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In this paper, we propose two nonparametric methods used in the forecasting of functional time-dependent data, namely functional singular spectrum analysis recurrent forecasting and vector forecasting. Both algorithms utilize the results of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-28 Jordan Trinka , Hossein Haghbin , Mehdi Maadooliat

In 1980 and 1981, two pioneering papers laid the foundation for what became known as nonlinear time-series analysis: the analysis of observed data---typically univariate---via dynamical systems theory. Based on the concept of state-space…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-24 Elizabeth Bradley , Holger Kantz

Data series generated by complex systems exhibit fluctuations on many time scales and/or broad distributions of the values. In both equilibrium and non-equilibrium situations, the natural fluctuations are often found to follow a scaling…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-04-07 Jan W. Kantelhardt

Functional time series have become an integral part of both functional data and time series analysis. Important contributions to methodology, theory and application for the prediction of future trajectories and the estimation of functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-04 Alexander Aue , Johannes Klepsch

We provide an overview of theories of continuous time computation. These theories allow us to understand both the hardness of questions related to continuous time dynamical systems and the computational power of continuous time analog…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2009-07-20 Olivier Bournez , Manuel Campagnolo

We derive the necessary and sufficient condition for almost sure convergence of the sequence of measurable functions, and consider some applications in the theory of Fourier series and in the theory of random fields.

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-16 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We show how a recently introduced statistics [Patil et al, Phys. Rev. Lett. 81 5878 (2001)] provides a direct relationship between dimension and predictability in spatiotemporal chaotic systems. Regions of low dimension are identified as…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Gerson Francisco , Paulsamy Muruganandam

A deterministic temporal process can be determined by its trajectory, an element in the product space of (a) initial condition $z_0 \in \mathcal{Z}$ and (b) transition function $f: (\mathcal{Z}, \mathcal{T}) \to \mathcal{Z}$ often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Jurijs Nazarovs , Zhichun Huang , Xingjian Zhen , Sourav Pal , Rudrasis Chakraborty , Vikas Singh

Interest in functional time series has spiked in the recent past with papers covering both methodology and applications being published at a much increased pace. This article contributes to the research in this area by proposing a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-21 Alexander Aue , Anne van Delft

Particulate matter data now include various particle sizes, which often manifest as a collection of curves observed sequentially over time. When considering 51 distinct particle sizes, these curves form a high-dimensional functional time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Han Lin Shang , Israel Martinez Hernandez

The potential system is a nonparametric time series model for assessing the causal impact of moving an assignment at time $t$ on an outcome at future time $t+h$, accounting for the presence of features. The potential system provides…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-24 Jacob Carlson , Neil Shephard

Temporal data such as time series can be viewed as discretized measurements of the underlying function. To build a generative model for such data we have to model the stochastic process that governs it. We propose a solution by defining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Marin Biloš , Kashif Rasul , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka , Stephan Günnemann

New fast estimation methods stemming from control theory lead to a fresh look at time series, which bears some resemblance to "technical analysis". The results are applied to a typical object of financial engineering, namely the forecast of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-23 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join

Multivariate time series prediction has applications in a wide variety of domains and is considered to be a very challenging task, especially when the variables have correlations and exhibit complex temporal patterns, such as seasonality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Yuya Jeremy Ong , Mu Qiao , Divyesh Jadav

Time series forecasting using historical data has been an interesting and challenging topic, especially when the data is corrupted by missing values. In many industrial problem, it is important to learn the inference function between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Trang H. Tran , Lam M. Nguyen , Kyongmin Yeo , Nam Nguyen , Dzung Phan , Roman Vaculin , Jayant Kalagnanam

An abstract theory of Fourier series in locally convex topological vector spaces is developed. An analog of Fej\'{e}r's theorem is proved for these series. The theory is applied to distributional solutions of Cauchy-Riemann equations to…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Debraj Chakrabarti , Anirban Dawn

The paper describes the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series with using time trend correction in a neural network model. Along with the layers for predicting sales values, the neural network model includes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

The classical theory of symmetric functions has a central position in algebraic combinatorics, bridging aspects of representation theory, combinatorics, and enumerative geometry. More recently, this theory has been fruitfully extended to…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Oliver Pechenik , Dominic Searles

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely used in various fields. Reasonable prediction results can assist people in planning and decision-making, generate benefits and avoid risks. Normally, there are two characteristics of time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Yifu Zhou , Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren , Yueyang Wang , Xiaoqian Wang

In this paper, we study a functional SAR model in which explanatory variables are sampling points of a continuous-time process. We propose a procedure for the maximum likelihood estimation for the spatial parameter dependence and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-14 Wilmer Pineda-Ríos , Ramón Giraldo