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In the study of infectious diseases on networks, researchers calculate epidemic thresholds to help forecast whether a disease will eventually infect a large fraction of a population. Because network structure typically changes in time,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-11 Qinyi Chen , Mason A. Porter

In this paper, we study the dynamics of the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model on a network with community structure, namely the stochastic block model (SBM). As usual, the SIR model is a stochastic model for an epidemic where…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Christian Borgs , Karissa Huang , Christian Ikeokwu

We study the non-equilibrium phase transition in a model for epidemic spreading on scale-free networks. The model consists of two particle species $A$ and $B$, and the coupling between them is taken to be asymmetric; $A$ induces $B$ while…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Yong-Yeol Ahn , Naoki Masuda , Hawoong Jeong , Jae Dong Noh

The aim of the study was to compare the epidemic spread on static and dynamic small-world networks. The network was constructed as a 2-dimensional Watts-Strogatz model (500x500 square lattice with additional shortcuts), and the dynamics…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-06-28 J. K. Ochab , P. F. Góra

To better describe the spread of a disease, we extend a discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model of Tuckwell and Williams. We assume the dependence on time of the number of daily encounters and include a parameter to represent a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-30 Mireia Besalú , Giulia Binotto

In this work, we use a new approach to study the spread of an infectious disease. Indeed, we study a SIR epidemic model with variable infectivity, where the individuals are distributed over a compact subset $D$ of $\R^d$. We define…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Armand Kanga , Etienne Pardoux

Dynamics on networks is considered from the perspective of Markov stochastic processes. We partially describe the state of the system through network motifs and infer any missing data using the available information. This versatile approach…

The duration, type and structure of connections between individuals in real-world populations play a crucial role in how diseases invade and spread. Here, we incorporate the aforementioned heterogeneities into a model by considering a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-05 Rosanna C Barnard , Istvan Z Kiss , Luc Berthouze , Joel C Miller

We study a well mixed SIR epidemic model with heterogeneous susceptibility and infectivity, allowing for an arbitrary joint distribution of these traits. Using an exact final size formulation and a branching process approximation for early…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-06 Mohamed El Khalifi

In this paper we consider a model for the spread of a stochastic SIR (Susceptible $\to$ Infectious $\to$ Recovered) epidemic on a network of individuals described by a random intersection graph. Individuals belong to a random number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Frank G. Ball , David J. Sirl , Pieter Trapman

We study the qualitative properties of a spatial diffusive heterogeneous SIR model, that appears in mathematical epidemiology to describe the spread of an infectious disease in a population. The model we consider consists in a system of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Romain Ducasse

We study the spread of susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) infectious diseases where an individual's infectiousness and probability of recovery depend on his/her "age" of infection. We focus first on early outbreak stages when stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-05-14 Joel Miller , Bahman Davoudi , Rafael Meza , Anja Slim , Babak Pourbohloul

We propose a class of random scale-free spatial networks with nested community structures and analyze Reed-Frost epidemics with community related independent transmissions. We show that the epidemic threshold may be trivial or not depending…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-11 Lorenzo Cecconi , Alberto Gandolfi

This work is concerned with epidemiological models defined on networks, which highlight the prominent role of the social contact network of a given population in the spread of infectious diseases. In particular, we address the modelling and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Giovanni Naldi , Giuseppe Patane'

We study the statistical properties of the SIR epidemics in heterogeneous networks, when an epidemic is defined as only those SIR propagations that reach or exceed a minimum size s_c. Using percolation theory to calculate the average…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 C. Lagorio , M. V. Migueles , L. A. Braunstein , E. López , P. A. Macri

We give an intuitive though general explanation of the finite-size effect in scale-free networks in terms of the degree distribution of the starting network. This result clarifies the relevance of the starting network in the final degree…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-14 Sara Cuenda , Juan A. Crespo

This paper focuses on and analyzes realistic SIR models that take stochasticity into account. The proposed systems are applicable to most incidence rates that are used in the literature including the bilinear incidence rate, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Nguyen Du , Alexandru Hening , Nhu Nguyen , George Yin

Recently, motivated by the pioneer works that reveal the small-world effect and scale-free property of various real-life networks, many scientists devote themselves into studying complex networks. One of the ultimate goals is to understand…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Tao Zhou , Zhong-Qian Fu , Bing-Hong Wang

Many complex networks exhibit vulnerability to spreading of epidemics, and such vulnerability relates to the viral strain as well as to the network characteristics. For instance, the structure of the network plays an important role in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-14 Mina Youssef , Caterina Scoglio

We study numerically the variability of the outbreak of diseases on complex networks. We use a SI model to simulate the disease spreading at short times, in homogeneous and in scale-free networks. In both cases, we study the effect of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Pascal Crépey , Fabián P. Alvarez , Marc Barthélemy
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