optimization tasks such as Bayesian optimization (BO) due to their expressiveness and principled uncertainty estimates. However, in settings with large datasets corrupted by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Marshal Arijona Sinaga , Julien Martinelli , Samuel Kaski

Gaussian process (GP) models are widely used to emulate propagation uncertainty in computer experiments. GP emulation sits comfortably within an analytically tractable Bayesian framework. Apart from propagating uncertainty of the input…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-30 Silvia Montagna , Surya T. Tokdar

In recent years, the advancement of AI technologies has accelerated the development of smart factories. In particular, the automatic monitoring of product assembly progress is crucial for improving operational efficiency, minimizing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Kazuma Miura , Sarthak Pathak , Kazunori Umeda

Single-channel deep speech enhancement approaches often estimate a single multiplicative mask to extract clean speech without a measure of its accuracy. Instead, in this work, we propose to quantify the uncertainty associated with clean…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-16 Huajian Fang , Timo Gerkmann

As Deep Learning continues to yield successful applications in Computer Vision, the ability to quantify all forms of uncertainty is a paramount requirement for its safe and reliable deployment in the real-world. In this work, we leverage…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Eduardo D C Carvalho , Ronald Clark , Andrea Nicastro , Paul H J Kelly
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