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The growing demand for accurate, efficient, and scalable solutions in computational mechanics highlights the need for advanced operator learning algorithms that can efficiently handle large datasets while providing reliable uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-18 Sawan Kumar , Rajdip Nayek , Souvik Chakraborty

Optimization problems with uncertain black-box constraints, modeled by warped Gaussian processes, have recently been considered in the Bayesian optimization setting. This work introduces a new class of constraints in which the same…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Johannes Wiebe , Inês Cecílio , Jonathan Dunlop , Ruth Misener

Robust optimization has been established as a leading methodology to approach decision problems under uncertainty. To derive a robust optimization model, a central ingredient is to identify a suitable model for uncertainty, which is called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-10 Marc Goerigk , Jannis Kurtz

Neural Processes (NPs; Garnelo et al., 2018a,b) are a rich class of models for meta-learning that map data sets directly to predictive stochastic processes. We provide a rigorous analysis of the standard maximum-likelihood objective used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Wessel P. Bruinsma , James Requeima , Andrew Y. K. Foong , Jonathan Gordon , Richard E. Turner

This chapter presents specific aspects of Gaussian process modeling in the presence of complex noise. Starting from the standard homoscedastic model, various generalizations from the literature are presented: input varying noise variance,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Mickael Binois , Arindam Fadikar , Abby Stevens

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

We have previously reported a Bayesian algorithm for determining the coordinates of points in three-dimensional space from uncertain constraints. This method is useful in the determination of biological molecular structure. It is limited,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Russ B. Altman , Cheng C. Chen , William B. Poland , Jaswinder Pal Singh

Neural-net-induced Gaussian process (NNGP) regression inherits both the high expressivity of deep neural networks (deep NNs) as well as the uncertainty quantification property of Gaussian processes (GPs). We generalize the current NNGP to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Guofei Pang , Liu Yang , George Em Karniadakis

This paper considers a stochastic control framework, in which the residual model uncertainty of the dynamical system is learned using a Gaussian Process (GP). In the proposed formulation, the residual model uncertainty consists of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-26 Marcel Menner , Karl Berntorp

Gaussian processes scale prohibitively with the size of the dataset. In response, many approximation methods have been developed, which inevitably introduce approximation error. This additional source of uncertainty, due to limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Jonathan Wenger , Geoff Pleiss , Marvin Pförtner , Philipp Hennig , John P. Cunningham

We study in this paper two classes of experimental designs, support points and projected support points, which can provide robust and effective emulation of computer experiments with Gaussian processes. These designs have two important…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Simon Mak , V. Roshan Joseph

Gaussian processes have become a promising tool for various safety-critical settings, since the posterior variance can be used to directly estimate the model error and quantify risk. However, state-of-the-art techniques for safety-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-22 Alexandre Capone , Armin Lederer , Sandra Hirche

Propagating input uncertainty through non-linear Gaussian process (GP) mappings is intractable. This hinders the task of training GPs using uncertain and partially observed inputs. In this paper we refer to this task as "semi-described…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-04 Andreas Damianou , Neil D. Lawrence

We introduce Deep Sigma Point Processes, a class of parametric models inspired by the compositional structure of Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs). Deep Sigma Point Processes (DSPPs) retain many of the attractive features of (variational)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Martin Jankowiak , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner

This paper provides an algorithm for simulating improper (or noncircular) complex-valued stationary Gaussian processes. The technique utilizes recently developed methods for multivariate Gaussian processes from the circulant embedding…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Adam M. Sykulski , Donald B. Percival

Recent studies have shown that ensemble approaches could not only improve accuracy and but also estimate model uncertainty in deep learning. However, it requires a large number of parameters according to the increase of ensemble models for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-25 Hong Joo Lee , Seong Tae Kim , Hakmin Lee , Nassir Navab , Yong Man Ro

Computer models are used to model complex processes in various disciplines. Often, a key source of uncertainty in the behavior of complex computer models is uncertainty due to unknown model input parameters. Statistical computer model…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-02 Won Chang , Murali Haran , Roman Olson , Klaus Keller

Quantifying uncertainties in physical or engineering systems often requires a large number of simulations of the underlying computer models that are computationally intensive. Emulators or surrogate models are often used to accelerate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Junda Xiong , Xin Cai , Jinglai Li

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a powerful tool in probabilistic machine learning with a solid theoretical foundation. Thanks to current advances, modeling complex data with GPs is becoming increasingly feasible, which makes them an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Sarem Seitz

Multi-fidelity Gaussian process is a common approach to address the extensive computationally demanding algorithms such as optimization, calibration and uncertainty quantification. Adaptive sampling for multi-fidelity Gaussian process is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-30 Sayan Ghosh , Jesper Kristensen , Yiming Zhang , Waad Subber , Liping Wang
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